Atletico Madrid v Athletic Club prediction
Team pages: Atletico Madrid · Athletic Club · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Atletico Madrid v Athletic Club, La Liga on Sun, 23 May 2027 16:00 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Atletico Madrid host Athletic Club in La Liga on Sunday 23 May (kick-off 16:00 UK).
The key numbers
Atletico Madrid have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions. Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions. Athletic Club are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
10 of Atletico Madrid’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in eight of Atletico Madrid’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Atletico Madrid have five wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.67 points per game, scoring 2.17 and conceding 0.50. Atletico Madrid have scored 19 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Atletico Madrid have conceded eight goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs.
Six of Athletic Club’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Athletic Club’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Athletic Club have two wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.88 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 2.00. Athletic Club have scored eight goals, the fourth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Athletic Club have conceded nine goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Atletico Madrid (second) and Athletic Club (13th) are 13 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Atletico Madrid the stronger side, 282 rating points above Athletic Club (Atletico Madrid 1785, Athletic Club 1503, after at least 351 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 5 September 2026, finished Athletic Club 3–0 Atletico Madrid.
Team news
Predicted Atletico Madrid XI (4-4-2): J. Oblak, Á. Grimaldo, D. Hancko, M. Pubill, M. Llorente, G. Simeone, M. Hjulmand, J. Cardoso, P. Barrios, J. David, A. Lookman — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Álex Grimaldo (4.7 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and one assist) and Giuliano Simeone (4.0 per match over 12 appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Atletico Madrid’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Atletico Madrid (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Álex Grimaldo averages 1.9 tackles per 90 over 1016 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. Giuliano Simeone averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1320 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Athletic Club XI (4-2-3-1): U. Simón, Yuri, Yeray, A. Paredes, J. Areso, R. Navarro, R. de Galarreta, B. Gerenabarrena, Á. Berenguer, P. Canales, I. Williams — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Álex Berenguer (3.7 per match over nine appearances, two goals and one assist) and Unai Simón (3.3 per match over nine appearances) have been Athletic Club’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Athletic Club (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Álex Berenguer averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 505 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances. Unai Simón averages 2.7 saves per 90 over 1485 minutes, with two or more saves in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · La Liga · Metropolitano Stadium
- Head-to-head (last 6): Atletico Madrid 4 · draws 0 · Athletic Club 2 · 2.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Atletico Madrid 4W 1D 0L · Athletic Club 1W 3D 1L
Atletico Madrid v Athletic Club (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 23 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Atletico Madrid for / against | Line | Athletic Club for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.88 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.88 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.5 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 16.13 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.38 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 6.25 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.25 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.75 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.13 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
Atletico Madrid
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arnau Ortiz n 8 | 22.9 | 3 | 2.5 | — |
| Rodrigo Mendoza n 8 | 45.1 | 2.5 | 1.2 | — |
| Alexander Sørloth n 8 | 54.1 | 2.3 | 0.6 | — |
| Alex Baena n 8 | 50.8 | 2.2 | 0.9 | — |
| Robin Le Normand n 8 | 44.9 | 1.8 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Julián Alvarez n 8 | 53.9 | 4 | 1.5 |
| Alex Baena n 8 | 50.8 | 2.7 | 2 |
| Dávid Hancko n 8 | 69.8 | 2.1 | 0.5 |
| Jonathan David n 8 | 57.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Álex Grimaldo n 8 | 76.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Baena n 8 | 50.8 | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| Jonathan David n 8 | 57.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Julián Alvarez n 8 | 53.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Ademola Lookman n 8 | 44 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Álex Grimaldo n 8 | 76.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Koke n 8 | 53.6 | 2.9 |
| Marcos Llorente n 8 | 79.4 | 2.7 |
| Obed Vargas n 8 | 34 | 2 |
| Morten Hjulmand n 8 | 65.4 | 1.9 |
| Marc Pubill n 8 | 68.4 | 1.8 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Jan Oblak n 8 | 90 | 3.6 |
Athletic Club
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Serrano n 8 | 14.6 | 3.8 | 4.6 | — |
| Mikel Jauregizar n 8 | 48.4 | 2.8 | 0.9 | — |
| Alejandro Rego n 8 | 53.3 | 2.7 | 0.8 | — |
| Gorka Guruzeta n 8 | 45.8 | 2.7 | 1 | — |
| Beñat Gerenabarrena n 8 | 69 | 2.3 | 1.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Williams n 8 | 52.3 | 2.8 | 0.6 |
| Gorka Guruzeta n 8 | 45.8 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| Oihan Sancet n 8 | 78.1 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| Maroan Sannadi n 8 | 29.9 | 2.3 | 0.4 |
| Nico Serrano n 8 | 14.6 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| I. Williams n 8 | 60.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Álex Berenguer n 8 | 51.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Peio Canales n 8 | 60.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Nico Williams n 8 | 52.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Oihan Sancet n 8 | 78.1 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Mikel Jauregizar n 8 | 48.4 | 3.7 |
| Nico Serrano n 8 | 14.6 | 3.1 |
| Beñat Gerenabarrena n 8 | 69 | 2.8 |
| A. Boiro n 8 | 43.6 | 2.8 |
| Alejandro Rego n 8 | 53.3 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Unai Simón n 8 | 84.4 | 2.1 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Atletico Madrid v Athletic Club — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-09-05 Athletic Club 3–0 Atletico Madrid
- 2026-04-25 Atletico Madrid 3–2 Athletic Club
- 2025-12-06 Athletic Club 1–0 Atletico Madrid
- 2025-03-01 Atletico Madrid 1–0 Athletic Club
- 2024-08-31 Athletic Club 0–1 Atletico Madrid
- 2024-04-27 Atletico Madrid 3–1 Athletic Club
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Atletico Madrid and Athletic Club?
- In their last 6 meetings, Atletico Madrid won 4, Athletic Club won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Atletico Madrid and Athletic Club?
- Recent form — Atletico Madrid 4W 1D 0L; Athletic Club 1W 3D 1L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.