Cheltenham v Accrington ST prediction

League Two · · Whaddon Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Cheltenham v Accrington ST, League Two on Tue, 27 Apr 2027 19:45 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Cheltenham host Accrington ST in League Two on Tuesday 27 April (kick-off 19:45 UK).

The key numbers

Cheltenham have conceded 20 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). 12 of Cheltenham’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in 12 of Cheltenham’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

Form and the table

At home, Cheltenham have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 2.25. Cheltenham have scored 17 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).

10 of Accrington ST’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Accrington ST’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Accrington ST have no wins, three draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.38 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.88. Accrington ST have scored 16 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Accrington ST have conceded 15 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Cheltenham have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Accrington ST are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Cheltenham (eighth) and Accrington ST (10th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Accrington ST the stronger side, 162 rating points above Cheltenham (Accrington ST 1487, Cheltenham 1325, after at least 195 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 3 October 2026, finished Accrington ST 2–0 Cheltenham.

Team news

Predicted Cheltenham XI (4-1-4-1): W. Stanway, P. Sweeney, R. Cundy, J. Tomkinson, J. Tomlinson, J. Shipley, C. McCann, J. Evans, B. Stevenson, S. McWilliams, A. Weimann — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jake Evans (4.2 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and two assists) and Charlie McCann (3.8 per match over 11 appearances, seven goals) have been Cheltenham’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Cheltenham (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jake Evans averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 826 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Charlie McCann averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 994 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Accrington ST XI (3-1-4-2): L. Moulden, J. Anderson, D. Matthews, S. Conneely, D. Tutonda, S. Mols, C. O'Brien, L. Coyle, D. Love, T. Walton, C. Warren — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Josh Woods (5.0 per match over 11 appearances, five goals and one assist) and Stefan Mols (4.4 per match over nine appearances, two goals and four assists) have been Accrington ST’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Accrington ST (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Josh Woods averages 2.5 shots per 90 over 966 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Stefan Mols averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 548 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · League Two · Whaddon Road
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Cheltenham 2 · draws 2 · Accrington ST 2 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cheltenham 1W 1D 3L · Accrington ST 2W 3D 0L

Cheltenham v Accrington ST (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.88 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 5.75
Corners
against 6.13 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 5.38 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3 / 3.13
Cards
against 2 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCheltenham for / againstLineAccrington ST for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 6.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.75 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
8.5 for · 17.25 against n 8
19.5standard
13.25 for · 11.13 against n 8
Shots on target
2.75 for · 5.38 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.13 for · 10.13 against n 8
21.5standard
13.88 for · 10.25 against n 8
Cards shown
3 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
3.13 for · 2 against n 8
Cheltenham
Cheltenham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Otchere n 86.6
8.53/2
00/0
—
S. McWilliams n 874.1
2.78/4
1.86/4
—
J. Bickerstaff n 817.8
2.53/1
0.61/0
—
F. Willcox n 845.5
2.25/2
1.24/1
—
J. Evans n 877.4
1.98/5
1.36/2
—
Cheltenham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Miller n 841.5
2.24/2
1.64/1
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
Favour Onukwuli n 58.4
2.11/0
00/0
K. Otchere n 86.6
1.71/0
00/0
J. Evans n 877.4
1.56/2
0.73/1
Cheltenham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Miller n 841.5
1.14/0
00/0
C. McCann n 890
0.85/1
00/0
A. Weimann n 884.4
0.54/0
0.32/0
R. Broom n 858.9
0.42/0
0.42/0
J. Evans n 877.4
0.31/1
0.11/0
Cheltenham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. McWilliams n 874.1
3.38/5
B. Stevenson n 873.8
2.77/5
J. Wilson n 861.6
1.86/4
F. Willcox n 845.5
1.74/2
J. Tomkinson n 890
1.57/3
Cheltenham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
W. Stanway n 890
3.44/4
Accrington ST
Accrington ST — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Walton n 878
2.76/5
1.47/3
—
S. Whalley n 867.5
2.26/5
1.26/1
—
Alex Henderson n 843
2.15/2
0.83/0
—
J. Catesby n 314
2.11/0
00/0
—
Devon Matthews n 888
1.98/5
16/2
—
Accrington ST — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Caton n 865.5
48/6
2.16/3
J. Woods n 887.4
2.76/4
1.35/2
C. Stockton n 824.6
2.75/1
0.92/0
Alex Henderson n 843
2.64/3
14/0
C. Warren n 843
2.15/2
13/1
Accrington ST — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Caton n 865.5
0.93/2
00/0
Stefan Mols n 865
0.32/0
0.52/1
J. Woods n 887.4
0.64/1
0.11/0
C. Warren n 843
0.51/1
00/0
C. O'Brien n 885.5
00/0
0.32/0
Accrington ST — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Catesby n 314
4.31/1
D. Tutonda n 884.8
2.97/6
Joseph Anderson n 890
2.18/6
Aidan Borland n 873.8
2.16/3
C. O'Brien n 885.5
27/5
Accrington ST — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Moulden n 890
2.55/5

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Cheltenham v Accrington ST — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CheltenhamDWLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
Accrington STDDWDW
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.2 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Cheltenham 2 · 2 draws · Accrington ST 2 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2026-10-03 Accrington ST 2–0 Cheltenham
  • 2026-01-31 Accrington ST 3–1 Cheltenham
  • 2025-09-06 Cheltenham 1–0 Accrington ST
  • 2025-01-28 Accrington ST 0–0 Cheltenham
  • 2024-10-01 Cheltenham 2–1 Accrington ST
  • 2023-02-11 Cheltenham 0–0 Accrington ST
League standing · 2026/27
Cheltenham#8 pos15 pts11 pl-3 GD
Accrington ST#10 pos14 pts11 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Cheltenham scored1.55
Accrington ST scored1.45
Cheltenham conceded1.82
Accrington ST conceded1.36

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Cheltenham and Accrington ST?
In their last 6 meetings, Cheltenham won 2, Accrington ST won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cheltenham and Accrington ST?
Recent form — Cheltenham 1W 1D 3L; Accrington ST 2W 3D 0L.

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