PEC Zwolle v Utrecht result

Full-time · PEC Zwolle 0–2 Utrecht

Eredivisie · · MAC³PARK Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: PEC Zwolle · Utrecht · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

PEC Zwolle 0–2 Utrecht — Utrecht won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.4% of 170 landed (95% range 44.9–59.7%); it had given them 77.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Utrecht won 2–0 at MAC³PARK Stadion in the Eredivisie on Sunday 31 August. Utrecht are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Utrecht led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Utrecht: Davy van den Berg (41’, assisted by D. Murkin) and D. Murkin (44’, assisted by Souffian El Karouani).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Davy van den Berg’s goal on 41 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: PEC Zwolle 1.01, Utrecht 1.14, from 6 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

J. van der Laan showed three yellow cards — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — PEC Zwolle: Jadiel Pereira da Gama (89’) and A. MacNulty (90+9’); Utrecht: D. Murkin (25’).

What it changes

PEC Zwolle move down from first to sixth (three league matches played).

Utrecht move up from third to second (four league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Souffian El Karouani (Utrecht) 7.6, D. Murkin (Utrecht) 6.2 and A. Engwanda (Utrecht) 5.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 52.4% of the time in the last 90 days (89 of 170).

Next up

PEC Zwolle next travel to Utrecht on 24 October 2026.

Utrecht next host PEC Zwolle on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for PEC Zwolle: Utrecht v PEC Zwolle, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: PEC Zwolle 0–2 Utrecht · Eredivisie
  • Venue: MAC³PARK Stadion · Zwolle
  • Referee: J. van der Laan
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): PEC Zwolle 1 · draws 2 · Utrecht 3 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: PEC Zwolle 4W 1D 0L · Utrecht 3W 1D 1L

PEC Zwolle 0–2 Utrecht (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 2.5
Goals
against 1 / 0.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 3.29
Corners
against 4 / 3.86 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.25 / 4.29
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 2.29 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.13 / 2.14
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.57 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3 yellows
Referee · J. van der Laan
1.09 home / 1.91 away
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gamePEC Zwolle for / againstLineUtrecht for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
2.5 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
3.63 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
3.29 for · 3.86 against n 7
Shots
14.13 for · 12.5 against n 8
19.5standard
10.43 for · 7.57 against n 7
Shots on target
4.25 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.29 for · 2.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 10.88 against n 8
21.5standard
6.86 for · 8.43 against n 7
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.14 for · 2.57 against n 7

Referee: J. van der Laan — 3 yellow cards a game, 0.09 red cards, 22.45 fouls over 11 matches (1.09 to the home side, 1.91 to the away side).

PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Buitink n 810.5
4.34/0
2.12/0
—
A. El Azzouzi n 889.9
27/5
1.16/3
—
F. Krastev n 880.3
25/5
1.37/2
—
T. Gijselhart n 315
21/0
00/0
—
N. Fichtinger n 811.4
22/0
11/0
—
PEC Zwolle — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Krastev n 880.3
2.27/6
1.16/2
D. van den Berg n 856.9
2.25/4
0.63/0
T. Buitink n 810.5
2.12/0
1.11/0
Y. Namli n 873
26/4
0.95/1
T. Gijselhart n 315
21/0
00/0
PEC Zwolle — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. de Rooij n 831.8
0.41/0
1.12/1
D. van der Haar n 812.3
0.91/0
00/0
Y. Namli n 873
0.64/0
00/0
F. Krastev n 880.3
0.11/0
0.32/0
K. Kostons n 876.5
0.42/1
00/0
PEC Zwolle — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Fichtinger n 811.4
6.93/2
T. Gijselhart n 315
61/1
Jamiro Monteiro n 843.4
4.98/5
O. Aertssen n 877.6
3.88/5
D. van der Haar n 812.3
3.73/1
PEC Zwolle — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Schendelaar n 890
2.48/3
Utrecht
Utrecht — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Min n 835.8
3.57/2
2.25/2
—
S. El Karouani n 889.9
1.87/5
1.16/3
—
C. Bozdoğan n 842.8
1.84/1
2.15/3
—
D. Murkin n 860.6
1.75/2
1.35/2
—
S. Haller n 871
1.66/4
1.36/2
—
Utrecht — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. de Wit n 827.5
3.34/2
23/2
N. Ohio n 821.4
2.63/1
1.62/1
D. van den Berg n 856.9
2.25/4
0.63/0
Miguel Rodríguez n 869.8
2.16/4
1.55/3
A. Blake n 842.1
2.15/3
1.13/1
Utrecht — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. de Wit n 827.5
0.82/0
0.41/0
D. Min n 835.8
0.93/0
00/0
Y. Cathline n 870.8
0.32/0
0.62/2
Miguel Rodríguez n 869.8
0.63/1
0.21/0
S. Haller n 871
0.53/0
0.21/0
Utrecht — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Engwanda n 884.5
3.18/6
S. El Karouani n 889.9
2.58/5
D. de Wit n 827.5
2.54/1
M. Jonathans n 826.8
2.54/2
S. Horemans n 890
2.47/6

