Rayo Vallecano v Sevilla prediction

La Liga · · Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Rayo Vallecano · Sevilla · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Rayo Vallecano v Sevilla, La Liga on Sun, 17 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Rayo Vallecano host Sevilla in La Liga on Sunday 17 January (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Rayo Vallecano have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions. Sevilla have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. Sevilla are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Rayo Vallecano, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Six of Rayo Vallecano’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in 11 of Rayo Vallecano’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Rayo Vallecano have three wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 5 home matches in all competitions — 2.20 points per game, scoring 1.80 and conceding 1.00. Rayo Vallecano have scored 12 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Rayo Vallecano have conceded 17 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Nine of Sevilla’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Sevilla’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Sevilla have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.75. Sevilla have scored 14 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Sevilla have conceded 16 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs.

Rayo Vallecano are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Sevilla are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Rayo Vallecano (14th) and Sevilla (sixth) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Rayo Vallecano the stronger side, 19 rating points above Sevilla (Rayo Vallecano 1587, Sevilla 1568, after at least 237 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 15 August 2026, finished Sevilla 2–1 Rayo Vallecano.

Team news

Predicted Rayo Vallecano XI (4-2-3-1): E. Audero, F. Lejeune, A. Pedrosa, I. Balliu, M. Sadick, U. López, Á. García, Ó. Valentín, P. Díaz, J. de Frutos, S. Camello — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Sergio Camello (4.8 per match over nine appearances, seven goals and one assist) and Unai López (4.1 per match over nine appearances, three assists) have been Rayo Vallecano’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rayo Vallecano (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Sergio Camello averages 3.0 shots per 90 over 605 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last nine appearances. Unai López averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 681 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Sevilla XI (4-2-3-1): O. Vlachodimos, G. Suazo, J. Iglesias, A. Castrín, K. Salas, L. Agoumé, Y. Fofana, F. Correia, M. Sierra, J. Guridi, R. Ure — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Youssouf Fofana (4.8 per match over six appearances, one goal and one assist) and M. Sierra (4.7 per match over seven appearances, two goals) have been Sevilla’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sevilla (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Youssouf Fofana averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 456 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last six appearances. M. Sierra averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 496 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · La Liga · Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Rayo Vallecano 0 · draws 2 · Sevilla 4 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Rayo Vallecano 2W 2D 1L · Sevilla 2W 1D 2L

Rayo Vallecano v Sevilla (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 22 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 3.25
Corners
against 6.5 / 3.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 5.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 3.25
Cards
against 2 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameRayo Vallecano for / againstLineSevilla for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.5 for · 6.5 against n 8
9.5standard
3.25 for · 3.63 against n 8
Shots
13.75 for · 14.5 against n 8
19.5standard
11.63 for · 13.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.38 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 5.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 10.75 against n 8
21.5standard
14.25 for · 12.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
3.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Fran Pérez n 828.6
4.37/2
0.82/0
—
Alemão n 827.6
2.95/2
2.94/2
—
G. Bouare n 537.8
2.43/2
1.43/0
—
R. Nteka n 853.5
2.16/2
1.34/1
—
Isi Palazón n 867.6
27/3
27/3
—
Rayo Vallecano — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Alemão n 827.6
3.36/1
1.23/0
Sergio Camello n 872.4
3.17/7
1.96/4
Pedro Díaz n 849.8
2.95/4
0.72/1
Isi Palazón n 867.6
2.56/4
0.83/1
R. Nteka n 853.5
2.37/4
1.55/2
Rayo Vallecano — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Sergio Camello n 872.4
1.15/2
0.21/0
Álvaro García n 873.1
0.32/0
0.32/0
R. Nteka n 853.5
0.63/0
00/0
Unai López n 875.4
00/0
0.42/1
Adrià Pedrosa n 868.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Rayo Vallecano — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Bouare n 537.8
2.94/1
A. Rațiu n 890
2.56/5
Óscar Valentín n 850.4
2.56/3
Unai López n 875.4
2.48/5
Adrià Pedrosa n 868.5
2.16/3
Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Dani Cárdenas n 882.5
4.56/5
E. Audero n 884.4
2.56/3
A. Batalla n 886.3
2.37/3
Sevilla
Sevilla — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Isaac n 837.9
3.36/4
1.54/1
—
Alfon González n 830.4
35/3
1.53/1
—
Peque Fernández n 839
2.95/4
3.86/5
—
Miguel Sierra n 361.3
2.42/1
22/1
—
Robbie Ure n 841.4
2.45/2
2.24/2
—
Sevilla — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Robbie Ure n 841.4
2.75/2
0.83/0
Isaac n 837.9
2.46/2
0.62/0
Miguel Sierra n 361.3
23/1
11/1
L. Stassin n 858.8
1.95/3
0.82/2
M. Sierra n 865.4
1.75/3
0.92/2
Sevilla — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Isaac n 837.9
0.62/0
0.31/0
Robbie Ure n 841.4
0.31/0
0.31/0
Y. Fofana n 874
0.21/0
0.21/0
Félix Correia n 865.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
L. Stassin n 858.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
Sevilla — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Juan Iglesias n 887.8
3.18/7
L. Agoumé n 890
38/7
Giorgi Kochorashvili n 856.6
36/5
G. Suazo n 883.4
2.75/5
Y. Fofana n 874
2.37/5
Sevilla — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Vlachodimos n 890
3.27/5

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Rayo Vallecano v Sevilla — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Rayo VallecanoWLWDD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
SevillaWWLDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Rayo Vallecano 0 · 2 draws · Sevilla 4 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-08-15 Sevilla 2–1 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2026-03-08 Sevilla 1–1 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2025-09-28 Rayo Vallecano 0–1 Sevilla
  • 2025-03-01 Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Sevilla
  • 2024-11-24 Sevilla 1–0 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2024-02-05 Rayo Vallecano 1–2 Sevilla
League standing · 2026/27
Rayo Vallecano#14 pos9 pts8 pl-5 GD
Sevilla#6 pos14 pts9 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Rayo Vallecano scored1.5
Sevilla scored1.56
Rayo Vallecano conceded2.13
Sevilla conceded1.78

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Rayo Vallecano and Sevilla?
In their last 6 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 0, Sevilla won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rayo Vallecano and Sevilla?
Recent form — Rayo Vallecano 2W 2D 1L; Sevilla 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →