Utrecht v Groningen prediction

Eredivisie · · Stadion Galgenwaard

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Utrecht v Groningen, Eredivisie on Sun, 14 Mar 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Utrecht host Groningen in the Eredivisie on Sunday 14 March (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

12 of Utrecht’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

12 of Groningen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Groningen have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 10 of Utrecht’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Utrecht have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 2.29 and conceding 2.29. Utrecht have scored 16 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Utrecht have conceded 26 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Both teams scored in 12 of Groningen’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%). Away from home, Groningen have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 2.00. Groningen have scored 22 goals, the fourth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Groningen have conceded 19 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs.

Utrecht (11th) and Groningen (seventh) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Utrecht the stronger side, 35 rating points above Groningen (Utrecht 1698, Groningen 1663, after at least 277 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 9 August 2026, finished Groningen 2–1 Utrecht.

Team news

Predicted Utrecht XI (3-4-3): V. Barkas, S. Horemans, M. Didden, N. Panagiotou, D. van den Berg, D. de Wit, A. Zagré, N. Vesterlund, Y. Cathline, A. Stepanov, A. Stepanov — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Stepanov (4.6 per match over three appearances, three goals) and Dani de Wit (4.0 per match over nine appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Utrecht’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Utrecht (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Dani de Wit averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 775 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Groningen XI (4-2-3-1): E. Vaessen, T. Blokzijl, J. Schreuders, M. Csinger, W. Prins, T. van Bergen, T. de Jonge, P. Clement, D. van der Werff, T. Land, B. Willumsson — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Thom van Bergen (7.1 per match over nine appearances, six goals and two assists) and David van der Werff (5.0 per match over nine appearances, two goals and three assists) have been Groningen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Groningen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Thom van Bergen averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 805 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances. David van der Werff averages 2.8 key passes per 90 over 735 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Eredivisie · Stadion Galgenwaard
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Utrecht 4 · draws 0 · Groningen 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Utrecht 2W 1D 2L · Groningen 2W 2D 1L

Utrecht v Groningen (Eredivisie): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 2.5
Goals
against 3 / 2.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 4.88
Corners
against 6.38 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 7.25 / 5.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 1.13
Cards
against 1 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameUtrecht for / againstLineGroningen for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 3 against n 8
2.5standard
2.5 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 6.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
12.75 for · 18.38 against n 8
19.5standard
14.75 for · 15.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 7.25 against n 8
8.5standard
5.88 for · 5.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
16.25 for · 10.5 against n 8
21.5standard
8.63 for · 10.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
Utrecht
Utrecht — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. van Duijn n 834.1
35/2
0.71/1
—
A. Blake n 831
2.95/2
3.35/4
—
M. Didden n 874.4
2.37/5
0.52/1
—
M. Broholm n 839.6
24/2
2.86/2
—
A. Zagré n 881.5
1.96/3
0.63/1
—
Utrecht — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Blake n 831
2.94/2
1.53/1
Y. Cathline n 862.8
2.76/3
0.41/1
Ángel Alarcón n 863.5
2.35/4
1.24/2
Artem Stepanov n 866.3
1.76/3
0.85/0
A. Stepanov n 871.6
1.46/2
0.85/0
Utrecht — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Y. Cathline n 862.8
0.41/1
0.42/0
A. Blake n 831
0.41/0
0.41/0
A. Stepanov n 871.6
0.64/0
00/0
Artem Stepanov n 866.3
0.53/0
00/0
Ángel Alarcón n 863.5
0.52/1
00/0
Utrecht — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. van den Berg n 854.4
2.77/4
P. Kloosterboer n 324.7
2.42/0
A. Zagré n 881.5
2.27/6
M. Broholm n 839.6
24/3
S. Horemans n 881.9
1.97/4
Utrecht — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Barkas n 893.8
4.37/6
S. Padt n 890
4.37/7
Groningen
Groningen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Csinger n 871.8
1.78/2
1.34/2
—
T. Hernes n 819.6
1.73/0
0.61/0
—
B. Willumsson n 861.6
1.65/3
1.64/3
—
J. Schreuders n 884.4
1.57/4
0.84/2
—
R. Metu n 815.1
1.52/0
0.71/0
—
Groningen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Nils Eggens n 89
54/0
2.52/0
O. Zawada n 817.4
4.55/2
1.92/1
T. van Bergen n 889.4
2.66/5
1.66/4
B. Willumsson n 861.6
27/3
0.94/1
D. van der Werff n 880.6
1.87/4
15/1
Groningen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Zawada n 817.4
1.31/1
00/0
Nils Eggens n 89
1.31/0
00/0
T. van Bergen n 889.4
0.65/0
0.32/0
D. van der Werff n 880.6
0.32/0
0.42/1
M. Rente n 859.8
0.41/1
0.21/0
Groningen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Schreuders n 884.4
3.57/5
M. Csinger n 871.8
2.77/4
E. van der Laan n 643.8
2.75/2
R. Metu n 815.1
2.23/0
D. van der Werff n 880.6
26/4
Groningen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Vaessen n 890
3.26/5

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Utrecht v Groningen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
UtrechtLDWLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 3.2 conceded per game
GroningenDDWWL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Utrecht 4 · 0 draws · Groningen 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-08-09 Groningen 2–1 Utrecht
  • 2026-02-14 Groningen 1–2 Utrecht
  • 2025-09-14 Utrecht 0–1 Groningen
  • 2025-04-13 Utrecht 3–1 Groningen
  • 2024-10-20 Groningen 0–1 Utrecht
  • 2023-04-07 Groningen 1–2 Utrecht
League standing · 2026/27
Utrecht#11 pos11 pts9 pl-10 GD
Groningen#7 pos14 pts9 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Utrecht scored1.78
Groningen scored2.44
Utrecht conceded2.89
Groningen conceded2.11

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Utrecht and Groningen?
In their last 6 meetings, Utrecht won 4, Groningen won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Utrecht and Groningen?
Recent form — Utrecht 2W 1D 2L; Groningen 2W 2D 1L.

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