Celta Vigo v Atletico Madrid prediction

La Liga ·

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Team pages: Celta Vigo · Atletico Madrid · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Celta Vigo v Atletico Madrid, La Liga on Sun, 20 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Celta Vigo host Atletico Madrid in La Liga on Sunday 20 December (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Atletico Madrid have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions. Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Five of Celta Vigo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in seven of Celta Vigo’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Celta Vigo have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.38. Celta Vigo have scored 10 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Celta Vigo have conceded seven goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs.

10 of Atletico Madrid’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in eight of Atletico Madrid’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Atletico Madrid have five wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.78 points per game, scoring 1.56 and conceding 1.56. Atletico Madrid have scored 19 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Atletico Madrid have conceded eight goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Celta Vigo (eighth) and Atletico Madrid (second) are 11 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Atletico Madrid the stronger side, 211 rating points above Celta Vigo (Atletico Madrid 1785, Celta Vigo 1574, after at least 351 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Celta Vigo are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Atletico Madrid. The most recent meeting, on 9 May 2026, finished Atletico Madrid 0–1 Celta Vigo.

Team news

Predicted Celta Vigo XI (3-4-3): I. Radu, Y. Lago, M. Alonso, Á. Núñez, I. Moriba, M. Román, J. Rueda, S. Carreira, F. Jutglà, W. Swedberg, P. Durán — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Carl Starfelt (3.6 per match over four appearances, one goal) and S. Cáceres (3.5 per match over three appearances) have been Celta Vigo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Celta Vigo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Carl Starfelt averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 528 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last nine appearances. S. Cáceres averages 1.2 tackles per 90 over 1696 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Atletico Madrid XI (4-4-2): J. Oblak, Á. Grimaldo, D. Hancko, M. Pubill, C. Romero, G. Simeone, M. Hjulmand, Koke, J. Cardoso, L. Kang-In, J. David — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Álex Grimaldo (4.6 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and one assist) and Giuliano Simeone (4.0 per match over 12 appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Atletico Madrid’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Atletico Madrid (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Álex Grimaldo averages 1.9 tackles per 90 over 1016 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. Giuliano Simeone averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1320 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · La Liga
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Celta Vigo 1 · draws 2 · Atletico Madrid 3 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Celta Vigo 2W 1D 2L · Atletico Madrid 4W 1D 0L

Celta Vigo v Atletico Madrid (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 2
Goals
against 0.75 / 0.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 5.88
Corners
against 5.13 / 4.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 6.25
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 3.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.88
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCelta Vigo for / againstLineAtletico Madrid for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.5standard
2 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
3.25 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.88 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
11.75 for · 14.38 against n 8
19.5standard
16.13 for · 9.75 against n 8
Shots on target
3.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
6.25 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.13 for · 12.88 against n 8
21.5standard
10.75 for · 11.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Swedberg n 833.4
3.77/3
1.33/1
—
H. Burcio n 838.8
2.34/2
1.24/0
—
Javi Rueda n 863
26/3
1.14/2
—
Yoel Lago n 884.4
1.96/4
1.67/4
—
Ferran Jutglà n 865.1
1.98/3
2.16/3
—
Celta Vigo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Hugo González n 845
2.55/3
13/1
C. Driouech n 831.9
2.55/2
0.41/0
Ferran Jutglà n 865.1
1.95/5
0.73/1
Pablo Durán n 849.3
1.85/2
1.44/1
Iago Aspas n 832.5
1.75/0
0.72/0
Celta Vigo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Hugo González n 845
0.31/0
0.52/0
Hugo Álvarez n 860.8
0.21/0
0.41/1
Iago Aspas n 832.5
0.31/0
0.31/0
Pablo Durán n 849.3
0.51/1
00/0
Miguel Román n 883.6
0.11/0
0.32/0
Celta Vigo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Moriba n 876.8
2.97/5
H. Burcio n 838.8
2.66/2
Andrés Antañón n 746.4
2.54/2
W. Swedberg n 833.4
2.43/2
Marcos Alonso n 875.5
2.17/6
Celta Vigo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. Radu n 890
3.57/5
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Arnau Ortiz n 822.9
35/1
2.55/0
—
Rodrigo Mendoza n 845.1
2.56/2
1.25/0
—
Alex Baena n 850.8
2.25/2
0.93/1
—
Alexander Sørloth n 854.1
2.15/2
0.63/0
—
Robin Le Normand n 844.9
1.85/1
1.33/2
—
Atletico Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Julián Alvarez n 853.9
47/6
1.55/2
Alex Baena n 850.8
2.77/4
26/2
Dávid Hancko n 869.8
2.16/4
0.53/0
Jonathan David n 857.6
1.86/2
1.25/1
Álex Grimaldo n 876.4
1.66/3
0.94/2
Atletico Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Alex Baena n 850.8
0.42/0
0.94/0
Jonathan David n 857.6
0.42/0
0.21/0
Julián Alvarez n 853.9
0.42/0
0.21/0
Ademola Lookman n 843.9
0.31/0
0.31/0
Álex Grimaldo n 876.4
0.43/0
0.11/0
Atletico Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Koke n 853.6
2.94/3
Marcos Llorente n 879.4
2.78/5
Obed Vargas n 834
24/1
Morten Hjulmand n 865.4
1.95/4
Marc Pubill n 868.4
1.85/3
Atletico Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jan Oblak n 890
3.67/5

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Celta Vigo v Atletico Madrid — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Celta VigoLWDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Atletico MadridWWWWD
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Celta Vigo 1 · 2 draws · Atletico Madrid 3 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2026-05-09 Atletico Madrid 0–1 Celta Vigo
  • 2025-10-05 Celta Vigo 1–1 Atletico Madrid
  • 2025-02-15 Atletico Madrid 1–1 Celta Vigo
  • 2024-09-26 Celta Vigo 0–1 Atletico Madrid
  • 2024-05-12 Atletico Madrid 1–0 Celta Vigo
  • 2023-10-21 Celta Vigo 0–3 Atletico Madrid
League standing · 2026/27
Celta Vigo#8 pos11 pts9 pl+3 GD
Atletico Madrid#2 pos22 pts9 pl+11 GD
Goals per game
Celta Vigo scored1.11
Atletico Madrid scored2.11
Celta Vigo conceded0.78
Atletico Madrid conceded0.89

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Celta Vigo and Atletico Madrid?
In their last 6 meetings, Celta Vigo won 1, Atletico Madrid won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Celta Vigo and Atletico Madrid?
Recent form — Celta Vigo 2W 1D 2L; Atletico Madrid 4W 1D 0L.

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