Getafe v Rayo Vallecano prediction

La Liga · · Coliseum

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Getafe v Rayo Vallecano, La Liga on Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1310 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Getafe host Rayo Vallecano in La Liga on Monday 19 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Rayo Vallecano, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Rayo Vallecano are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Getafe, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Five of Getafe’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in six of Getafe’s last 15 results (40%). At home, Getafe have five wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches — 2.43 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 0.57. Getafe have scored four goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Getafe have conceded 10 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Rayo Vallecano are unbeaten in their last three matches. Six of Rayo Vallecano’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in 10 of Rayo Vallecano’s last 15 results (67%). Away from home, Rayo Vallecano have three wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 9 away matches — 1.22 points per game, scoring 1.22 and conceding 1.67. Rayo Vallecano have scored 11 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Rayo Vallecano have conceded 16 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs.

Getafe (14th) and Rayo Vallecano (13th) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Rayo Vallecano the stronger side, 109 rating points above Getafe (Rayo Vallecano 1593, Getafe 1484, after at least 236 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Getafe 0–2 Rayo Vallecano.

Team news

Predicted Getafe XI (4-5-1): D. Soria, D. Dakonam, Z. Romero, J. Mojica, N. Gudelj, R. Terrats, O. Mangala, F. Serrano, M. Martín, M. Satriano, E. Ünal — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Ramón Terrats (3.8 per match over 10 appearances, one goal) and M. Satriano (3.6 per match over 11 appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Getafe’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Getafe (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ramón Terrats averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 867 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. M. Satriano averages 1.7 shots per 90 over 839 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Rayo Vallecano XI (4-2-3-1): E. Audero, F. Lejeune, A. Rațiu, A. Pedrosa, P. Ciss, U. López, Ó. Valentín, Á. García, P. Díaz, J. de Frutos, S. Camello — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Sergio Camello (5.3 per match over eight appearances, seven goals and one assist) and Unai López (4.0 per match over eight appearances, three assists) have been Rayo Vallecano’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rayo Vallecano (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Sergio Camello averages 3.0 shots per 90 over 515 minutes, with a shot in six of the last eight appearances. Unai López averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 601 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · La Liga · Coliseum
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Getafe 0 · draws 3 · Rayo Vallecano 3 · 1.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Getafe 1W 2D 2L · Rayo Vallecano 2W 2D 1L

TACTIX runs Getafe v Rayo Vallecano (La Liga) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.63 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.25 / 2 · 1 of the last 5 over 2
over 8 matches
3.75 / 4.75
Corners
against 5.38 / 5.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
4 / 2.38
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameGetafe for / againstLineRayo Vallecano for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 1.25 against n 8
2our book
1.38 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
11.25 for · 15.25 against n 8
19.5standard
11.88 for · 14.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 4.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.63 for · 12.25 against n 8
21.5standard
12 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
4 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8
Getafe
Getafe — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Óscar López n 610.7
4.23/0
1.41/0
—
S. Boselli n 822.4
45/2
0.51/0
—
Davinchi n 824.1
2.85/1
0.91/1
—
Saba Sazonov n 833.5
2.73/2
1.74/1
—
Mario Martín n 875.4
2.56/6
2.17/4
—
Getafe — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Joselu n 438.3
3.52/1
0.61/0
Ivan Azón n 863.4
2.16/4
1.14/1
Ramón Terrats n 888
26/5
0.63/2
M. Satriano n 873.4
1.86/4
0.53/0
Borja Mayoral n 828.9
1.63/1
0.82/0
Getafe — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Ivan Azón n 863.4
0.21/0
0.42/0
E. Ünal n 883
0.43/0
00/0
M. Satriano n 873.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
N. Gudelj n 870
0.21/0
00/0
Ramón Terrats n 888
0.11/0
00/0
Getafe — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. R. Alcantara n 316.7
3.61/1
S. Boselli n 822.4
34/2
Alberto Risco n 815
2.33/0
Andrés García n 869.3
2.17/4
Mario Martín n 875.4
1.87/4
Getafe — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
David Soria n 890
37/3
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Fran Pérez n 834.6
3.26/2
0.62/0
—
Alemão n 830
36/2
2.64/2
—
G. Bouare n 537.8
2.43/2
1.43/0
—
R. Nteka n 853.5
2.16/2
1.34/1
—
Isi Palazón n 870.3
1.86/3
2.47/4
—
Rayo Vallecano — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Sergio Camello n 864.4
36/6
1.95/4
Alemão n 830
36/1
1.13/0
Isi Palazón n 870.3
2.77/5
1.14/2
R. Nteka n 853.5
2.37/4
1.55/2
Pedro Díaz n 849.4
2.15/3
0.51/1
Rayo Vallecano — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Sergio Camello n 864.4
1.25/2
0.21/0
Álvaro García n 871.9
0.32/0
0.32/0
R. Nteka n 853.5
0.63/0
00/0
Unai López n 875.1
00/0
0.42/1
Isi Palazón n 870.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
Rayo Vallecano — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Bouare n 537.8
2.94/1
A. Rațiu n 890
2.56/5
Unai López n 875.1
2.48/5
Adrià Pedrosa n 860.3
2.46/3
Óscar Valentín n 854.4
2.36/3
Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Dani Cárdenas n 882.5
4.56/5
A. Batalla n 886.3
2.37/3
E. Audero n 884.4
2.35/2

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Getafe v Rayo Vallecano — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GetafeDLWLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Rayo VallecanoWLWDD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Getafe 0 · 3 draws · Rayo Vallecano 3 · 1.17 goals/game
  • 2026-05-03 Getafe 0–2 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2026-01-02 Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Getafe
  • 2025-05-02 Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Getafe
  • 2024-08-24 Getafe 0–0 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2024-04-13 Rayo Vallecano 0–0 Getafe
  • 2024-01-02 Getafe 0–2 Rayo Vallecano
League standing · 2026/27
Getafe#14 pos8 pts8 pl-6 GD
Rayo Vallecano#13 pos8 pts7 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
Getafe scored0.5
Rayo Vallecano scored1.57
Getafe conceded1.25
Rayo Vallecano conceded2.29

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Getafe v Rayo Vallecano?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Getafe v Rayo Vallecano is Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Getafe and Rayo Vallecano?
In their last 6 meetings, Getafe won 0, Rayo Vallecano won 3 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Getafe and Rayo Vallecano?
Recent form — Getafe 1W 2D 2L; Rayo Vallecano 2W 2D 1L.

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