Deportivo La Coruna v Levante prediction

La Liga · · Estadio Municipal de Riazor

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante, La Liga on Fri, 16 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.29 at Betvictor
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.1% of 4297 landed (95% range 75.9–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Deportivo La Coruna host Levante in La Liga on Friday 16 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Deportivo La Coruna or Levante (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Deportivo La Coruna are winless in their last four matches. Both teams scored in 12 of Deportivo La Coruna’s last 15 results (80%).

Levante are winless in their last four matches.

Form and the table

Seven of Deportivo La Coruna’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). At home, Deportivo La Coruna have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.13. Deportivo La Coruna have scored 12 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Deportivo La Coruna have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Nine of Levante’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Levante’s last 15 results (53%). Away from home, Levante have one win, three draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches — 0.75 points per game, scoring 0.75 and conceding 1.88. Levante have scored 11 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Levante have conceded 15 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Deportivo La Coruna (eighth) and Levante (17th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Levante the stronger side, 40 rating points above Deportivo La Coruna (Levante 1516, Deportivo La Coruna 1476, after at least 46 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Levante are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Deportivo La Coruna, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 25 January 2025, finished Deportivo La Coruna 1–2 Levante.

Team news

Deportivo La Coruna have four names on the availability list: L. Amatucci (out, Red Card), M. Casado (out, Collarbone injury), P. Aubameyang (out, Knee Injury) and Z. Eddahchouri (out, Wrist Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-14. Predicted Deportivo La Coruna XI (4-4-2): L. Román, G. Quagliata, X. Navarro, L. Noubi, J. Giménez, M. Soriano, L. Cruz, R. Rodríguez, J. Jensen, B. Nsongo, A. Traoré — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (5.2 per match over seven appearances, five goals and two assists) and Luismi Cruz (3.7 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Deportivo La Coruna’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Deportivo La Coruna (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 560 minutes, with a shot in six of the last seven appearances. Luismi Cruz averages 3.2 key passes per 90 over 456 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances.

Levante have three names on the availability list: A. Primo (out, Shoulder Injury), H. Sotelo (out, Knee Injury) and K. Etta Eyong (out, Muscle Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-14. Predicted Levante XI (4-1-4-1): M. Ryan, Dela, M. Sánchez, A. Mandi, J. Toljan, J. Olasagasti, O. Rey, Brugui, E. Bardeli, T. Fernández, I. Romero — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Manu Sánchez (4.8 per match over seven appearances) and Jon Ander Olasagasti (4.6 per match over seven appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Levante’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Levante (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Manu Sánchez averages 4.7 tackles per 90 over 611 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last seven appearances. Jon Ander Olasagasti averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 594 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · La Liga · Estadio Municipal de Riazor
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Deportivo La Coruna 0 · draws 2 · Levante 2 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Deportivo La Coruna 1W 2D 2L · Levante 1W 2D 2L

Deportivo La Coruna v Levante (La Liga): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 14 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.38 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 3.88
Corners
against 5.5 / 5.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 6 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 1.25
Cards
against 2 / 2.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameDeportivo La Coruna for / againstLineLevante for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5our book
1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
5.5 for · 5.5 against n 8
9.5standard
3.88 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
11.5 for · 12.75 against n 8
19.5standard
12.38 for · 15.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 6 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 12 against n 8
21.5standard
9.25 for · 12 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 2.25 against n 8
Deportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Luismi Cruz n 857
2.86/4
26/2
—
L. Amatucci n 882.4
27/4
1.55/2
—
Miguel Loureiro n 869.9
1.95/3
0.53/0
—
Adama Traoré n 836.5
1.84/2
2.55/2
—
Marc Casadó n 831.8
1.84/1
3.26/2
—
Deportivo La Coruna — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Kevin Sánchez n 326
3.51/1
2.31/1
P. Aubameyang n 881.3
2.87/6
2.27/4
Z. Eddahchouri n 825.9
2.65/1
1.33/0
Jonathan Asp Jensen n 850.8
2.27/3
26/3
Bil Nsongo n 862.4
1.46/1
0.53/0
Deportivo La Coruna — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Z. Eddahchouri n 825.9
1.33/0
00/0
P. Aubameyang n 881.3
0.86/0
0.31/1
Peke n 841.3
0.31/0
0.31/0
Mario Soriano n 874.8
0.21/0
0.32/0
Luismi Cruz n 857
0.21/0
0.21/0
Deportivo La Coruna — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Amatucci n 882.4
3.78/6
Luismi Cruz n 857
37/6
Peke n 841.3
36/2
Adrià Alti n 866.4
2.98/6
Diego Villares n 859.9
2.86/6
Deportivo La Coruna — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Leo Román n 890
36/5
Levante
Levante — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Etta Eyong n 816.9
45/1
1.32/0
—
Reque n 862.4
3.25/5
1.45/1
—
Yanis Musuayi n 842.5
2.46/2
1.95/2
—
Carlos Espí n 837.6
1.83/2
1.84/2
—
Paco Cortés n 832.6
1.72/1
1.74/1
—
Levante — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Etta Eyong n 816.9
7.37/2
5.34/2
Carlos Espí n 837.6
4.26/3
2.15/2
Brugui n 872.9
3.18/6
1.24/3
Iván Romero n 868.4
2.68/5
1.66/3
K. Tunde n 825.8
2.24/1
0.92/0
Levante — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Etta Eyong n 816.9
0.71/0
0.71/0
Carlos Espí n 837.6
1.24/0
00/0
Brugui n 872.9
0.63/1
0.21/0
IfeanyiIfeanyi Ndukwe n 434.3
0.71/0
00/0
Iván Romero n 868.4
0.53/0
00/0
Levante — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Manu Sánchez n 887.6
4.58/7
Reque n 862.4
3.15/4
IfeanyiIfeanyi Ndukwe n 434.3
2.63/1
K. Tunde n 825.8
2.63/2
Jon Ander Olasagasti n 884
2.47/6
Levante — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Ryan n 878.9
3.47/5

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Deportivo La Coruna v Levante — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Deportivo La CorunaWDLDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
LevanteWDLLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 2.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Deportivo La Coruna 0 · 2 draws · Levante 2 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2025-01-25 Deportivo La Coruna 1–2 Levante
  • 2024-10-24 Levante 2–1 Deportivo La Coruna
  • 2018-01-27 Deportivo La Coruna 2–2 Levante
  • 2017-08-26 Levante 2–2 Deportivo La Coruna
League standing · 2026/27
Deportivo La Coruna#8 pos10 pts8 pl+1 GD
Levante#17 pos6 pts7 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Deportivo La Coruna scored1.5
Levante scored1.57
Deportivo La Coruna conceded1.38
Levante conceded2.14

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Deportivo La Coruna v Levante is Home or Away (best price 1.29 at Betvictor).
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo La Coruna and Levante?
In their last 4 meetings, Deportivo La Coruna won 0, Levante won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Deportivo La Coruna and Levante?
Recent form — Deportivo La Coruna 1W 2D 2L; Levante 1W 2D 2L.

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