Groningen v Emmen prediction

KNVB Beker · · Euroborg

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Groningen v Emmen, KNVB Beker on Thu, 29 Oct 2026 20:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 216 landed (95% range 71.8–82.8%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Groningen host Emmen in the KNVB Beker on Thursday 29 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Groningen to win.

The key numbers

12 of Groningen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Groningen have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. Emmen are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 12 of Groningen’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%). At home, Groningen have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.88 and conceding 1.88.

Eight of Emmen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Emmen’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Emmen have two wins, one draw and six defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 0.78 points per game, scoring 0.78 and conceding 1.78.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Groningen the stronger side, 332 rating points above Emmen (Groningen 1780, Emmen 1448, after at least 16 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Groningen are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Emmen. The most recent meeting, on 18 February 2023, finished Groningen 1–1 Emmen.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Thom van Bergen (7.1 per match over nine appearances, six goals and two assists) and David van der Werff (5.0 per match over nine appearances, two goals and three assists) have been Groningen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Groningen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Thom van Bergen averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 805 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances. David van der Werff averages 2.8 key passes per 90 over 735 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · KNVB Beker · Euroborg
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Groningen 2 · draws 3 · Emmen 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Groningen 2W 2D 1L · Emmen 0W 1D 4L

Groningen v Emmen (KNVB Beker): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 22 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.5 / 0.75
Goals
against 2.25 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 4.8
Corners
against 5 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 5 matches
5.88 / 4.2
Shots on target
against 5.75 / 5.4 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 5 matches
1.13 / 2
Cards
against 1.38 / 1.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameGroningen for / againstLineEmmen for / against
Goals scored
2.5 for · 2.25 against n 8
2.5standard
0.75 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.8 for · 5 against n 5
Shots
14.75 for · 15.38 against n 8
19.5standard
14 for · 14.4 against n 5
Shots on target
5.88 for · 5.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.2 for · 5.4 against n 5
Fouls committed
8.63 for · 10.38 against n 8
21.5standard
11.8 for · 9.6 against n 5
Cards shown
1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.5 against n 6
Groningen
Groningen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Csinger n 871.8
1.78/2
1.34/2
—
T. Hernes n 819.6
1.73/0
0.61/0
—
B. Willumsson n 861.6
1.65/3
1.64/3
—
J. Schreuders n 884.4
1.57/4
0.84/2
—
R. Metu n 815.1
1.52/0
0.71/0
—
Groningen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Nils Eggens n 89
54/0
2.52/0
O. Zawada n 817.4
4.55/2
1.92/1
T. van Bergen n 889.4
2.66/5
1.66/4
B. Willumsson n 861.6
27/3
0.94/1
D. van der Werff n 880.6
1.87/4
15/1
Groningen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Zawada n 817.4
1.31/1
00/0
Nils Eggens n 89
1.31/0
00/0
T. van Bergen n 889.4
0.65/0
0.32/0
D. van der Werff n 880.6
0.32/0
0.42/1
M. Rente n 859.8
0.41/1
0.21/0
Groningen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Schreuders n 884.4
3.57/5
M. Csinger n 871.8
2.77/4
E. van der Laan n 643.8
2.75/2
R. Metu n 815.1
2.23/0
D. van der Werff n 880.6
26/4
Groningen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Vaessen n 890
3.26/5
Emmen
Emmen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Pouwels n 820.3
4.44/2
2.23/1
—
D. Ubbink n 463.5
3.24/3
0.72/0
—
V. Besuijen n 813.5
1.72/0
2.53/0
—
M. Kieftenbeld n 878
1.46/2
16/1
—
D. Vos n 877.4
1.35/2
0.41/1
—
Emmen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
V. Besuijen n 813.5
2.52/1
0.81/0
P. Parzyszek n 869.8
2.36/3
15/1
Ahmed El Messaoudi n 866.8
1.96/4
15/1
Rui Mendes n 867
1.86/3
0.84/1
D. Ubbink n 463.5
1.12/1
0.41/0
Emmen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
V. Besuijen n 813.5
0.81/0
00/0
P. Parzyszek n 869.8
0.53/0
00/0
Ahmed El Messaoudi n 866.8
0.32/0
0.21/0
Ben Scholte n 535.8
00/0
0.51/0
Robin Schouten n 3100
00/0
0.31/0
Emmen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Lorenzo Burnet n 867.8
3.27/6
Robin Schouten n 3100
33/2
M. Heylen n 832.9
2.44/2
D. Vos n 877.4
27/4
Ahmed El Messaoudi n 866.8
1.94/3
Emmen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Oelschlägel n 890
3.56/6

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Groningen v Emmen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GroningenDDWWL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
EmmenDLLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Groningen 2 · 3 draws · Emmen 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2023-02-18 Groningen 1–1 Emmen
  • 2022-10-30 Emmen 0–0 Groningen
  • 2021-05-09 Emmen 0–4 Groningen
  • 2021-03-13 Groningen 1–1 Emmen
  • 2020-12-15 Emmen 2–1 Groningen
  • 2019-12-22 Groningen 2–0 Emmen
Goals per game
Groningen scored2.6
Emmen scored0.6
Groningen conceded1.8
Emmen conceded2.2

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Groningen v Emmen?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Groningen v Emmen is Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Groningen and Emmen?
In their last 6 meetings, Groningen won 2, Emmen won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Groningen and Emmen?
Recent form — Groningen 2W 2D 1L; Emmen 0W 1D 4L.

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