Hill of Beath Hawthorn v Musselburgh Athletic prediction

FA Cup – Scotland ·

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Hill of Beath Hawthorn v Musselburgh Athletic, FA Cup – Scotland on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 15:00 BST.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 624 landed (95% range 62.1–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Hill of Beath Hawthorn host Musselburgh Athletic in FA Cup – Scotland on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Musselburgh Athletic have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Hill of Beath Hawthorn’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in eight of Hill of Beath Hawthorn’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Hill of Beath Hawthorn have five wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.88 points per game, scoring 1.88 and conceding 1.13.

10 of Musselburgh Athletic’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Musselburgh Athletic’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Musselburgh Athletic have three wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 5 away matches in all competitions — 1.80 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.20.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Musselburgh Athletic the stronger side, 118 rating points above Hill of Beath Hawthorn (Musselburgh Athletic 1611, Hill of Beath Hawthorn 1493, after at least 17 rated matches each).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · FA Cup – Scotland
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Hill of Beath Hawthorn 3W 0D 2L · Musselburgh Athletic 3W 0D 2L

Hill of Beath Hawthorn v Musselburgh Athletic (FA Cup – Scotland): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 22 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

19
Markets analysed

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Hill of Beath Hawthorn v Musselburgh Athletic — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Hill of Beath HawthornWLWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Musselburgh AthleticLWWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Goals per game
Hill of Beath Hawthorn scored2
Musselburgh Athletic scored2.4
Hill of Beath Hawthorn conceded1.6
Musselburgh Athletic conceded1.4

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 19 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Hill of Beath Hawthorn v Musselburgh Athletic?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Hill of Beath Hawthorn v Musselburgh Athletic is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Hill of Beath Hawthorn and Musselburgh Athletic?
Recent form — Hill of Beath Hawthorn 3W 0D 2L; Musselburgh Athletic 3W 0D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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