Athletic Club v Getafe prediction

La Liga · · San Mamés Barria

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Athletic Club v Getafe, La Liga on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 13:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.3% of 1553 landed (95% range 73.1–77.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Athletic Club host Getafe in La Liga on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 13:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Athletic Club or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Athletic Club have conceded six goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Getafe have scored five goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Athletic Club are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Getafe are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Athletic Club’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Athletic Club’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Athletic Club have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.00. Athletic Club have scored seven goals, the fourth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Five of Getafe’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in seven of Getafe’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Getafe have no wins, one draw and six defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.14 points per game, scoring 0.29 and conceding 1.71. Getafe have conceded 11 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Athletic Club (11th) and Getafe (14th) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Athletic Club the stronger side, 77 rating points above Getafe (Athletic Club 1567, Getafe 1490, after at least 350 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Getafe 2–0 Athletic Club.

Team news

Predicted Athletic Club XI (4-2-3-1): U. Simón, A. Laporte, A. Paredes, J. Areso, Yuri, B. Gerenabarrena, R. Navarro, R. de Galarreta, P. Canales, Á. Berenguer, I. Williams — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Robert Navarro (3.4 per match over seven appearances, two goals) and Nico Williams (3.2 per match over six appearances, one goal) have been Athletic Club’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Athletic Club (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Robert Navarro averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 452 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances. Nico Williams averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 562 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Getafe XI (5-4-1): D. Soria, D. Dakonam, J. Mojica, Z. Romero, A. García, K. Femenía, R. Terrats, F. Serrano, O. Mangala, M. Martín, E. Ünal — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. Satriano (4.2 per match over 12 appearances, two goals and three assists) and Ramón Terrats (3.6 per match over 11 appearances, one goal) have been Getafe’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Getafe (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Satriano averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 929 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Ramón Terrats averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 899 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · La Liga · San Mamés Barria
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Athletic Club 2 · draws 2 · Getafe 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Athletic Club 2W 3D 0L · Getafe 1W 2D 2L

Athletic Club v Getafe (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 0.63
Goals
against 0.75 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
5.63 / 3.88
Corners
against 4 / 5.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 3
Shots on target
against 3.25 / 4.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 4.25
Cards
against 1.63 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAthletic Club for / againstLineGetafe for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.25our book
0.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
5.63 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
3.88 for · 5.88 against n 8
Shots
13 for · 9.25 against n 8
19.5standard
11.63 for · 15.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 3.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
10 for · 10.5 against n 8
21.5standard
14 for · 12 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
4.25 for · 2.5 against n 8
Athletic Club
Athletic Club — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Nico Serrano n 814.6
3.84/1
4.65/1
—
Alejandro Rego n 855.3
2.95/4
0.84/0
—
Gorka Guruzeta n 845.8
2.76/2
13/1
—
Ruíz de Galarreta n 857.8
2.55/5
1.44/2
—
Beñat Gerenabarrena n 869
2.35/4
1.66/3
—
Athletic Club — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Nico Williams n 855.1
2.77/5
0.63/0
Gorka Guruzeta n 845.8
2.54/4
0.52/0
Oihan Sancet n 878.1
2.38/5
0.95/1
I. Williams n 862.5
2.36/5
1.14/2
Nico Serrano n 814.6
2.33/0
1.52/0
Athletic Club — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Williams n 862.5
0.21/0
0.42/0
Peio Canales n 866.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Nico Williams n 855.1
0.42/0
00/0
Álex Berenguer n 851.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
Oihan Sancet n 878.1
0.32/0
00/0
Athletic Club — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Mikel Jauregizar n 851.6
3.57/4
Nico Serrano n 814.6
3.14/0
Beñat Gerenabarrena n 869
2.86/5
A. Boiro n 843.6
2.84/3
Alejandro Rego n 855.3
2.46/3
Athletic Club — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Unai Simón n 884.4
2.34/4
Getafe
Getafe — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Óscar López n 610.7
4.23/0
1.41/0
—
S. Boselli n 821.3
3.74/2
0.51/0
—
Davinchi n 824.1
2.85/1
0.91/1
—
Saba Sazonov n 833.5
2.73/2
1.74/1
—
Mario Martín n 869.9
2.36/5
1.96/3
—
Getafe — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Joselu n 438.3
3.52/1
0.61/0
M. Satriano n 873.4
2.57/5
0.94/1
Ivan Azón n 863.4
2.16/4
1.14/1
Ramón Terrats n 880.9
1.96/5
0.73/2
Alberto Risco n 815
1.52/0
0.81/0
Getafe — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Ivan Azón n 863.4
0.21/0
0.42/0
M. Satriano n 873.4
0.32/0
0.21/0
E. Ünal n 882.9
0.32/0
00/0
N. Gudelj n 870
0.21/0
00/0
Francho Serrano n 869.3
00/0
0.21/0
Getafe — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Boselli n 821.3
3.74/3
A. R. Alcantara n 316.7
3.61/1
Alberto Risco n 815
2.33/0
Mario Martín n 869.9
1.97/4
Ramón Terrats n 880.9
1.88/2
Getafe — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
David Soria n 890
3.47/5

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Athletic Club v Getafe — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Athletic ClubWWDDD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.2 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
GetafeLWLDD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Athletic Club 2 · 2 draws · Getafe 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-04-05 Getafe 2–0 Athletic Club
  • 2025-10-25 Athletic Club 0–1 Getafe
  • 2025-05-15 Getafe 0–2 Athletic Club
  • 2024-08-15 Athletic Club 1–1 Getafe
  • 2024-05-03 Getafe 0–2 Athletic Club
  • 2023-09-27 Athletic Club 2–2 Getafe
League standing · 2026/27
Athletic Club#11 pos9 pts7 pl+1 GD
Getafe#14 pos9 pts9 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Athletic Club scored1
Getafe scored0.56
Athletic Club conceded0.86
Getafe conceded1.22

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Athletic Club v Getafe?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Athletic Club v Getafe is Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Athletic Club and Getafe?
In their last 6 meetings, Athletic Club won 2, Getafe won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Athletic Club and Getafe?
Recent form — Athletic Club 2W 3D 0L; Getafe 1W 2D 2L.

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