Alaves v Athletic Club prediction
Team pages: Alaves · Athletic Club · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Alaves v Athletic Club, La Liga on Sun, 07 Mar 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Alaves host Athletic Club in La Liga on Sunday 7 March (kick-off 16:00 UK).
The key numbers
Alaves are winless in their last four matches.
Athletic Club are unbeaten in their last five matches.
Form and the table
Eight of Alaves’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Alaves’s last 15 results (60%). At home, Alaves have five wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 9 home matches — 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.78 and conceding 1.33. Alaves have scored 12 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Alaves have conceded eight goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Six of Athletic Club’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Athletic Club’s last 15 results (47%). Away from home, Athletic Club have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.86. Athletic Club have scored seven goals, the fourth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Athletic Club have conceded six goals, the fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Alaves (seventh) and Athletic Club (10th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Athletic Club the stronger side, 24 rating points above Alaves (Athletic Club 1572, Alaves 1548, after at least 312 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 19 September 2026, finished Athletic Club 0–0 Alaves.
Team news
Predicted Alaves XI (3-5-2): Sivera, N. Tenaglia, V. Koski, Jonny, P. Ibáñez, A. Blanco, A. Rebbach, D. Suárez, C. Benavídez, L. Boyé, T. Martínez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Lucas Boyé (5.3 per match over seven appearances, five goals) and Sivera (3.6 per match over eight appearances, one assist) have been Alaves’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Alaves (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lucas Boyé averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 548 minutes, with a shot in six of the last seven appearances. Sivera averages 3.5 saves per 90 over 720 minutes, with two or more saves in eight of the last eight appearances.
Predicted Athletic Club XI (4-2-3-1): U. Simón, Yuri, J. Areso, Yeray, A. Paredes, B. Gerenabarrena, R. Navarro, R. de Galarreta, P. Canales, M. Jauregizar, I. Williams — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Robert Navarro (3.6 per match over six appearances, two goals) and Nico Williams (3.2 per match over six appearances, one goal) have been Athletic Club’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Athletic Club (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Robert Navarro averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 362 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last six appearances. Nico Williams averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 562 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · La Liga · Estadio Mendizorrotza
- Head-to-head (last 6): Alaves 1 · draws 2 · Athletic Club 3 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: Alaves 1W 1D 3L · Athletic Club 2W 3D 0L
As of 16 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Alaves v Athletic Club across every major market; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Alaves for / against | Line | Athletic Club for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.75 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.88 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.88 for · 8.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.25 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.75 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.25 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.88 for · 9.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Alaves
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Boyé n 8 | 79 | 2.7 | 2.1 | — |
| Aitor Mañas n 8 | 20.5 | 2.2 | 2.2 | — |
| Miguel Rodríguez n 8 | 15.3 | 2.2 | 5.9 | — |
| Pablo Ibáñez n 8 | 83.8 | 2 | 1.7 | — |
| N. Valentini n 8 | 67 | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Rodríguez n 8 | 15.3 | 3.7 | 2.2 |
| Toni Martínez n 8 | 62.9 | 2.3 | 0.5 |
| M. Díaz n 8 | 43.6 | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| L. Boyé n 8 | 79 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| Angel Pérez n 8 | 69.1 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Díaz n 8 | 43.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| L. Boyé n 8 | 79 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Angel Pérez n 8 | 69.1 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Guevara n 8 | 23.9 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Carles Aleñá n 8 | 25.9 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Yusi n 8 | 27 | 4.2 |
| Mikel Rodriguez n 8 | 57.8 | 3.5 |
| Guevara n 8 | 23.9 | 2.8 |
| Antonio Blanco n 8 | 73.8 | 2.6 |
| Carles Aleñá n 8 | 25.9 | 2.6 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Sivera n 8 | 90 | 3.5 |
Athletic Club
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruíz de Galarreta n 8 | 61.1 | 2.6 | 1.8 | — |
| Gorka Guruzeta n 8 | 56.4 | 2.4 | 0.8 | — |
| Hugo Rincón n 8 | 28.4 | 2.4 | 4 | — |
| Mikel Jauregizar n 8 | 49.4 | 2.3 | 1.1 | — |
| Beñat Gerenabarrena n 8 | 74.6 | 2.1 | 1.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Williams n 8 | 55.1 | 2.7 | 0.6 |
| Gorka Guruzeta n 8 | 56.4 | 2.6 | 0.8 |
| Oihan Sancet n 8 | 78.1 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| I. Williams n 8 | 62.4 | 2 | 0.9 |
| Maroan Sannadi n 8 | 29.4 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| I. Williams n 8 | 62.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Peio Canales n 8 | 66.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Robert Navarro n 8 | 62.1 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Nico Williams n 8 | 55.1 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Álex Berenguer n 8 | 50.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Hugo Rincón n 8 | 28.4 | 4 |
| Mikel Jauregizar n 8 | 49.4 | 3.4 |
| A. Boiro n 8 | 43.6 | 2.8 |
| Johaneko Louis-Jean n 6 | 43 | 2.4 |
| Beñat Gerenabarrena n 8 | 74.6 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Álex Padilla n 8 | 97.5 | 2.5 |
| Unai Simón n 8 | 84.4 | 2.1 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Alaves v Athletic Club — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-09-19 Athletic Club 0–0 Alaves
- 2026-05-02 Alaves 2–4 Athletic Club
- 2025-09-13 Athletic Club 0–1 Alaves
- 2025-05-11 Athletic Club 1–0 Alaves
- 2024-12-15 Alaves 1–1 Athletic Club
- 2024-03-16 Athletic Club 2–0 Alaves
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Alaves and Athletic Club?
- In their last 6 meetings, Alaves won 1, Athletic Club won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Alaves and Athletic Club?
- Recent form — Alaves 1W 1D 3L; Athletic Club 2W 3D 0L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.