Barcelona v Real Sociedad prediction

La Liga · · Camp Nou

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Barcelona · Real Sociedad · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Barcelona v Real Sociedad, La Liga on Sun, 20 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Barcelona host Real Sociedad in La Liga on Sunday 20 December (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Barcelona have scored 39 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Barcelona have scored in 14 consecutive matches in all competitions. Real Sociedad have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Real Sociedad are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

13 of Barcelona’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%). Both teams scored in 10 of Barcelona’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Barcelona have six wins, no draws and no defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 3.00 points per game, scoring 4.17 and conceding 1.00. Barcelona have conceded nine goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

10 of Real Sociedad’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 12 of Real Sociedad’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%). Away from home, Real Sociedad have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.88 and conceding 1.75. Real Sociedad have scored 17 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Real Sociedad have conceded 17 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Barcelona (first) and Real Sociedad (fifth) are 11 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Barcelona the stronger side, 457 rating points above Real Sociedad (Barcelona 2045, Real Sociedad 1587, after at least 351 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 18 January 2026, finished Real Sociedad 2–1 Barcelona.

Team news

Predicted Barcelona XI (4-3-3): J. García, X. Espart, E. García, P. Paredes, G. Martín, Pedri, Rodri, Fermín, L. Yamal, Raphinha, A. Gordon — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lamine Yamal (10.4 per match over 12 appearances, 10 goals and 10 assists) and Raphinha (9.4 per match over 10 appearances, 14 goals and three assists) have been Barcelona’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Barcelona (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lamine Yamal averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 2015 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Raphinha averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 1198 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Real Sociedad XI (4-4-2): Á. Remiro, S. Gómez, J. Martín, J. Aramburu, Zubeldia, C. Soler, Y. Herrera, Barrenetxea, L. Sučić, M. Oyarzabal, O. Óskarsson — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Aramburu (4.1 per match over seven appearances) and Unai Marrero (4.1 per match over three appearances) have been Real Sociedad’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Real Sociedad (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Aramburu averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 1047 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. Unai Marrero averages 4.3 saves per 90 over 270 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · La Liga · Camp Nou
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Barcelona 4 · draws 0 · Real Sociedad 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Barcelona 4W 0D 1L · Real Sociedad 3W 1D 1L

Barcelona v Real Sociedad (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

4.13 / 2
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.63 / 7
Corners
against 1.5 / 5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
8.13 / 4.88
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 5.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBarcelona for / againstLineReal Sociedad for / against
Goals scored
4.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
2 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
6.63 for · 1.5 against n 8
9.5standard
7 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
21.38 for · 8.25 against n 8
19.5standard
14.13 for · 15.88 against n 8
Shots on target
8.13 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.88 for · 5.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.25 for · 11.25 against n 8
21.5standard
12.25 for · 10.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2.38 against n 8
Barcelona
Barcelona — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Abdelkarim n 812.4
2.73/0
1.82/0
—
Fermín n 851.4
2.25/4
0.73/0
—
Gavi n 825.1
2.24/1
1.32/1
—
X. Espart n 886.8
1.87/5
0.64/1
—
João Cancelo n 881.6
1.76/4
0.32/0
—
Barcelona — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Adeyemi n 850
4.56/5
1.14/1
Gabriel Jesus n 839.4
47/4
26/1
Lamine Yamal n 877.6
3.68/8
15/2
A. Gordon n 869.4
3.67/6
2.46/5
Raphinha n 865.3
3.67/7
2.67/4
Barcelona — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Raphinha n 865.3
1.64/3
0.52/1
Lamine Yamal n 877.6
0.95/1
0.74/1
Gabriel Jesus n 839.4
1.45/0
00/0
Dani Olmo n 851
0.21/0
0.94/0
A. Gordon n 869.4
0.85/0
0.21/0
Barcelona — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
X. Espart n 886.8
3.28/4
Eric García n 873.4
2.16/4
Pedri n 857.4
25/3
Dani Olmo n 851
24/2
Gabriel Jesus n 839.4
24/2
Barcelona — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Joan García n 884.4
3.15/3
D. Livakovic n 890
1.64/2
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Aramburu n 885.9
3.38/6
2.47/6
—
Y. Herrera n 868.5
36/5
1.88/3
—
Barrenetxea n 859.8
2.67/4
0.94/1
—
J. Ochieng n 854.4
2.35/4
0.83/1
—
O. Óskarsson n 868.6
26/5
0.53/0
—
Real Sociedad — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Óskarsson n 868.6
3.16/5
1.55/3
Mikel Oyarzabal n 870.3
2.28/3
1.15/1
Gonçalo Guedes n 856
1.86/2
0.84/0
L. Sučić n 866.8
1.56/2
0.73/1
Barrenetxea n 859.8
1.55/3
0.63/0
Real Sociedad — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Óskarsson n 868.6
0.73/1
0.32/0
J. Ochieng n 854.4
0.21/0
0.62/1
Héctor Fort n 829.3
0.41/0
0.41/0
Carlos Soler n 867.4
0.21/0
0.53/0
Barrenetxea n 859.8
0.42/0
0.21/0
Real Sociedad — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Aihen Muñoz n 840.4
3.16/3
J. Aramburu n 885.9
2.96/5
Y. Herrera n 868.5
2.86/4
Zubeldia n 866.6
2.45/4
Alex Garcia n 841.4
2.46/1
Real Sociedad — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Álex Remiro n 890
4.18/5
Unai Marrero n 897.5
3.36/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Barcelona v Real Sociedad — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BarcelonaWWWWL
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 3.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Real SociedadLWWDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Barcelona 4 · 0 draws · Real Sociedad 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-01-18 Real Sociedad 2–1 Barcelona
  • 2025-09-28 Barcelona 2–1 Real Sociedad
  • 2025-03-02 Barcelona 4–0 Real Sociedad
  • 2024-11-10 Real Sociedad 1–0 Barcelona
  • 2024-05-13 Barcelona 2–0 Real Sociedad
  • 2023-11-04 Real Sociedad 0–1 Barcelona
League standing · 2026/27
Barcelona#1 pos27 pts9 pl+30 GD
Real Sociedad#5 pos16 pts9 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Barcelona scored4.33
Real Sociedad scored1.89
Barcelona conceded1
Real Sociedad conceded1.89

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Barcelona and Real Sociedad?
In their last 6 meetings, Barcelona won 4, Real Sociedad won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Barcelona and Real Sociedad?
Recent form — Barcelona 4W 0D 1L; Real Sociedad 3W 1D 1L.

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