Rayo Vallecano v Atletico Madrid prediction
Team pages: Rayo Vallecano · Atletico Madrid · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Rayo Vallecano v Atletico Madrid, La Liga on Sun, 03 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Rayo Vallecano host Atletico Madrid in La Liga on Sunday 3 January (kick-off 16:00 UK).
The key numbers
Rayo Vallecano have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions. Atletico Madrid have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Six of Rayo Vallecano’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in 11 of Rayo Vallecano’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Rayo Vallecano have three wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 5 home matches in all competitions — 2.20 points per game, scoring 1.80 and conceding 1.00. Rayo Vallecano have scored 12 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Rayo Vallecano have conceded 17 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.
10 of Atletico Madrid’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of Atletico Madrid’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Atletico Madrid have five wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.88 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.63. Atletico Madrid have scored 19 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Atletico Madrid have conceded eight goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs.
Rayo Vallecano are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Atletico Madrid have won their last six matches in all competitions. Rayo Vallecano (13th) and Atletico Madrid (second) are 13 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Atletico Madrid the stronger side, 198 rating points above Rayo Vallecano (Atletico Madrid 1785, Rayo Vallecano 1587, after at least 237 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Rayo Vallecano 3–0 Atletico Madrid.
Team news
Predicted Rayo Vallecano XI (4-2-3-1): E. Audero, F. Lejeune, A. Rațiu, A. Pedrosa, P. Ciss, U. López, Á. García, Ó. Valentín, P. Díaz, J. de Frutos, S. Camello — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Sergio Camello (4.8 per match over nine appearances, seven goals and one assist) and Unai López (4.1 per match over nine appearances, three assists) have been Rayo Vallecano’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rayo Vallecano (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Sergio Camello averages 3.0 shots per 90 over 605 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last nine appearances. Unai López averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 681 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances.
Predicted Atletico Madrid XI (4-4-2): J. Oblak, Á. Grimaldo, D. Hancko, M. Pubill, C. Romero, G. Simeone, M. Hjulmand, Koke, J. Cardoso, L. Kang-In, J. David — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Álex Grimaldo (5.0 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and one assist) and Alex Baena (4.2 per match over 11 appearances, five goals and three assists) have been Atletico Madrid’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Atletico Madrid (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Álex Grimaldo averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 926 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Alex Baena averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 1497 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · La Liga · Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
- Head-to-head (last 6): Rayo Vallecano 1 · draws 1 · Atletico Madrid 4 · 3.83 goals/game
- Recent form: Rayo Vallecano 2W 2D 1L · Atletico Madrid 5W 0D 0L
Rayo Vallecano v Atletico Madrid (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Rayo Vallecano for / against | Line | Atletico Madrid for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.88 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.5 for · 6.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.38 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.75 for · 14.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 16.75 for · 8.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.38 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6.5 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.88 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.63 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.25 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
Rayo Vallecano
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fran Pérez n 8 | 28.6 | 4.3 | 0.8 | — |
| Alemão n 8 | 27.6 | 2.9 | 2.9 | — |
| G. Bouare n 5 | 37.8 | 2.4 | 1.4 | — |
| R. Nteka n 8 | 53.5 | 2.1 | 1.3 | — |
| Isi Palazón n 8 | 67.6 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alemão n 8 | 27.6 | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| Sergio Camello n 8 | 72.4 | 3.1 | 1.9 |
| Pedro Díaz n 8 | 49.8 | 2.9 | 0.7 |
| Isi Palazón n 8 | 67.6 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| R. Nteka n 8 | 53.5 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sergio Camello n 8 | 72.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| Álvaro García n 8 | 73.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| R. Nteka n 8 | 53.5 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Unai López n 8 | 75.4 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Adrià Pedrosa n 8 | 68.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| G. Bouare n 5 | 37.8 | 2.9 |
| A. Rațiu n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
| Óscar Valentín n 8 | 50.4 | 2.5 |
| Unai López n 8 | 75.4 | 2.4 |
| Adrià Pedrosa n 8 | 68.5 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Dani Cárdenas n 8 | 82.5 | 4.5 |
| E. Audero n 8 | 84.4 | 2.5 |
| A. Batalla n 8 | 86.3 | 2.3 |
Atletico Madrid
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arnau Ortiz n 8 | 22.9 | 3 | 2.5 | — |
| Alex Baena n 8 | 50.5 | 2.9 | 0.9 | — |
| Rodrigo Mendoza n 8 | 45.1 | 2.5 | 1.2 | — |
| Alexander Sørloth n 8 | 61.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 | — |
| Lee Kang-In n 8 | 70 | 1.6 | 0.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Julián Alvarez n 8 | 55.4 | 3.9 | 1.8 |
| Alex Baena n 8 | 50.5 | 2.7 | 2.2 |
| Jonathan David n 8 | 60.5 | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| Álex Grimaldo n 8 | 76.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Lee Kang-In n 8 | 70 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Baena n 8 | 50.5 | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| Jonathan David n 8 | 60.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Julián Alvarez n 8 | 55.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Álex Grimaldo n 8 | 76.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Giuliano Simeone n 8 | 71.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Koke n 8 | 53.6 | 2.9 |
| Marcos Llorente n 8 | 79.4 | 2.6 |
| Álex Grimaldo n 8 | 76.4 | 1.8 |
| Dávid Hancko n 8 | 69.8 | 1.8 |
| Giuliano Simeone n 8 | 71.1 | 1.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Jan Oblak n 8 | 90 | 3.4 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Rayo Vallecano v Atletico Madrid — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-02-15 Rayo Vallecano 3–0 Atletico Madrid
- 2025-09-24 Atletico Madrid 3–2 Rayo Vallecano
- 2025-04-24 Atletico Madrid 3–0 Rayo Vallecano
- 2024-09-22 Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Atletico Madrid
- 2024-01-31 Atletico Madrid 2–1 Rayo Vallecano
- 2023-08-28 Rayo Vallecano 0–7 Atletico Madrid
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Rayo Vallecano and Atletico Madrid?
- In their last 6 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 1, Atletico Madrid won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Rayo Vallecano and Atletico Madrid?
- Recent form — Rayo Vallecano 2W 2D 1L; Atletico Madrid 5W 0D 0L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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