Atletico Madrid v Deportivo La Coruna prediction
Team pages: Atletico Madrid · Deportivo La Coruna
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Atletico Madrid v Deportivo La Coruna, La Liga on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.
The match
Atletico Madrid host Deportivo La Coruna in La Liga on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.
The key numbers
Both teams scored in 12 of Deportivo La Coruna’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).
Atletico Madrid have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Atletico Madrid have won their last six matches in all competitions. Deportivo La Coruna are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
10 of Atletico Madrid’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of Atletico Madrid’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Atletico Madrid have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 0.57. Atletico Madrid have scored 19 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Atletico Madrid have conceded eight goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs.
Six of Deportivo La Coruna’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Away from home, Deportivo La Coruna have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.14. Deportivo La Coruna have scored 13 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Deportivo La Coruna have conceded 12 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Atletico Madrid (second) and Deportivo La Coruna (ninth) are 11 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Atletico Madrid the stronger side, 312 rating points above Deportivo La Coruna (Atletico Madrid 1785, Deportivo La Coruna 1473, after at least 47 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Deportivo La Coruna, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 13 January 2026, finished Deportivo La Coruna 0–1 Atletico Madrid.
Team news
Predicted Atletico Madrid XI (4-4-2): J. Oblak, Á. Grimaldo, D. Hancko, M. Pubill, C. Romero, G. Simeone, M. Hjulmand, Koke, J. Cardoso, L. Kang-In, J. David — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Álex Grimaldo (5.0 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and one assist) and Alex Baena (4.2 per match over 11 appearances, five goals and three assists) have been Atletico Madrid’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Atletico Madrid (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Álex Grimaldo averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 926 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Alex Baena averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 1497 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Deportivo La Coruna XI (4-2-3-1): L. Román, G. Quagliata, X. Navarro, J. Giménez, B. Ede, M. Soriano, L. Amatucci, L. Cruz, R. Rodríguez, D. Villares, B. Nsongo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (5.2 per match over seven appearances, five goals and two assists) and Peke (3.6 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Deportivo La Coruna’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Deportivo La Coruna (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 560 minutes, with a shot in six of the last seven appearances. Peke averages 1.1 shots per 90 over 331 minutes, with a shot in one of the last eight appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · La Liga · Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 3): Atletico Madrid 3 · draws 0 · Deportivo La Coruna 0 · 1 goals/game
- Recent form: Atletico Madrid 5W 0D 0L · Deportivo La Coruna 0W 3D 2L
Atletico Madrid v Deportivo La Coruna (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Atletico Madrid for / against | Line | Deportivo La Coruna for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.88 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.25our book | 1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.38 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.63 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 16.75 for · 8.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.13 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 6.5 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.5 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.63 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.5 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.38 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
Atletico Madrid
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arnau Ortiz n 8 | 22.9 | 3 | 2.5 | — |
| Alex Baena n 8 | 50.5 | 2.9 | 0.9 | — |
| Rodrigo Mendoza n 8 | 45.1 | 2.5 | 1.2 | — |
| Alexander Sørloth n 8 | 61.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 | — |
| Lee Kang-In n 8 | 70 | 1.6 | 0.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Julián Alvarez n 8 | 55.4 | 3.9 | 1.8 |
| Alex Baena n 8 | 50.5 | 2.7 | 2.2 |
| Jonathan David n 8 | 60.5 | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| Álex Grimaldo n 8 | 76.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Lee Kang-In n 8 | 70 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Baena n 8 | 50.5 | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| Jonathan David n 8 | 60.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Julián Alvarez n 8 | 55.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Álex Grimaldo n 8 | 76.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Giuliano Simeone n 8 | 71.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Koke n 8 | 53.6 | 2.9 |
| Marcos Llorente n 8 | 79.4 | 2.6 |
| Álex Grimaldo n 8 | 76.4 | 1.8 |
| Dávid Hancko n 8 | 69.8 | 1.8 |
| Giuliano Simeone n 8 | 71.1 | 1.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Jan Oblak n 8 | 90 | 3.4 |
Deportivo La Coruna
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luismi Cruz n 8 | 62.4 | 2.7 | 2 | — |
| Angeliño n 8 | 31 | 2.2 | 1.5 | — |
| Adama Traoré n 8 | 25.1 | 2.2 | 3.1 | — |
| Adrià Alti n 8 | 58.6 | 2.1 | 1.2 | — |
| L. Amatucci n 8 | 82.4 | 2 | 1.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P. Aubameyang n 8 | 81.3 | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| Jonathan Asp Jensen n 8 | 42.8 | 2.6 | 2.1 |
| Z. Eddahchouri n 8 | 25.9 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| Bil Nsongo n 8 | 66.1 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| Adama Traoré n 8 | 25.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Eddahchouri n 8 | 25.9 | 1.3 | 0 |
| P. Aubameyang n 8 | 81.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Peke n 8 | 41.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Mario Soriano n 8 | 77.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Luismi Cruz n 8 | 62.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Amatucci n 8 | 82.4 | 3.7 |
| Adrià Alti n 8 | 58.6 | 3.1 |
| Diego Villares n 8 | 65.5 | 2.7 |
| Luismi Cruz n 8 | 62.4 | 2.7 |
| Peke n 8 | 41.4 | 2.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Leo Román n 8 | 90 | 2.8 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Atletico Madrid v Deportivo La Coruna — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-01-13 Deportivo La Coruna 0–1 Atletico Madrid
- 2018-04-01 Atletico Madrid 1–0 Deportivo La Coruna
- 2017-11-04 Deportivo La Coruna 0–1 Atletico Madrid
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Atletico Madrid v Deportivo La Coruna?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Atletico Madrid v Deportivo La Coruna is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.55 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Atletico Madrid and Deportivo La Coruna?
- In their last 3 meetings, Atletico Madrid won 3, Deportivo La Coruna won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Atletico Madrid and Deportivo La Coruna?
- Recent form — Atletico Madrid 5W 0D 0L; Deportivo La Coruna 0W 3D 2L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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