Union St. Gilloise v Cercle Brugge prediction

Jupiler Pro League · · Stade Joseph Mariën

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Union St. Gilloise · Cercle Brugge · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Union St. Gilloise v Cercle Brugge, Jupiler Pro League on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 18:15 GMT.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 199 landed (95% range 71.6–83.1%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Union St. Gilloise host Cercle Brugge in the Jupiler Pro League on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 18:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Union St. Gilloise to win, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Union St. Gilloise are unbeaten in their last nine matches. Union St. Gilloise have scored in eight consecutive matches. Union St. Gilloise have scored 22 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Form and the table

10 of Union St. Gilloise’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of Union St. Gilloise’s last 15 results (47%). At home, Union St. Gilloise have three wins, four draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.86 points per game, scoring 2.57 and conceding 0.86. Union St. Gilloise have conceded four goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

12 of Cercle Brugge’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in 11 of Cercle Brugge’s last 15 results (73%). Away from home, Cercle Brugge have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 1.88. Cercle Brugge have scored nine goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Cercle Brugge have conceded 16 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Union St. Gilloise (fourth) and Cercle Brugge (18th) are 17 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Union St. Gilloise the stronger side, 552 rating points above Cercle Brugge (Union St. Gilloise 1963, Cercle Brugge 1411, after at least 207 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Union St. Gilloise are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Cercle Brugge. The most recent meeting, on 26 December 2025, finished Cercle Brugge 1–1 Union St. Gilloise.

Team news

Predicted Union St. Gilloise XI (3-1-4-2): H. Koffi, M. Sylla, K. Mac Allister, O. Kričfaluši, K. Van de Perre, L. Patris, G. Carvalho, A. Zorgane, R. Schoofs, B. Zeneli, M. Biondic — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Massiré Sylla (5.4 per match over 10 appearances, one assist) and Kevin Mac Allister (5.3 per match over seven appearances, one goal) have been Union St. Gilloise’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Union St. Gilloise (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Massiré Sylla averages 3.3 tackles per 90 over 929 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. Kevin Mac Allister averages 3.8 tackles per 90 over 638 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last seven appearances.

Predicted Cercle Brugge XI (3-4-2-1): G. Coucke, G. Kondo, E. Kakou, I. Diakité, G. Magnee, L. Mondele, V. Konaté, M. Diaby, L. Amani, L. Le Roux, S. Ngoura — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Makaya Ibrahima Diaby (4.6 per match over four appearances) and Christiaan Ravych (4.4 per match over three appearances, one goal) have been Cercle Brugge’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Cercle Brugge (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Makaya Ibrahima Diaby averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 371 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last five appearances. Christiaan Ravych averages 1.3 tackles per 90 over 270 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Jupiler Pro League · Stade Joseph Mariën
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Union St. Gilloise 2 · draws 2 · Cercle Brugge 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Union St. Gilloise 3W 2D 0L · Cercle Brugge 1W 1D 3L

