Celta Vigo v Villarreal prediction

La Liga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Celta Vigo v Villarreal, La Liga on Sun, 29 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Celta Vigo host Villarreal in La Liga on Sunday 29 November (kick-off 16:00 UK).

Form and the table

Five of Celta Vigo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in seven of Celta Vigo’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Celta Vigo have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.38. Celta Vigo have scored 10 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Celta Vigo have conceded seven goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs.

10 of Villarreal’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Villarreal’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Villarreal have one win, three draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.75 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.63. Villarreal have scored 13 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Villarreal have conceded 13 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Celta Vigo (eighth) and Villarreal (12th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Celta Vigo the stronger side, 0 rating points above Villarreal (Celta Vigo 1574, Villarreal 1574, after at least 351 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished Villarreal 2–1 Celta Vigo.

Team news

Predicted Celta Vigo XI (3-4-3): I. Radu, Y. Lago, M. Alonso, Á. Núñez, I. Moriba, M. Román, J. Rueda, S. Carreira, F. Jutglà, W. Swedberg, P. Durán — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Carl Starfelt (3.6 per match over four appearances, one goal) and Ionuț Radu (3.5 per match over 11 appearances) have been Celta Vigo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Celta Vigo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Carl Starfelt averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 528 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last nine appearances. Ionuț Radu averages 3.3 saves per 90 over 1170 minutes, with two or more saves in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Villarreal XI (4-4-2): P. Gulácsi, R. Veiga, A. Freeman, S. Cardona, P. Navarro, P. Gueye, S. Comesaña, A. Moleiro, N. Saliba, A. Pérez, G. Mikautadze — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Nicolas Pépé (3.8 per match over seven appearances, two goals) and Alberto Moleiro (3.7 per match over 11 appearances, two goals and three assists) have been Villarreal’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Villarreal (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Nicolas Pépé averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 823 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Alberto Moleiro averages 3.2 key passes per 90 over 685 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · La Liga
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Celta Vigo 2 · draws 1 · Villarreal 3 · 4.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Celta Vigo 2W 1D 2L · Villarreal 3W 1D 1L

Celta Vigo v Villarreal (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 1.75
Goals
against 0.75 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 6.63
Corners
against 5.13 / 4.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 6
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCelta Vigo for / againstLineVillarreal for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
3.25 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
6.63 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
11.75 for · 14.38 against n 8
19.5standard
16.5 for · 11.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
6 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.13 for · 12.88 against n 8
21.5standard
10.38 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.75 against n 8
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Swedberg n 833.4
3.77/3
1.33/1
—
H. Burcio n 838.8
2.34/2
1.24/0
—
Javi Rueda n 863
26/3
1.14/2
—
Yoel Lago n 884.4
1.96/4
1.67/4
—
Ferran Jutglà n 865.1
1.98/3
2.16/3
—
Celta Vigo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Hugo González n 845
2.55/3
13/1
C. Driouech n 831.9
2.55/2
0.41/0
Ferran Jutglà n 865.1
1.95/5
0.73/1
Pablo Durán n 849.3
1.85/2
1.44/1
Iago Aspas n 832.5
1.75/0
0.72/0
Celta Vigo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Hugo González n 845
0.31/0
0.52/0
Hugo Álvarez n 860.8
0.21/0
0.41/1
Iago Aspas n 832.5
0.31/0
0.31/0
Pablo Durán n 849.3
0.51/1
00/0
Miguel Román n 883.6
0.11/0
0.32/0
Celta Vigo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Moriba n 876.8
2.97/5
H. Burcio n 838.8
2.66/2
Andrés Antañón n 746.4
2.54/2
W. Swedberg n 833.4
2.43/2
Marcos Alonso n 875.5
2.17/6
Celta Vigo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. Radu n 890
3.57/5
Villarreal
Villarreal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Saliba n 863.6
2.36/3
1.88/1
—
T. Oluwaseyi n 836.8
2.14/2
0.62/0
—
T. Buchanan n 856.9
26/3
3.28/4
—
Santi Comesaña n 864
1.98/2
1.14/1
—
C. Macia n 819.1
1.82/1
0.61/0
—
Villarreal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Oluwaseyi n 836.8
2.85/2
1.22/2
Alberto Moleiro n 867.8
2.77/5
1.34/4
G. Mikautadze n 845.4
2.75/4
25/3
T. Buchanan n 856.9
2.46/5
1.24/1
Ayoze Pérez n 852.4
2.45/4
1.34/1
Villarreal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Ayoze Pérez n 852.4
0.21/0
0.63/0
Alberto Moleiro n 867.8
0.32/0
0.31/1
Gerard Moreno n 843.3
0.31/0
0.31/0
N. Pépé n 867.6
0.32/0
0.21/0
G. Mikautadze n 845.4
0.52/0
00/0
Villarreal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Macia n 819.1
7.65/3
A. Diatta n 334.7
3.52/1
Carlos Romero n 875.1
2.77/4
A. Freeman n 872.8
2.68/3
S. Mouriño n 865.3
2.45/4
Villarreal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Gulácsi n 882.4
2.63/3
Luíz Júnior n 890
2.36/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Celta Vigo v Villarreal — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Celta VigoLWDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
VillarrealWWLWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Celta Vigo 2 · 1 draw · Villarreal 3 · 4.17 goals/game
  • 2026-04-26 Villarreal 2–1 Celta Vigo
  • 2025-08-31 Celta Vigo 1–1 Villarreal
  • 2025-04-23 Celta Vigo 3–0 Villarreal
  • 2024-08-26 Villarreal 4–3 Celta Vigo
  • 2024-05-05 Celta Vigo 3–2 Villarreal
  • 2023-12-20 Villarreal 3–2 Celta Vigo
League standing · 2026/27
Celta Vigo#8 pos11 pts9 pl+3 GD
Villarreal#12 pos9 pts9 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Celta Vigo scored1.11
Villarreal scored1.44
Celta Vigo conceded0.78
Villarreal conceded1.44

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Celta Vigo and Villarreal?
In their last 6 meetings, Celta Vigo won 2, Villarreal won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Celta Vigo and Villarreal?
Recent form — Celta Vigo 2W 1D 2L; Villarreal 3W 1D 1L.

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