Utrecht v Sparta Rotterdam prediction

Eredivisie · · Stadion Galgenwaard

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Utrecht v Sparta Rotterdam, Eredivisie on Sun, 21 Mar 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Utrecht host Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie on Sunday 21 March (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

12 of Utrecht’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Sparta Rotterdam are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 10 of Utrecht’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Utrecht have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 2.29 and conceding 2.29. Utrecht have scored 16 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Utrecht have conceded 26 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

11 of Sparta Rotterdam’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Sparta Rotterdam’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Sparta Rotterdam have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 2.57. Sparta Rotterdam have scored 16 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Sparta Rotterdam have conceded 22 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Utrecht (11th) and Sparta Rotterdam (13th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Utrecht the stronger side, 239 rating points above Sparta Rotterdam (Utrecht 1698, Sparta Rotterdam 1459, after at least 279 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Sparta Rotterdam are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Utrecht. The most recent meeting, on 22 August 2026, finished Sparta Rotterdam 3–3 Utrecht.

Team news

Predicted Utrecht XI (3-4-3): V. Barkas, S. Horemans, M. Didden, N. Panagiotou, D. van den Berg, D. de Wit, A. Zagré, N. Vesterlund, Y. Cathline, A. Stepanov, A. Stepanov — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Stepanov (4.6 per match over three appearances, three goals) and Dani de Wit (4.0 per match over nine appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Utrecht’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Utrecht (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Dani de Wit averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 775 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Sparta Rotterdam XI (4-2-3-1): M. Brouwer, M. Young, B. Martins Indi, B. Kuipers, L. Martes, J. Baas, C. Hatenboer, S. Mito, J. Toornstra, I. Babadi, M. Zonneveld — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Milan Zonneveld (5.2 per match over nine appearances, six goals and one assist) and L. Martes (4.8 per match over nine appearances, two goals) have been Sparta Rotterdam’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sparta Rotterdam (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Milan Zonneveld averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 592 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last nine appearances. L. Martes averages 3.5 tackles per 90 over 792 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Eredivisie · Stadion Galgenwaard
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Utrecht 2 · draws 2 · Sparta Rotterdam 2 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Utrecht 2W 1D 2L · Sparta Rotterdam 0W 2D 3L

Utrecht v Sparta Rotterdam (Eredivisie): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 2
Goals
against 3 / 2.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 5.75
Corners
against 6.38 / 6.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4 / 5.75
Shots on target
against 7.25 / 5.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 1.5
Cards
against 1 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameUtrecht for / againstLineSparta Rotterdam for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 3 against n 8
2.5standard
2 for · 2.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 6.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5.75 for · 6.5 against n 8
Shots
12.75 for · 18.38 against n 8
19.5standard
15.25 for · 16.75 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 7.25 against n 8
8.5standard
5.75 for · 5.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
16.25 for · 10.5 against n 8
21.5standard
10 for · 10.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
Utrecht
Utrecht — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. van Duijn n 834.1
35/2
0.71/1
—
A. Blake n 831
2.95/2
3.35/4
—
M. Didden n 874.4
2.37/5
0.52/1
—
M. Broholm n 839.6
24/2
2.86/2
—
A. Zagré n 881.5
1.96/3
0.63/1
—
Utrecht — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Blake n 831
2.94/2
1.53/1
Y. Cathline n 862.8
2.76/3
0.41/1
Ángel Alarcón n 863.5
2.35/4
1.24/2
Artem Stepanov n 866.3
1.76/3
0.85/0
A. Stepanov n 871.6
1.46/2
0.85/0
Utrecht — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Y. Cathline n 862.8
0.41/1
0.42/0
A. Blake n 831
0.41/0
0.41/0
A. Stepanov n 871.6
0.64/0
00/0
Artem Stepanov n 866.3
0.53/0
00/0
Ángel Alarcón n 863.5
0.52/1
00/0
Utrecht — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. van den Berg n 854.4
2.77/4
P. Kloosterboer n 324.7
2.42/0
A. Zagré n 881.5
2.27/6
M. Broholm n 839.6
24/3
S. Horemans n 881.9
1.97/4
Utrecht — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Barkas n 893.8
4.37/6
S. Padt n 890
4.37/7
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Þórisson n 857.1
37/3
12/2
—
A. Roaldsøy n 814.8
2.32/1
00/0
—
B. Reith n 864.5
1.77/2
0.53/0
—
Teo Quintero n 833.4
1.75/0
0.31/0
—
J. Baas n 873.5
1.57/3
0.64/0
—
Sparta Rotterdam — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Kostić n 512.8
4.22/1
00/0
N. Þórisson n 857.1
3.35/5
1.43/2
M. Zonneveld n 870.5
3.27/6
1.86/3
A. Santos n 853
2.15/3
0.62/1
I. Babadi n 843.3
2.15/2
1.64/2
Sparta Rotterdam — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Zonneveld n 870.5
16/0
0.21/0
I. Babadi n 843.3
0.31/0
0.51/1
B. Kuipers n 890
00/0
0.43/0
S. Mito n 884.3
0.11/0
0.32/0
N. Þórisson n 857.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
Sparta Rotterdam — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Martes n 887.8
3.77/6
Teo Quintero n 833.4
3.43/3
M. Young n 888.6
2.87/7
Cedric Hatenboer n 881.3
2.87/5
B. Reith n 864.5
2.67/5
Sparta Rotterdam — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Brouwer n 890
3.67/6
F. Bednarek n 890
35/5

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Utrecht v Sparta Rotterdam — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
UtrechtLDWLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 3.2 conceded per game
Sparta RotterdamLDLLD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.4 scored / 3 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Utrecht 2 · 2 draws · Sparta Rotterdam 2 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-08-22 Sparta Rotterdam 3–3 Utrecht
  • 2026-01-25 Utrecht 0–1 Sparta Rotterdam
  • 2025-08-17 Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 Utrecht
  • 2025-05-14 Utrecht 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam
  • 2024-11-03 Sparta Rotterdam 1–4 Utrecht
  • 2024-05-23 Utrecht 3–1 Sparta Rotterdam
League standing · 2026/27
Utrecht#11 pos11 pts9 pl-10 GD
Sparta Rotterdam#13 pos9 pts9 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Utrecht scored1.78
Sparta Rotterdam scored1.78
Utrecht conceded2.89
Sparta Rotterdam conceded2.44

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Utrecht and Sparta Rotterdam?
In their last 6 meetings, Utrecht won 2, Sparta Rotterdam won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Utrecht and Sparta Rotterdam?
Recent form — Utrecht 2W 1D 2L; Sparta Rotterdam 0W 2D 3L.

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