Excelsior '31 v ADO Den Haag prediction

KNVB Beker ·

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Excelsior '31 v ADO Den Haag, KNVB Beker on Tue, 27 Oct 2026 17:45 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 634 landed (95% range 62.2–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Excelsior '31 host ADO Den Haag in the KNVB Beker on Tuesday 27 October (kick-off 17:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

11 of Excelsior '31’s last 13 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (85%).

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 10 of Excelsior '31’s last 13 results in all competitions (77%). At home, Excelsior '31 have three wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 2.33 and conceding 2.33.

10 of ADO Den Haag’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of ADO Den Haag’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, ADO Den Haag have no wins, three draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.38 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 2.88.

ADO Den Haag are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have ADO Den Haag the stronger side, 71 rating points above Excelsior '31 (ADO Den Haag 1754, Excelsior '31 1683, after at least 13 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 18 October 2022, finished Excelsior '31 2–3 ADO Den Haag.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Pascal Mulder (4.5 per match over nine appearances) and Juho Kilo (4.4 per match over nine appearances, one goal and one assist) have been ADO Den Haag’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for ADO Den Haag (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Pascal Mulder averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 793 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last nine appearances. Juho Kilo averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 810 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · KNVB Beker
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Excelsior '31 0 · draws 0 · ADO Den Haag 1 · 5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Excelsior '31 3W 0D 2L · ADO Den Haag 1W 2D 2L

Excelsior '31 v ADO Den Haag (KNVB Beker): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

19
Markets analysed

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Excelsior '31 v ADO Den Haag — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Excelsior '31LWLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
ADO Den HaagLLDDW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Excelsior '31 0 · 0 draws · ADO Den Haag 1 · 5 goals/game
  • 2022-10-18 Excelsior '31 2–3 ADO Den Haag
Goals per game
Excelsior '31 scored2.2
ADO Den Haag scored1.4
Excelsior '31 conceded2.2
ADO Den Haag conceded1.8

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Excelsior '31 v ADO Den Haag?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Excelsior '31 v ADO Den Haag is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Excelsior '31 and ADO Den Haag?
In their last 1 meetings, Excelsior '31 won 0, ADO Den Haag won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Excelsior '31 and ADO Den Haag?
Recent form — Excelsior '31 3W 0D 2L; ADO Den Haag 1W 2D 2L.

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