Sevilla v Celta Vigo prediction

La Liga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Sevilla v Celta Vigo, La Liga on Sun, 10 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Sevilla host Celta Vigo in La Liga on Sunday 10 January (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Sevilla have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Sevilla’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Sevilla’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Sevilla have four wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.29. Sevilla have scored 14 goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Sevilla have conceded 16 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Five of Celta Vigo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in seven of Celta Vigo’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Celta Vigo have one win, five draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 0.43 and conceding 0.43. Celta Vigo have scored 10 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Celta Vigo have conceded seven goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Sevilla are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Sevilla (sixth) and Celta Vigo (eighth) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Celta Vigo the stronger side, 6 rating points above Sevilla (Celta Vigo 1574, Sevilla 1568, after at least 351 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Celta Vigo are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Sevilla. The most recent meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Celta Vigo 1–0 Sevilla.

Team news

Predicted Sevilla XI (4-2-3-1): O. Vlachodimos, G. Suazo, J. Iglesias, A. Castrín, K. Salas, L. Agoumé, Y. Fofana, F. Correia, M. Sierra, J. Guridi, R. Ure — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Youssouf Fofana (4.8 per match over six appearances, one goal and one assist) and M. Sierra (4.7 per match over seven appearances, two goals) have been Sevilla’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sevilla (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Youssouf Fofana averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 456 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last six appearances. M. Sierra averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 496 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances.

Predicted Celta Vigo XI (3-4-3): I. Radu, Y. Lago, M. Alonso, Á. Núñez, I. Moriba, M. Román, J. Rueda, S. Carreira, F. Jutglà, W. Swedberg, P. Durán — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Carl Starfelt (3.6 per match over four appearances, one goal) and S. Cáceres (3.5 per match over three appearances) have been Celta Vigo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Celta Vigo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Carl Starfelt averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 528 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last nine appearances. S. Cáceres averages 1.2 tackles per 90 over 1696 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · La Liga
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Sevilla 1 · draws 1 · Celta Vigo 4 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sevilla 2W 1D 2L · Celta Vigo 2W 1D 2L

Sevilla v Celta Vigo (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.88 / 0.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 3.25
Corners
against 3.63 / 5.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 3.63
Shots on target
against 5.25 / 4.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSevilla for / againstLineCelta Vigo for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
3.25 for · 3.63 against n 8
9.5standard
3.25 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
11.63 for · 13.5 against n 8
19.5standard
11.75 for · 14.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.38 for · 5.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.25 for · 12.38 against n 8
21.5standard
13.13 for · 12.88 against n 8
Cards shown
3.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
Sevilla
Sevilla — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Isaac n 837.9
3.36/4
1.54/1
—
Alfon González n 830.4
35/3
1.53/1
—
Peque Fernández n 839
2.95/4
3.86/5
—
Miguel Sierra n 361.3
2.42/1
22/1
—
Robbie Ure n 841.4
2.45/2
2.24/2
—
Sevilla — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Robbie Ure n 841.4
2.75/2
0.83/0
Isaac n 837.9
2.46/2
0.62/0
Miguel Sierra n 361.3
23/1
11/1
L. Stassin n 858.8
1.95/3
0.82/2
M. Sierra n 865.4
1.75/3
0.92/2
Sevilla — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Isaac n 837.9
0.62/0
0.31/0
Robbie Ure n 841.4
0.31/0
0.31/0
Y. Fofana n 874
0.21/0
0.21/0
Félix Correia n 865.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
L. Stassin n 858.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
Sevilla — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Juan Iglesias n 887.8
3.18/7
L. Agoumé n 890
38/7
Giorgi Kochorashvili n 856.6
36/5
G. Suazo n 883.4
2.75/5
Y. Fofana n 874
2.37/5
Sevilla — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Vlachodimos n 890
3.27/5
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Swedberg n 833.4
3.77/3
1.33/1
—
H. Burcio n 838.8
2.34/2
1.24/0
—
Javi Rueda n 863
26/3
1.14/2
—
Yoel Lago n 884.4
1.96/4
1.67/4
—
Ferran Jutglà n 865.1
1.98/3
2.16/3
—
Celta Vigo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Hugo González n 845
2.55/3
13/1
C. Driouech n 831.9
2.55/2
0.41/0
Ferran Jutglà n 865.1
1.95/5
0.73/1
Pablo Durán n 849.3
1.85/2
1.44/1
Iago Aspas n 832.5
1.75/0
0.72/0
Celta Vigo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Hugo González n 845
0.31/0
0.52/0
Hugo Álvarez n 860.8
0.21/0
0.41/1
Iago Aspas n 832.5
0.31/0
0.31/0
Pablo Durán n 849.3
0.51/1
00/0
Miguel Román n 883.6
0.11/0
0.32/0
Celta Vigo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Moriba n 876.8
2.97/5
H. Burcio n 838.8
2.66/2
Andrés Antañón n 746.4
2.54/2
W. Swedberg n 833.4
2.43/2
Marcos Alonso n 875.5
2.17/6
Celta Vigo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. Radu n 890
3.57/5

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Sevilla v Celta Vigo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SevillaWWLDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
Celta VigoLWDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Sevilla 1 · 1 draw · Celta Vigo 4 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-05-23 Celta Vigo 1–0 Sevilla
  • 2026-01-12 Sevilla 0–1 Celta Vigo
  • 2025-05-10 Celta Vigo 3–2 Sevilla
  • 2024-12-14 Sevilla 1–0 Celta Vigo
  • 2024-03-17 Sevilla 1–2 Celta Vigo
  • 2023-11-04 Celta Vigo 1–1 Sevilla
League standing · 2026/27
Sevilla#6 pos14 pts9 pl-2 GD
Celta Vigo#8 pos11 pts9 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Sevilla scored1.56
Celta Vigo scored1.11
Sevilla conceded1.78
Celta Vigo conceded0.78

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Sevilla and Celta Vigo?
In their last 6 meetings, Sevilla won 1, Celta Vigo won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sevilla and Celta Vigo?
Recent form — Sevilla 2W 1D 2L; Celta Vigo 2W 1D 2L.

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