Rayo Vallecano v Barcelona prediction

La Liga · · Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Rayo Vallecano · Barcelona · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Rayo Vallecano v Barcelona, La Liga on Sun, 21 Mar 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Rayo Vallecano host Barcelona in La Liga on Sunday 21 March (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Barcelona have scored 39 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Barcelona have won their last 11 matches in all competitions. Rayo Vallecano have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Barcelona have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Rayo Vallecano’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in 10 of Rayo Vallecano’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Rayo Vallecano have four wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.33 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 0.83. Rayo Vallecano have scored 11 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Rayo Vallecano have conceded 16 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

12 of Barcelona’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in nine of Barcelona’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Barcelona have six wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 2.25 points per game, scoring 3.38 and conceding 1.25. Barcelona have conceded nine goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Rayo Vallecano (14th) and Barcelona (first) are 19 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Barcelona the stronger side, 452 rating points above Rayo Vallecano (Barcelona 2045, Rayo Vallecano 1593, after at least 236 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Barcelona are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Rayo Vallecano, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 31 August 2026, finished Barcelona 5–2 Rayo Vallecano.

Team news

Predicted Rayo Vallecano XI (4-2-3-1): E. Audero, F. Lejeune, A. Pedrosa, P. Ciss, I. Balliu, U. López, Ó. Valentín, Á. García, P. Díaz, J. de Frutos, S. Camello — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Sergio Camello (5.3 per match over eight appearances, seven goals and one assist) and Unai López (4.0 per match over eight appearances, three assists) have been Rayo Vallecano’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rayo Vallecano (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Sergio Camello averages 3.0 shots per 90 over 515 minutes, with a shot in six of the last eight appearances. Unai López averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 601 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Barcelona XI (4-3-3): J. García, X. Espart, E. García, P. Paredes, G. Martín, Pedri, Rodri, Fermín, L. Yamal, Raphinha, A. Gordon — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lamine Yamal (10.4 per match over 11 appearances, nine goals and 10 assists) and Raphinha (10.2 per match over nine appearances, 14 goals and three assists) have been Barcelona’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Barcelona (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lamine Yamal averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 1925 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Raphinha averages 3.0 shots per 90 over 1138 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · La Liga · Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Rayo Vallecano 0 · draws 1 · Barcelona 5 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Rayo Vallecano 2W 1D 2L · Barcelona 5W 0D 0L

Rayo Vallecano v Barcelona (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 4.5
Goals
against 2 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 6.75
Corners
against 5.63 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 8.75
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 3.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.75 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameRayo Vallecano for / againstLineBarcelona for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 2 against n 8
2.5standard
4.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
6.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
Shots
11.88 for · 14.63 against n 8
19.5standard
22.25 for · 5.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
8.75 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
12 for · 11.5 against n 8
21.5standard
9.75 for · 10.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2 against n 8
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Fran Pérez n 834.6
3.26/2
0.62/0
—
Alemão n 830
36/2
2.64/2
—
G. Bouare n 537.8
2.43/2
1.43/0
—
R. Nteka n 853.5
2.16/2
1.34/1
—
Isi Palazón n 870.3
1.86/3
2.47/4
—
Rayo Vallecano — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Sergio Camello n 864.4
36/6
1.95/4
Alemão n 830
36/1
1.13/0
Isi Palazón n 870.3
2.77/5
1.14/2
R. Nteka n 853.5
2.37/4
1.55/2
Pedro Díaz n 849.4
2.15/3
0.51/1
Rayo Vallecano — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Sergio Camello n 864.4
1.25/2
0.21/0
Álvaro García n 871.9
0.32/0
0.32/0
R. Nteka n 853.5
0.63/0
00/0
Unai López n 875.1
00/0
0.42/1
Isi Palazón n 870.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
Rayo Vallecano — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Bouare n 537.8
2.94/1
A. Rațiu n 890
2.56/5
Unai López n 875.1
2.48/5
Adrià Pedrosa n 860.3
2.46/3
Óscar Valentín n 854.4
2.36/3
Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Dani Cárdenas n 882.5
4.56/5
A. Batalla n 886.3
2.37/3
E. Audero n 884.4
2.35/2
Barcelona
Barcelona — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Abdelkarim n 812.4
2.73/0
1.82/0
—
Gavi n 830.3
2.24/2
1.12/1
—
Fermín n 854.8
1.85/3
14/1
—
X. Espart n 883.1
1.66/4
0.85/1
—
K. Adeyemi n 849.1
1.64/2
2.56/3
—
Barcelona — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Adeyemi n 849.1
4.86/5
1.65/2
Gabriel Jesus n 839.4
47/4
26/1
Lamine Yamal n 877.6
3.88/8
15/2
A. Gordon n 866.5
3.77/6
2.56/5
Raphinha n 869
3.48/6
2.47/4
Barcelona — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Raphinha n 869
1.65/3
0.52/1
Lamine Yamal n 877.6
0.74/1
15/2
Gabriel Jesus n 839.4
1.45/0
00/0
Dani Olmo n 858.9
0.21/0
15/0
A. Gordon n 866.5
0.85/0
0.21/0
Barcelona — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
X. Espart n 883.1
3.28/4
Marc Bernal n 827.3
2.52/2
Rodri n 874.6
2.46/3
Pedri n 860.6
2.26/4
Gavi n 830.3
2.23/2
Barcelona — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Joan García n 884.4
2.15/3
D. Livakovic n 890
1.64/2

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Rayo Vallecano v Barcelona — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Rayo VallecanoLWLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
BarcelonaWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 4.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Rayo Vallecano 0 · 1 draw · Barcelona 5 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-08-31 Barcelona 5–2 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2026-03-22 Barcelona 1–0 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2025-08-31 Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Barcelona
  • 2025-02-17 Barcelona 1–0 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2024-08-27 Rayo Vallecano 1–2 Barcelona
  • 2024-05-19 Barcelona 3–0 Rayo Vallecano
League standing · 2026/27
Rayo Vallecano#14 pos8 pts7 pl-5 GD
Barcelona#1 pos27 pts9 pl+30 GD
Goals per game
Rayo Vallecano scored1.57
Barcelona scored4.33
Rayo Vallecano conceded2.29
Barcelona conceded1

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Rayo Vallecano and Barcelona?
In their last 6 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 0, Barcelona won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rayo Vallecano and Barcelona?
Recent form — Rayo Vallecano 2W 1D 2L; Barcelona 5W 0D 0L.

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