NK Slaven Belupo v Dinamo Zagreb prediction

HNL · · Gradski Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Away win the free pick for NK Slaven Belupo v Dinamo Zagreb, HNL on Sun, 18 Oct 2026 17:00 BST.

Free pick
Away win
Best price: 1.33 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 84.6% of 91 landed (95% range 75.8–90.6%); it had given them 76.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

NK Slaven Belupo host Dinamo Zagreb in the HNL on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Dinamo Zagreb to win.

The key numbers

Dinamo Zagreb are unbeaten in the last six meetings with NK Slaven Belupo, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

10 of NK Slaven Belupo’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in eight of NK Slaven Belupo’s last 15 results (53%). At home, NK Slaven Belupo have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.71. NK Slaven Belupo have scored 11 goals, the second-fewest of the 10 clubs (2026/27 so far). NK Slaven Belupo have conceded 17 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 10 clubs.

11 of Dinamo Zagreb’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Dinamo Zagreb’s last 15 results (60%). Away from home, Dinamo Zagreb have one win, two draws and three defeats in their last 6 away matches — 0.83 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 2.00. Dinamo Zagreb have scored 18 goals, the most (shared) of the 10 clubs (2026/27 so far). Dinamo Zagreb have conceded 11 goals, the third-fewest of the 10 clubs.

NK Slaven Belupo (eighth) and Dinamo Zagreb (fourth) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Dinamo Zagreb the stronger side, 274 rating points above NK Slaven Belupo (Dinamo Zagreb 1819, NK Slaven Belupo 1545, after at least 332 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 31 July 2026, finished Dinamo Zagreb 2–0 NK Slaven Belupo.

Team news

Predicted NK Slaven Belupo XI (4-2-3-1): K. Sentić, D. Kovačić, F. Krušelj, K. Išasegi, T. Božić, J. Mitrović, A. Adeshina, L. Bošnjak, D. Bosak, L. Crepulja, I. Nestorovski — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Mitrović (5.2 per match over nine appearances, one goal and two assists) and I. Nestorovski (5.0 per match over nine appearances, seven goals) have been NK Slaven Belupo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for NK Slaven Belupo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Mitrović averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 764 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances. I. Nestorovski averages 3.0 shots per 90 over 654 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Dinamo Zagreb XI (4-3-3): D. Kotarski, O. Vinlöf, S. Radeljić, N. Galesic, P. Tabinas, L. Kačavenda, J. Misic, M. Zajc, D. Beljo, M. Lisica, A. Hoxha — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Dion Drena Beljo (7.8 per match over 12 appearances, 13 goals and four assists) and Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf (3.6 per match over 11 appearances, three assists) have been Dinamo Zagreb’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Dinamo Zagreb (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Dion Drena Beljo averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 1161 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 919 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · HNL · Gradski Stadion
  • Referee: Duje Strukan
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): NK Slaven Belupo 0 · draws 0 · Dinamo Zagreb 6 · 5 goals/game
  • Recent form: NK Slaven Belupo 2W 1D 2L · Dinamo Zagreb 2W 1D 2L