Union St. Gilloise v Cercle Brugge (Jupiler Pro League): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.63 / 1.13
Goals
against 0.5 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 7
Corners
against 3.38 / 3.71 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
7.88 / 4.57
Shots on target
against 2.75 / 4.57 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.88 / 1.29
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.86 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameUnion St. Gilloise for / againstLineCercle Brugge for / against
Goals scored
2.63 for · 0.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 3.38 against n 8
9.5standard
7 for · 3.71 against n 7
Shots
18.63 for · 11.25 against n 8
19.5standard
13.86 for · 12.29 against n 7
Shots on target
7.88 for · 2.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.57 for · 4.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
12.13 for · 12 against n 8
21.5standard
12.57 for · 11.43 against n 7
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.29 for · 1.86 against n 7
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Hurtevent n 417.5
3.92/1
00/0
—
N. Chibani n 438
32/1
1.22/0
—
R. Florucz n 828.3
2.42/2
0.82/0
—
N. Havenaar n 860.6
2.25/4
0.95/0
—
Ilan Hurtevent n 835.6
2.25/2
2.53/1
—
Union St. Gilloise — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Hurtevent n 417.5
5.12/1
3.92/1
R. Florucz n 828.3
4.45/4
23/1
Ilan Hurtevent n 835.6
3.85/3
2.25/2
K. Rodríguez n 835.4
3.55/3
1.63/1
Dylan Aquino n 847.9
3.16/4
0.72/1
Union St. Gilloise — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Hurtevent n 417.5
1.31/0
1.31/0
Ilan Hurtevent n 835.6
0.93/0
0.31/0
R. Florucz n 828.3
1.22/1
00/0
Mateo Biondic n 879.3
0.43/0
0.62/2
A. Ait El Hadj n 860.8
0.42/0
0.42/0
Union St. Gilloise — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Mac Allister n 887.8
48/8
M. Sylla n 889.9
3.87/6
O. Kričfaluši n 867.5
3.76/6
N. Chibani n 438
3.62/2
L. Patris n 882
3.28/8
Union St. Gilloise — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
H. Koffi n 890
24/3
Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Makaya Ibrahima Diaby n 876.4
2.87/6
16/1
—
Charles Herrmann n 723.3
2.84/1
1.12/0
—
L. Amani n 836.9
2.46/2
2.45/1
—
Krys Kouassi n 822.8
22/2
2.53/2
—
Ibrahim Diakité n 871.1
1.93/3
1.15/2
—
Cercle Brugge — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Steve Ngoura n 870.6
38/6
1.45/2
A. Manneh n 867.8
2.26/4
0.84/1
Dante Vanzeir n 862.3
26/5
0.94/1
Erick n 824.9
1.83/1
0.51/0
L. Michal n 820.6
1.63/0
0.51/0
Cercle Brugge — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Erick n 824.9
0.51/0
0.51/0
Dante Vanzeir n 862.3
0.21/0
0.42/0
A. Manneh n 867.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
Charles Herrmann n 723.3
00/0
0.61/0
Krys Kouassi n 822.8
0.51/0
00/0
Cercle Brugge — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Lawrence Agyekum n 829.4
7.38/6
L. Le Roux n 856.6
57/5
Hannes Van Der Bruggen n 864.3
3.57/5
Makaya Ibrahima Diaby n 876.4
3.47/7
Ibrahim Diakité n 871.1
2.87/5
Cercle Brugge — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Coucke n 890
2.56/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Union St. Gilloise v Cercle Brugge — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Union St. GilloiseWWWDD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.4 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Cercle BruggeLDLLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Union St. Gilloise 2 · 2 draws · Cercle Brugge 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2025-12-26 Cercle Brugge 1–1 Union St. Gilloise
  • 2025-11-22 Union St. Gilloise 2–0 Cercle Brugge
  • 2024-12-08 Cercle Brugge 0–0 Union St. Gilloise
  • 2024-10-27 Union St. Gilloise 1–3 Cercle Brugge
  • 2024-05-19 Cercle Brugge 1–2 Union St. Gilloise
  • 2024-04-07 Union St. Gilloise 2–3 Cercle Brugge
League standing · 2026/27
Union St. Gilloise#4 pos20 pts8 pl+18 GD
Cercle Brugge#18 pos3 pts8 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Union St. Gilloise scored2.75
Cercle Brugge scored1.13
Union St. Gilloise conceded0.5
Cercle Brugge conceded2

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Union St. Gilloise v Cercle Brugge?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Union St. Gilloise v Cercle Brugge is Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Union St. Gilloise and Cercle Brugge?
In their last 6 meetings, Union St. Gilloise won 2, Cercle Brugge won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Union St. Gilloise and Cercle Brugge?
Recent form — Union St. Gilloise 3W 2D 0L; Cercle Brugge 1W 1D 3L.

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