Osasuna v Celta Vigo prediction

La Liga · · Estadio El Sadar

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Osasuna v Celta Vigo, La Liga on Sun, 14 Mar 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Osasuna host Celta Vigo in La Liga on Sunday 14 March (kick-off 16:00 UK).

Form and the table

Nine of Osasuna’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Osasuna’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Osasuna have three wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 1.22 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.11. Osasuna have scored 10 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Osasuna have conceded 18 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Five of Celta Vigo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in seven of Celta Vigo’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Celta Vigo have one win, five draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 0.43 and conceding 0.43. Celta Vigo have scored 10 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Celta Vigo have conceded seven goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Osasuna (10th) and Celta Vigo (eighth) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Celta Vigo the stronger side, 117 rating points above Osasuna (Celta Vigo 1574, Osasuna 1457, after at least 275 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 27 August 2026, finished Celta Vigo 1–2 Osasuna.

Team news

Predicted Osasuna XI (4-2-3-1): S. Herrera, Catena, A. Bretones, Í. Arguibide, F. Boyomo, Moncayola, I. Muñoz, R. García, L. Torró, M. Gómez, A. Budimir — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ante Budimir (6.3 per match over nine appearances, seven goals) and Rubén García (2.8 per match over nine appearances, one assist) have been Osasuna’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Osasuna (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ante Budimir averages 2.7 shots per 90 over 972 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Rubén García averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 532 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Celta Vigo XI (3-4-3): I. Radu, Y. Lago, M. Alonso, Á. Núñez, I. Moriba, M. Román, J. Rueda, S. Carreira, F. Jutglà, W. Swedberg, P. Durán — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Carl Starfelt (3.6 per match over four appearances, one goal) and S. Cáceres (3.5 per match over three appearances) have been Celta Vigo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Celta Vigo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Carl Starfelt averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 528 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last nine appearances. S. Cáceres averages 1.2 tackles per 90 over 1696 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · La Liga · Estadio El Sadar
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Osasuna 3 · draws 0 · Celta Vigo 3 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Osasuna 1W 1D 3L · Celta Vigo 2W 1D 2L

Osasuna v Celta Vigo (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 1.25
Goals
against 2.25 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 3.25
Corners
against 5 / 5.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4 / 3.63
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 1.88
Cards
against 2.25 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameOsasuna for / againstLineCelta Vigo for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 2.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
2.88 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
3.25 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
10.63 for · 13.5 against n 8
19.5standard
11.75 for · 14.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
15.38 for · 12.38 against n 8
21.5standard
13.13 for · 12.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
Osasuna
Osasuna — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Asier Osambela n 846.8
2.67/3
0.21/0
—
U. Santos n 369.3
2.23/1
0.41/0
—
Iker Muñoz n 869.3
2.16/4
1.86/3
—
Rubén García n 857.5
25/2
13/2
—
A. Budimir n 867.1
1.85/3
1.85/3
—
Osasuna — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Budimir n 867.1
2.76/5
1.75/2
Raúl García n 852.4
2.15/4
1.34/2
Jonathan Dubasin n 841.9
2.13/3
1.33/1
Kike Barja n 833.9
1.73/2
0.31/0
Lucas Torró n 851.3
1.33/1
0.41/1
Osasuna — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Budimir n 867.1
0.84/1
00/0
R. Del Castillo n 859.1
0.42/0
00/0
Raúl García n 852.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
Kike Barja n 833.9
0.31/0
00/0
R. Yeboah n 873.6
0.21/0
00/0
Osasuna — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Rubén García n 857.5
3.17/5
R. Yeboah n 873.6
2.87/6
Asier Osambela n 846.8
2.64/1
Abel Bretones n 877.4
2.36/4
Moncayola n 869.5
2.37/6
Osasuna — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Aitor Fernández n 892
3.55/4
Sergio Herrera n 884.4
1.53/0
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Swedberg n 833.4
3.77/3
1.33/1
—
H. Burcio n 838.8
2.34/2
1.24/0
—
Javi Rueda n 863
26/3
1.14/2
—
Yoel Lago n 884.4
1.96/4
1.67/4
—
Ferran Jutglà n 865.1
1.98/3
2.16/3
—
Celta Vigo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Hugo González n 845
2.55/3
13/1
C. Driouech n 831.9
2.55/2
0.41/0
Ferran Jutglà n 865.1
1.95/5
0.73/1
Pablo Durán n 849.3
1.85/2
1.44/1
Iago Aspas n 832.5
1.75/0
0.72/0
Celta Vigo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Hugo González n 845
0.31/0
0.52/0
Hugo Álvarez n 860.8
0.21/0
0.41/1
Iago Aspas n 832.5
0.31/0
0.31/0
Pablo Durán n 849.3
0.51/1
00/0
Miguel Román n 883.6
0.11/0
0.32/0
Celta Vigo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Moriba n 876.8
2.97/5
H. Burcio n 838.8
2.66/2
Andrés Antañón n 746.4
2.54/2
W. Swedberg n 833.4
2.43/2
Marcos Alonso n 875.5
2.17/6
Celta Vigo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. Radu n 890
3.57/5

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Osasuna v Celta Vigo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
OsasunaLLDLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Celta VigoLWDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Osasuna 3 · 0 draws · Celta Vigo 3 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-08-27 Celta Vigo 1–2 Osasuna
  • 2026-02-06 Celta Vigo 1–2 Osasuna
  • 2025-10-26 Osasuna 2–3 Celta Vigo
  • 2025-02-21 Celta Vigo 1–0 Osasuna
  • 2024-09-01 Osasuna 3–2 Celta Vigo
  • 2024-02-04 Osasuna 0–3 Celta Vigo
League standing · 2026/27
Osasuna#10 pos11 pts9 pl-8 GD
Celta Vigo#8 pos11 pts9 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Osasuna scored1.11
Celta Vigo scored1.11
Osasuna conceded2
Celta Vigo conceded0.78

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Osasuna and Celta Vigo?
In their last 6 meetings, Osasuna won 3, Celta Vigo won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Osasuna and Celta Vigo?
Recent form — Osasuna 1W 1D 3L; Celta Vigo 2W 1D 2L.

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