Villarreal v Rayo Vallecano prediction

La Liga · · Estadio de la Ceramica

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Villarreal · Rayo Vallecano · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Villarreal v Rayo Vallecano, La Liga on Sun, 13 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Villarreal host Rayo Vallecano in La Liga on Sunday 13 December (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Rayo Vallecano have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Villarreal’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of Villarreal’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Villarreal have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 2.29 and conceding 1.57. Villarreal have scored 13 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Villarreal have conceded 13 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Six of Rayo Vallecano’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in 11 of Rayo Vallecano’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Rayo Vallecano have three wins, three draws and four defeats in their last 10 away matches in all competitions — 1.20 points per game, scoring 1.20 and conceding 1.60. Rayo Vallecano have scored 12 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Rayo Vallecano have conceded 17 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Rayo Vallecano are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Villarreal (12th) and Rayo Vallecano (14th) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Rayo Vallecano the stronger side, 13 rating points above Villarreal (Rayo Vallecano 1587, Villarreal 1574, after at least 237 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Rayo Vallecano 2–0 Villarreal.

Team news

Predicted Villarreal XI (4-4-2): P. Gulácsi, R. Veiga, A. Freeman, S. Cardona, P. Navarro, P. Gueye, S. Comesaña, N. Saliba, N. Pépé, A. Pérez, G. Mikautadze — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Nicolas Pépé (3.8 per match over seven appearances, two goals) and Georges Mikautadze (3.6 per match over 12 appearances, four goals and two assists) have been Villarreal’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Villarreal (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Nicolas Pépé averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 823 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Georges Mikautadze averages 2.5 shots per 90 over 909 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Rayo Vallecano XI (4-2-3-1): E. Audero, F. Lejeune, A. Pedrosa, I. Balliu, M. Sadick, U. López, Á. García, Ó. Valentín, P. Díaz, J. de Frutos, S. Camello — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Sergio Camello (4.8 per match over nine appearances, seven goals and one assist) and Unai López (4.1 per match over nine appearances, three assists) have been Rayo Vallecano’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rayo Vallecano (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Sergio Camello averages 3.0 shots per 90 over 605 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last nine appearances. Unai López averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 681 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · La Liga · Estadio de la Ceramica
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Villarreal 3 · draws 2 · Rayo Vallecano 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Villarreal 2W 1D 2L · Rayo Vallecano 2W 2D 1L

Villarreal v Rayo Vallecano (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 22 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6 / 5.5
Corners
against 5.38 / 6.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 4.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2.25
Cards
against 2.5 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameVillarreal for / againstLineRayo Vallecano for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
6 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 6.5 against n 8
Shots
16.13 for · 13.25 against n 8
19.5standard
13.75 for · 14.5 against n 8
Shots on target
6 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 4.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.88 for · 11.5 against n 8
21.5standard
10.88 for · 10.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2 against n 8
Villarreal
Villarreal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Saliba n 859.3
2.76/4
1.77/1
—
T. Buchanan n 856.5
26/3
3.48/4
—
T. Oluwaseyi n 841.4
1.94/2
0.52/0
—
C. Macia n 819.1
1.82/1
0.61/0
—
Santi Comesaña n 866
1.77/2
14/1
—
Villarreal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Oluwaseyi n 841.4
2.76/3
1.43/2
T. Buchanan n 856.5
2.46/5
13/1
N. Pépé n 867.6
2.27/5
1.57/2
Alberto Moleiro n 866.8
2.27/4
13/3
Ayoze Pérez n 852.6
2.15/3
1.13/1
Villarreal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Ayoze Pérez n 852.6
0.21/0
0.94/0
Alberto Moleiro n 866.8
0.32/0
0.31/1
Gerard Moreno n 836
0.31/0
0.31/0
N. Pépé n 867.6
0.32/0
0.21/0
G. Mikautadze n 850
0.52/0
00/0
Villarreal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Macia n 819.1
7.65/3
A. Diatta n 334.7
3.52/1
A. Freeman n 865.3
2.88/2
Carlos Romero n 875.1
2.77/4
Pau Navarro n 887.8
1.97/5
Villarreal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Gulácsi n 890
2.94/4
Luíz Júnior n 890
2.36/3
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Fran Pérez n 828.6
4.37/2
0.82/0
—
Alemão n 827.6
2.95/2
2.94/2
—
G. Bouare n 537.8
2.43/2
1.43/0
—
R. Nteka n 853.5
2.16/2
1.34/1
—
Isi Palazón n 867.6
27/3
27/3
—
Rayo Vallecano — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Alemão n 827.6
3.36/1
1.23/0
Sergio Camello n 872.4
3.17/7
1.96/4
Pedro Díaz n 849.8
2.95/4
0.72/1
Isi Palazón n 867.6
2.56/4
0.83/1
R. Nteka n 853.5
2.37/4
1.55/2
Rayo Vallecano — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Sergio Camello n 872.4
1.15/2
0.21/0
Álvaro García n 873.1
0.32/0
0.32/0
R. Nteka n 853.5
0.63/0
00/0
Unai López n 875.4
00/0
0.42/1
Adrià Pedrosa n 868.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Rayo Vallecano — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Bouare n 537.8
2.94/1
A. Rațiu n 890
2.56/5
Óscar Valentín n 850.4
2.56/3
Unai López n 875.4
2.48/5
Adrià Pedrosa n 868.5
2.16/3
Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Dani Cárdenas n 882.5
4.56/5
E. Audero n 884.4
2.56/3
A. Batalla n 886.3
2.37/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Villarreal v Rayo Vallecano — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
VillarrealWLWDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Rayo VallecanoWLWDD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Villarreal 3 · 2 draws · Rayo Vallecano 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-05-17 Rayo Vallecano 2–0 Villarreal
  • 2025-11-01 Villarreal 4–0 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2025-02-22 Rayo Vallecano 0–1 Villarreal
  • 2024-12-18 Villarreal 1–1 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2024-04-28 Villarreal 3–0 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2023-09-24 Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Villarreal
League standing · 2026/27
Villarreal#12 pos9 pts9 pl0 GD
Rayo Vallecano#14 pos9 pts8 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
Villarreal scored1.44
Rayo Vallecano scored1.5
Villarreal conceded1.44
Rayo Vallecano conceded2.13

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Villarreal and Rayo Vallecano?
In their last 6 meetings, Villarreal won 3, Rayo Vallecano won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Villarreal and Rayo Vallecano?
Recent form — Villarreal 2W 1D 2L; Rayo Vallecano 2W 2D 1L.

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