Annan Athletic v Dumbarton result
Team pages: Annan Athletic · Dumbarton · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Annan Athletic 3–4 Dumbarton — Dumbarton won this League Two – Scotland match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.
The result
Dumbarton won 4–3 at Galabank in League Two – Scotland on Saturday 23 August. Dumbarton have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
Dumbarton led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Dumbarton: L. McIntosh (28’, assisted by Alistair Roy; 50’, assisted by D. Docherty) and Alistair Roy (39’; 57’, assisted by S. Tomlinson); Annan Athletic: M. Kilsby (60’, assisted by P. Smith), Aidan Smith (83’ pen) and T. Muir (90’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with L. McIntosh’s goal on 28 minutes.
Discipline
The bookings — Annan Athletic: J. Todd (45+2’) and W. Gibson (87’); Dumbarton: M. Durnan (48’).
What it changes
With seven goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 4, across five matches. Annan Athletic are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Dumbarton are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, the draw or Dumbarton, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.6% of the time in the last 90 days (918 of 1357).
Next up
Annan Athletic next travel to Huntly on 24 October 2026.
Dumbarton next host Keith on 24 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Annan Athletic: Huntly v Annan Athletic, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Dumbarton: Dumbarton v Keith, Saturday 24 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Annan Athletic 3–4 Dumbarton · League Two – Scotland
- Venue: Galabank · Annan
- Referee: Stewart Luke
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Annan Athletic 2 · draws 2 · Dumbarton 2 · 4 goals/game
- Recent form: Annan Athletic 1W 2D 2L · Dumbarton 3W 1D 1L
Annan Athletic 3–4 Dumbarton (League Two – Scotland): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Annan Athletic v Dumbarton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-04-26 Dumbarton 3–1 Annan Athletic
- 2025-02-08 Annan Athletic 2–1 Dumbarton
- 2024-12-14 Dumbarton 1–5 Annan Athletic
- 2024-09-14 Annan Athletic 1–1 Dumbarton
- 2023-11-25 Annan Athletic 4–5 Dumbarton
- 2023-05-13 Dumbarton 0–0 Annan Athletic
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Annan Athletic v Dumbarton?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Annan Athletic v Dumbarton was Draw or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Annan Athletic and Dumbarton?
- In their last 6 meetings, Annan Athletic won 2, Dumbarton won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Annan Athletic and Dumbarton?
- Recent form — Annan Athletic 1W 2D 2L; Dumbarton 3W 1D 1L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.