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PEC ZwolleUtrecht
48%Possession52%
1.01Expected goals (xG)1.14
6Shots14
2Shots on target7
3Shots off target5
1Blocked shots2
4Shots inside the box6
3Corners2
3Offsides1
13Fouls10
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
5Saves2
423Passes458
81%Pass accuracy79%

PEC Zwolle player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. de Graaff9000000007.3
O. Aertssen9000000506.6
S. Graves9000000307.3
A. MacNulty90000000Y6.7
R. Thomas9000001106.3
K. de Rooij9000000006
S. Floranus8600001006.3
Jamiro Monteiro7100100206.7
D. Mbayo7100210006.3
T. Oosting7100111206.5
K. Kostons4500000006.6
T. Buitink sub4500100006.2
S. Lagsir sub1900000006.6
N. Fichtinger sub1900000206.9
G. Reiziger sub1900000006.6
Jadiel Pereira da Gama sub16000000Y6.7

Utrecht player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
V. Barkas9000000007.2
S. Horemans9000000307.2
M. van der Hoorn9000110107
S. El Karouani9001103407.9
A. Engwanda9000110506.9
G. Zechiël9000004306.9
M. Didden8400000107.5
D. Min8300111106.6
D. van den Berg5510110007.9
Miguel Rodríguez5500211006.2
D. Murkin55111120Y7.6
S. Haller sub3500000106.7
A. Blake sub3500200006.5
E. Demircan sub3500102006.7
C. Bozdoğan sub1900110006.6
M. Eerdhuijzen sub1800000106.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind PEC Zwolle v Utrecht — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PEC ZwolleWDWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
UtrechtWLWWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
PEC Zwolle 1 · 2 draws · Utrecht 3 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2025-02-01 PEC Zwolle 3–3 Utrecht
  • 2024-08-11 Utrecht 1–0 PEC Zwolle
  • 2024-04-03 Utrecht 5–1 PEC Zwolle
  • 2023-08-27 PEC Zwolle 1–0 Utrecht
  • 2022-05-07 PEC Zwolle 1–1 Utrecht
  • 2021-09-25 Utrecht 5–1 PEC Zwolle
League standing · 2025/26
PEC Zwolle#15 pos37 pts34 pl-27 GD
Utrecht#6 pos53 pts34 pl+13 GD
Goals per game
PEC Zwolle scored1.29
Utrecht scored1.62
PEC Zwolle conceded2.09
Utrecht conceded1.24

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for PEC Zwolle v Utrecht?
TACTIX’s free model pick for PEC Zwolle v Utrecht was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between PEC Zwolle and Utrecht?
In their last 6 meetings, PEC Zwolle won 1, Utrecht won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of PEC Zwolle and Utrecht?
Recent form — PEC Zwolle 4W 1D 0L; Utrecht 3W 1D 1L.

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