St. Truiden v Standard Liege prediction

Jupiler Pro League · · Daio Wasabi Stayen

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: St. Truiden · Standard Liege · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for St. Truiden v Standard Liege, Jupiler Pro League on Sat, 16 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

St. Truiden host Standard Liege in the Jupiler Pro League on Saturday 16 January (kick-off 16:00 UK).

Form and the table

Eight of St. Truiden’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of St. Truiden’s last 15 results (47%). At home, St. Truiden have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 0.88. St. Truiden have scored 15 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). St. Truiden have conceded 16 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Eight of Standard Liege’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Standard Liege’s last 15 results (53%). Away from home, Standard Liege have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.57 points per game, scoring 2.29 and conceding 1.71. Standard Liege have scored 13 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Standard Liege have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

St. Truiden (12th) and Standard Liege (ninth) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Standard Liege the stronger side, 93 rating points above St. Truiden (Standard Liege 1574, St. Truiden 1482, after at least 314 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 26 December 2025, finished Standard Liege 1–2 St. Truiden.

Team news

Predicted St. Truiden XI (4-4-2): L. Kokubo, T. Hata, V. Musliu, R. Vanwesemael, S. Taniguchi, I. Sebaoui, A. Sissako, R. Merlen, R. Araki, S. Baždar, N. Mbuku — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ilias Sebaoui (5.3 per match over nine appearances, three goals and three assists) and Ryan Merlen (4.6 per match over nine appearances, three goals and four assists) have been St. Truiden’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for St. Truiden (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ilias Sebaoui averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 798 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances. Ryan Merlen averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 704 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Standard Liege XI (4-3-3): M. Epolo, I. Karamoko, I. Hautekiet, M. Fossey, G. Mortensen, C. Nielsen, A. Trouillet, R. Touzghar, A. Abid, D. Ayensa, B. Nguene — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Adnane Abid (5.9 per match over eight appearances, three goals and two assists) and Casper Nielsen (5.5 per match over eight appearances, two goals and three assists) have been Standard Liege’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Standard Liege (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Adnane Abid averages 1.8 shots per 90 over 720 minutes, with a shot in six of the last eight appearances. Casper Nielsen averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 695 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Jupiler Pro League · Daio Wasabi Stayen
  • Head-to-head (last 6): St. Truiden 2 · draws 2 · Standard Liege 2 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: St. Truiden 2W 0D 3L · Standard Liege 2W 0D 3L

TACTIX runs St. Truiden v Standard Liege (Jupiler Pro League) through its calibrated model across every major market, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 1.63
Goals
against 2 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 6
Corners
against 2.88 / 4.29 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.5 / 4.86
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 4.71 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.25 / 1.29
Cards
against 1.38 / 1.43 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSt. Truiden for / againstLineStandard Liege for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 2 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.5 for · 2.88 against n 8
9.5standard
6 for · 4.29 against n 7
Shots
16 for · 12.5 against n 8
19.5standard
13.43 for · 14.29 against n 7
Shots on target
4.5 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.86 for · 4.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 10.75 against n 8
21.5standard
10.29 for · 10.71 against n 7
Cards shown
2.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.29 for · 1.43 against n 7
St. Truiden
St. Truiden — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Nelson Ishiwatari n 851.9
3.36/5
1.75/2
—
N. Mbuku n 843.3
2.34/2
2.96/3
—
Samed Baždar n 860.5
26/4
0.94/1
—
S. Taniguchi n 869.4
1.56/2
0.32/0
—
K. Matsuzawa n 843.9
1.54/2
1.33/1
—
St. Truiden — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Samed Baždar n 860.5
3.37/6
1.35/2
N. Mbuku n 843.3
3.15/3
1.35/0
I. Sebaoui n 888.5
2.58/6
0.64/1
Oumar Diouf n 824.4
2.34/1
0.92/0
Frederic Soelle Soelle n 862.3
1.86/3
0.94/1
St. Truiden — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Samed Baždar n 860.5
0.93/2
0.21/0
R. Merlen n 879.5
0.42/1
0.63/1
I. Sebaoui n 888.5
0.32/0
0.42/1
Frederic Soelle Soelle n 862.3
0.42/0
0.21/0
K. Matsuzawa n 843.9
0.31/0
0.31/0
St. Truiden — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Nelson Ishiwatari n 851.9
5.68/5
W. Janssens n 831.1
3.37/2
N. Mbuku n 843.3
2.65/3
V. Musliu n 881.1
2.57/6
K. Takai n 853.6
2.37/3
St. Truiden — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Kokubo n 884.4
3.14/4
Standard Liege
Standard Liege — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Zeqiri n 819.9
5.74/1
1.73/0
—
Ryan Fosso n 817.4
3.24/1
0.61/0
—
Tobias Mohr n 822.4
23/1
00/0
—
R. Touzghar n 869.4
1.66/4
1.14/3
—
Ibrahim Karamoko n 890
1.46/3
0.83/1
—
Standard Liege — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Timothee Nkada n 843.9
3.15/4
1.34/1
Bruny Nsimba n 823.5
2.95/1
1.43/0
A. Zeqiri n 819.9
2.33/1
0.61/0
Bernard Nguene n 860.8
2.25/4
0.63/0
S. Jasper n 850.4
25/4
1.13/2
Standard Liege — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Adnane Abid n 890
0.42/1
0.32/0
Casper Nielsen n 886.9
0.32/0
0.42/1
Salieu Drammeh n 845.9
0.51/1
0.21/0
Dennis Eckert Ayensa n 864.6
0.32/0
0.21/0
Timothee Nkada n 843.9
0.52/0
00/0
Standard Liege — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ryan Fosso n 817.4
3.93/1
A. Trouillet n 880.6
2.87/4
M. Ilaimaharitra n 858.6
2.57/3
Casper Nielsen n 886.9
2.37/4
Gustav Mortensen n 886.6
2.37/4
Standard Liege — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Matthieu Epolo n 890
2.66/5

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind St. Truiden v Standard Liege — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
St. TruidenWLLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Standard LiegeWLLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
St. Truiden 2 · 2 draws · Standard Liege 2 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-12-26 Standard Liege 1–2 St. Truiden
  • 2025-11-09 St. Truiden 1–0 Standard Liege
  • 2025-01-19 St. Truiden 1–2 Standard Liege
  • 2024-11-02 Standard Liege 2–1 St. Truiden
  • 2024-04-27 Standard Liege 1–1 St. Truiden
  • 2024-04-12 St. Truiden 3–3 Standard Liege
League standing · 2026/27
St. Truiden#12 pos8 pts8 pl-1 GD
Standard Liege#9 pos11 pts8 pl0 GD
Goals per game
St. Truiden scored1.88
Standard Liege scored1.63
St. Truiden conceded2
Standard Liege conceded1.63

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value vs the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between St. Truiden and Standard Liege?
In their last 6 meetings, St. Truiden won 2, Standard Liege won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of St. Truiden and Standard Liege?
Recent form — St. Truiden 2W 0D 3L; Standard Liege 2W 0D 3L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value vs the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →