Sevilla v Osasuna prediction

La Liga · · Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Sevilla v Osasuna, La Liga on Mon, 26 Oct 2026 20:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Sevilla host Osasuna in La Liga on Monday 26 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Sevilla or Osasuna (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Sevilla have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Sevilla’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Sevilla’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Sevilla have four wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.29. Sevilla have scored 14 goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Sevilla have conceded 16 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Nine of Osasuna’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Osasuna’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Osasuna have one win, no draws and five defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.50 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 3.17. Osasuna have scored 10 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Osasuna have conceded 18 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Sevilla are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Sevilla (sixth) and Osasuna (10th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Sevilla the stronger side, 111 rating points above Osasuna (Sevilla 1568, Osasuna 1457, after at least 275 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished Osasuna 2–1 Sevilla.

Team news

Predicted Sevilla XI (4-2-3-1): O. Vlachodimos, G. Suazo, J. Iglesias, A. Castrín, K. Salas, L. Agoumé, Y. Fofana, F. Correia, M. Sierra, J. Guridi, R. Ure — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Youssouf Fofana (4.9 per match over six appearances, one goal and one assist) and M. Sierra (4.7 per match over seven appearances, two goals) have been Sevilla’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sevilla (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Youssouf Fofana averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 456 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last six appearances. M. Sierra averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 496 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances.

Predicted Osasuna XI (5-4-1): S. Herrera, Catena, A. Bretones, Í. Arguibide, F. Boyomo, R. Yeboah, Moncayola, I. Muñoz, R. García, L. Torró, A. Budimir — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ante Budimir (6.2 per match over nine appearances, seven goals) and Rubén García (2.8 per match over nine appearances, one assist) have been Osasuna’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Osasuna (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ante Budimir averages 2.8 shots per 90 over 972 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Rubén García averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 532 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · La Liga · Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Sevilla 1 · draws 3 · Osasuna 2 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sevilla 2W 1D 2L · Osasuna 1W 1D 3L

Sevilla v Osasuna (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.88 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 2.88
Corners
against 3.63 / 5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 4
Shots on target
against 5.25 / 4.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3 / 2.75
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSevilla for / againstLineOsasuna for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.25 for · 3.63 against n 8
9.5standard
2.88 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
11.63 for · 13.5 against n 8
19.5standard
10.63 for · 13.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.38 for · 5.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.25 for · 12.38 against n 8
21.5standard
15.38 for · 12.38 against n 8
Cards shown
3 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.75 for · 2.25 against n 8
Sevilla
Sevilla — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Isaac n 837.9
3.36/4
1.54/1
—
Alfon González n 830.4
35/3
1.53/1
—
Peque Fernández n 839
2.95/4
3.86/5
—
Miguel Sierra n 361.3
2.42/1
22/1
—
Robbie Ure n 841.4
2.45/2
2.24/2
—
Sevilla — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Miguel Sierra n 361.3
2.93/2
11/1
Robbie Ure n 841.4
2.75/2
0.83/0
Isaac n 837.9
2.76/3
0.62/0
L. Stassin n 858.8
1.95/3
0.82/2
M. Sierra n 865.4
1.75/3
0.92/2
Sevilla — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Isaac n 837.9
0.62/0
0.31/0
Robbie Ure n 841.4
0.31/0
0.31/0
Y. Fofana n 874
0.21/0
0.21/0
Félix Correia n 865.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
L. Stassin n 858.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
Sevilla — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Juan Iglesias n 887.8
3.18/7
L. Agoumé n 890
38/7
Giorgi Kochorashvili n 856.6
36/5
G. Suazo n 883.4
2.75/5
Y. Fofana n 874
2.37/5
Sevilla — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Vlachodimos n 890
3.27/5
Osasuna
Osasuna — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Asier Osambela n 846.8
2.67/3
0.21/0
—
U. Santos n 369.3
2.23/1
0.41/0
—
Iker Muñoz n 869.3
2.16/4
1.86/3
—
Rubén García n 857.5
25/2
13/2
—
A. Budimir n 867.1
1.85/3
1.85/3
—
Osasuna — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Budimir n 867.1
2.86/5
1.75/2
Raúl García n 852.4
2.15/4
1.34/2
Jonathan Dubasin n 841.9
2.13/3
1.33/1
Kike Barja n 833.9
1.73/2
0.31/0
Lucas Torró n 851.3
1.33/1
0.41/1
Osasuna — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Budimir n 867.1
0.84/1
00/0
R. Del Castillo n 859.1
0.42/0
00/0
Raúl García n 852.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
Kike Barja n 833.9
0.31/0
00/0
R. Yeboah n 873.6
0.21/0
00/0
Osasuna — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Rubén García n 857.5
3.17/5
R. Yeboah n 873.6
2.87/6
Asier Osambela n 846.8
2.64/1
Abel Bretones n 877.4
2.36/4
Moncayola n 869.5
2.37/6
Osasuna — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Aitor Fernández n 892
3.55/4
Sergio Herrera n 884.4
1.53/0

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Sevilla v Osasuna — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SevillaWWLDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
OsasunaLLDLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Sevilla 1 · 3 draws · Osasuna 2 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2026-04-26 Osasuna 2–1 Sevilla
  • 2025-11-08 Sevilla 1–0 Osasuna
  • 2025-04-24 Osasuna 1–0 Sevilla
  • 2024-12-02 Sevilla 1–1 Osasuna
  • 2024-01-28 Sevilla 1–1 Osasuna
  • 2023-09-23 Osasuna 0–0 Sevilla
League standing · 2026/27
Sevilla#6 pos14 pts9 pl-2 GD
Osasuna#10 pos11 pts9 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
Sevilla scored1.56
Osasuna scored1.11
Sevilla conceded1.78
Osasuna conceded2

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Sevilla v Osasuna?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sevilla v Osasuna is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Sevilla and Osasuna?
In their last 6 meetings, Sevilla won 1, Osasuna won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sevilla and Osasuna?
Recent form — Sevilla 2W 1D 2L; Osasuna 1W 1D 3L.

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