Edinburgh City v Kelty Hearts prediction

FA Cup – Scotland ·

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Edinburgh City v Kelty Hearts, FA Cup – Scotland on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 12:00 BST.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1316 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Edinburgh City host Kelty Hearts in FA Cup – Scotland on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 12:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Kelty Hearts, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

12 of Kelty Hearts’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Kelty Hearts have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. Edinburgh City are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Edinburgh City’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Edinburgh City’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Edinburgh City have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 2.00.

Both teams scored in 11 of Kelty Hearts’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Kelty Hearts have two wins, no draws and six defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.75 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.88.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Kelty Hearts the stronger side, 200 rating points above Edinburgh City (Kelty Hearts 1667, Edinburgh City 1467, after at least 15 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 19 September 2026, finished Kelty Hearts 1–3 Edinburgh City.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · FA Cup – Scotland
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Edinburgh City 1 · draws 0 · Kelty Hearts 5 · 4.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Edinburgh City 1W 2D 2L · Kelty Hearts 3W 0D 2L

Edinburgh City v Kelty Hearts (FA Cup – Scotland): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

19
Markets analysed

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Edinburgh City v Kelty Hearts — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Edinburgh CityWLDLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Kelty HeartsWWLLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Edinburgh City 1 · 0 draws · Kelty Hearts 5 · 4.83 goals/game
  • 2026-09-19 Kelty Hearts 1–3 Edinburgh City
  • 2024-03-30 Kelty Hearts 3–1 Edinburgh City
  • 2024-02-13 Kelty Hearts 3–2 Edinburgh City
  • 2024-02-03 Edinburgh City 0–3 Kelty Hearts
  • 2023-10-07 Edinburgh City 1–4 Kelty Hearts
  • 2023-07-19 Edinburgh City 3–5 Kelty Hearts
Goals per game
Edinburgh City scored0.8
Kelty Hearts scored1.6
Edinburgh City conceded1.2
Kelty Hearts conceded1.2

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Edinburgh City v Kelty Hearts?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Edinburgh City v Kelty Hearts is Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Edinburgh City and Kelty Hearts?
In their last 6 meetings, Edinburgh City won 1, Kelty Hearts won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Edinburgh City and Kelty Hearts?
Recent form — Edinburgh City 1W 2D 2L; Kelty Hearts 3W 0D 2L.

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