Athletic Club v Real Sociedad prediction

La Liga · · San Mamés Barria

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Athletic Club v Real Sociedad, La Liga on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Athletic Club host Real Sociedad in La Liga on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 20:00 UK).

The key numbers

Athletic Club have conceded six goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Athletic Club are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Real Sociedad are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Real Sociedad have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Athletic Club’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Athletic Club’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Athletic Club have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.00. Athletic Club have scored seven goals, the fourth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

10 of Real Sociedad’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 12 of Real Sociedad’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%). Away from home, Real Sociedad have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.88 and conceding 1.75. Real Sociedad have scored 17 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Real Sociedad have conceded 17 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Athletic Club (11th) and Real Sociedad (fifth) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Real Sociedad the stronger side, 20 rating points above Athletic Club (Real Sociedad 1587, Athletic Club 1567, after at least 350 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Real Sociedad are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Athletic Club. The most recent meeting, on 4 March 2026, finished Real Sociedad 1–0 Athletic Club.

Team news

Predicted Athletic Club XI (4-2-3-1): U. Simón, A. Laporte, A. Paredes, J. Areso, Yuri, B. Gerenabarrena, R. Navarro, R. de Galarreta, P. Canales, Á. Berenguer, I. Williams — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Robert Navarro (3.4 per match over seven appearances, two goals) and Nico Williams (3.2 per match over six appearances, one goal) have been Athletic Club’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Athletic Club (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Robert Navarro averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 452 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances. Nico Williams averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 562 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Real Sociedad XI (4-4-2): Á. Remiro, S. Gómez, J. Martín, J. Aramburu, Zubeldia, C. Soler, Y. Herrera, Barrenetxea, L. Sučić, M. Oyarzabal, O. Óskarsson — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Aramburu (4.1 per match over seven appearances) and Unai Marrero (4.1 per match over three appearances) have been Real Sociedad’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Real Sociedad (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Aramburu averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 1047 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. Unai Marrero averages 4.3 saves per 90 over 270 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · La Liga · San Mamés Barria
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Athletic Club 1 · draws 2 · Real Sociedad 3 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Athletic Club 2W 3D 0L · Real Sociedad 3W 1D 1L

Athletic Club v Real Sociedad (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 2
Goals
against 0.75 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 7
Corners
against 4 / 5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 4.88
Shots on target
against 3.25 / 5.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.63 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAthletic Club for / againstLineReal Sociedad for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.5standard
2 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.63 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
7 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
13 for · 9.25 against n 8
19.5standard
14.13 for · 15.88 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 3.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4.88 for · 5.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
10 for · 10.5 against n 8
21.5standard
12.25 for · 10.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2.38 against n 8
Athletic Club
Athletic Club — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Nico Serrano n 814.6
3.84/1
4.65/1
—
Alejandro Rego n 855.3
2.95/4
0.84/0
—
Gorka Guruzeta n 845.8
2.76/2
13/1
—
Ruíz de Galarreta n 857.8
2.55/5
1.44/2
—
Beñat Gerenabarrena n 869
2.35/4
1.66/3
—
Athletic Club — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Nico Williams n 855.1
2.77/5
0.63/0
Gorka Guruzeta n 845.8
2.54/4
0.52/0
Oihan Sancet n 878.1
2.38/5
0.95/1
I. Williams n 862.5
2.36/5
1.14/2
Nico Serrano n 814.6
2.33/0
1.52/0
Athletic Club — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Williams n 862.5
0.21/0
0.42/0
Peio Canales n 866.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Nico Williams n 855.1
0.42/0
00/0
Álex Berenguer n 851.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
Oihan Sancet n 878.1
0.32/0
00/0
Athletic Club — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Mikel Jauregizar n 851.6
3.57/4
Nico Serrano n 814.6
3.14/0
Beñat Gerenabarrena n 869
2.86/5
A. Boiro n 843.6
2.84/3
Alejandro Rego n 855.3
2.46/3
Athletic Club — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Unai Simón n 884.4
2.34/4
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Aramburu n 885.9
3.38/6
2.47/6
—
Y. Herrera n 868.5
36/5
1.88/3
—
Barrenetxea n 859.8
2.67/4
0.94/1
—
J. Ochieng n 854.4
2.35/4
0.83/1
—
O. Óskarsson n 868.6
26/5
0.53/0
—
Real Sociedad — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Óskarsson n 868.6
3.16/5
1.55/3
Mikel Oyarzabal n 870.3
2.28/3
1.15/1
Gonçalo Guedes n 856
1.86/2
0.84/0
L. Sučić n 866.8
1.56/2
0.73/1
Barrenetxea n 859.8
1.55/3
0.63/0
Real Sociedad — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Óskarsson n 868.6
0.73/1
0.32/0
J. Ochieng n 854.4
0.21/0
0.62/1
Héctor Fort n 829.3
0.41/0
0.41/0
Carlos Soler n 867.4
0.21/0
0.53/0
Barrenetxea n 859.8
0.42/0
0.21/0
Real Sociedad — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Aihen Muñoz n 840.4
3.16/3
J. Aramburu n 885.9
2.96/5
Y. Herrera n 868.5
2.86/4
Zubeldia n 866.6
2.45/4
Alex Garcia n 841.4
2.46/1
Real Sociedad — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Álex Remiro n 890
4.18/5
Unai Marrero n 897.5
3.36/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Athletic Club v Real Sociedad — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Athletic ClubWWDDD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.2 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
Real SociedadLWWDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Athletic Club 1 · 2 draws · Real Sociedad 3 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2026-03-04 Real Sociedad 1–0 Athletic Club
  • 2026-02-11 Athletic Club 0–1 Real Sociedad
  • 2026-02-01 Athletic Club 1–1 Real Sociedad
  • 2025-11-01 Real Sociedad 3–2 Athletic Club
  • 2025-05-04 Real Sociedad 0–0 Athletic Club
  • 2024-11-24 Athletic Club 1–0 Real Sociedad
League standing · 2026/27
Athletic Club#11 pos9 pts7 pl+1 GD
Real Sociedad#5 pos16 pts9 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Athletic Club scored1
Real Sociedad scored1.89
Athletic Club conceded0.86
Real Sociedad conceded1.89

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Athletic Club and Real Sociedad?
In their last 6 meetings, Athletic Club won 1, Real Sociedad won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Athletic Club and Real Sociedad?
Recent form — Athletic Club 2W 3D 0L; Real Sociedad 3W 1D 1L.

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