TACTIX runs NK Slaven Belupo v Dinamo Zagreb (HNL) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 5.5
Corners
against 5 / 3.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 4
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 4.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 2
Cards
against 2 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameNK Slaven Belupo for / againstLineDinamo Zagreb for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5our book
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 3.13 against n 8
Shots
12.5 for · 15.25 against n 8
19.5standard
15.5 for · 11.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.75 for · 12.63 against n 8
21.5standard
16.13 for · 13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2.5 against n 8
NK Slaven Belupo
NK Slaven Belupo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Kutlesa n 49.3
4.92/0
00/0
—
L. Banovec n 871.5
2.46/5
1.36/2
—
I. Nestorovski n 873
26/4
2.67/5
—
A. Jakir n 757.7
25/3
1.34/2
—
I. Cvetko n 590
1.83/2
00/0
—
NK Slaven Belupo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Nestorovski n 873
3.27/6
1.45/4
M. Dabro n 867.5
2.87/6
1.57/2
L. Banovec n 871.5
26/4
0.84/1
J. Mitrović n 888
1.48/3
0.65/0
Losika Ratshukudu n 654
0.82/1
0.31/0
NK Slaven Belupo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Nestorovski n 873
1.15/2
00/0
L. Banovec n 871.5
0.32/0
0.21/0
M. Dabro n 867.5
00/0
0.53/0
J. Mitrović n 888
0.11/0
0.32/0
A. Jakir n 757.7
00/0
0.42/0
NK Slaven Belupo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Adetunji Rasaq Adeshina n 861.4
2.95/3
F. Krušelj n 890.5
2.28/5
I. Cvetko n 590
2.25/2
D. Kovačić n 886.6
2.27/5
K. Išasegi n 864.8
2.16/4
NK Slaven Belupo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. Čović n 590.8
3.64/3
K. Sentić n 790
2.96/5
Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Kačavenda n 843.6
3.67/5
2.66/3
—
K. Kravtsov n 738.1
3.43/2
12/1
—
S. Prevljak n 845.5
2.26/2
14/0
—
A. Hoxha n 853.4
2.16/4
1.73/2
—
N. Galesic n 852.6
2.16/2
1.15/0
—
Dinamo Zagreb — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Rodriguez n 328.7
6.33/3
3.12/1
L. Stojkovic n 862.1
3.47/5
0.53/0
M. Orsic n 839.3
3.27/4
0.62/0
S. Prevljak n 845.5
36/5
25/3
Dion Drena Beljo n 877
2.87/4
1.36/2
Dinamo Zagreb — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Dion Drena Beljo n 877
16/1
0.11/0
S. Prevljak n 845.5
0.73/0
00/0
F. Topic n 832.5
00/0
0.72/0
Iker Almena n 850.4
0.42/0
0.21/0
Paul Bismarck Tabinas n 772.1
00/0
0.42/0
Dinamo Zagreb — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Ivanusec n 852
3.76/4
K. Kravtsov n 738.1
3.73/2
M. Valincic n 851.3
2.97/3
Paul Bismarck Tabinas n 772.1
2.76/5
L. Kačavenda n 843.6
2.36/3
Dinamo Zagreb — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Dominik Kotarski n 885.5
2.86/3
I. Nevistic n 890
1.94/2

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind NK Slaven Belupo v Dinamo Zagreb — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NK Slaven BelupoLWLDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Dinamo ZagrebLDWLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
NK Slaven Belupo 0 · 0 draws · Dinamo Zagreb 6 · 5 goals/game
  • 2026-07-31 Dinamo Zagreb 2–0 NK Slaven Belupo
  • 2026-05-17 NK Slaven Belupo 1–4 Dinamo Zagreb
  • 2026-03-14 Dinamo Zagreb 4–2 NK Slaven Belupo
  • 2025-12-14 NK Slaven Belupo 2–5 Dinamo Zagreb
  • 2025-09-28 Dinamo Zagreb 4–1 NK Slaven Belupo
  • 2025-05-10 Dinamo Zagreb 5–0 NK Slaven Belupo
League standing · 2026/27
NK Slaven Belupo#8 pos10 pts9 pl-6 GD
Dinamo Zagreb#4 pos16 pts8 pl+7 GD
Goals per game
NK Slaven Belupo scored1.22
Dinamo Zagreb scored2.25
NK Slaven Belupo conceded1.89
Dinamo Zagreb conceded1.38

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win NK Slaven Belupo v Dinamo Zagreb?
TACTIX’s free model pick for NK Slaven Belupo v Dinamo Zagreb is Away win (best price 1.33 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between NK Slaven Belupo and Dinamo Zagreb?
In their last 6 meetings, NK Slaven Belupo won 0, Dinamo Zagreb won 6 and there were 0 draws, averaging 5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of NK Slaven Belupo and Dinamo Zagreb?
Recent form — NK Slaven Belupo 2W 1D 2L; Dinamo Zagreb 2W 1D 2L.

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