Cheltenham v Fleetwood Town prediction

League Two · · New Meadow Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Cheltenham v Fleetwood Town, League Two on Tue, 20 Oct 2026 19:45 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Cheltenham host Fleetwood Town in League Two on Tuesday 20 October (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Cheltenham or Fleetwood Town (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Cheltenham have conceded 20 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). 12 of Cheltenham’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in 12 of Cheltenham’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

Form and the table

At home, Cheltenham have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 2.25. Cheltenham have scored 17 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Four of Fleetwood Town’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in seven of Fleetwood Town’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Fleetwood Town have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last 5 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.40. Fleetwood Town have scored 12 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Fleetwood Town have conceded 11 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Cheltenham have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Cheltenham (eighth) and Fleetwood Town (12th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Fleetwood Town the stronger side, 106 rating points above Cheltenham (Fleetwood Town 1431, Cheltenham 1325, after at least 103 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 10 March 2026, finished Fleetwood Town 2–2 Cheltenham.

Team news

Predicted Cheltenham XI (4-1-4-1): W. Stanway, P. Sweeney, R. Cundy, J. Tomkinson, J. Tomlinson, J. Shipley, C. McCann, J. Evans, B. Stevenson, S. McWilliams, A. Weimann — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jake Evans (4.2 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and two assists) and Charlie McCann (3.8 per match over 11 appearances, seven goals) have been Cheltenham’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Cheltenham (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jake Evans averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 826 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Charlie McCann averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 994 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Fleetwood Town XI (3-1-4-2): J. Lynch, S. Rooney, F. Potter, R. Bennett, H. Neal, M. Helm, L. McCann, A. Murphy, J. Batty, C. Evans, R. Coughlan — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lewis McCann (4.1 per match over 14 appearances, one assist) and Shaun Rooney (3.8 per match over 14 appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Fleetwood Town’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Fleetwood Town (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lewis McCann averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 1260 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Shaun Rooney averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 1260 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · League Two · New Meadow Park
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Cheltenham 2 · draws 1 · Fleetwood Town 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cheltenham 1W 1D 3L · Fleetwood Town 1W 1D 3L

Cheltenham v Fleetwood Town (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.88 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 5
Corners
against 6.13 / 5.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 5.38 / 3 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3 / 2.75
Cards
against 2 / 2.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCheltenham for / againstLineFleetwood Town for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 6.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
8.5 for · 17.25 against n 8
19.5standard
14.38 for · 11.38 against n 8
Shots on target
2.75 for · 5.38 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 3 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.13 for · 10.13 against n 8
21.5standard
12.5 for · 12.63 against n 8
Cards shown
3 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.75 for · 2.5 against n 8
Cheltenham
Cheltenham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Otchere n 86.6
8.53/2
00/0
—
S. McWilliams n 874.1
2.78/4
1.86/4
—
J. Bickerstaff n 817.8
2.53/1
0.61/0
—
F. Willcox n 845.5
2.25/2
1.24/1
—
J. Evans n 877.4
1.98/5
1.36/2
—
Cheltenham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Miller n 841.5
2.24/2
1.64/1
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
Favour Onukwuli n 58.4
2.11/0
00/0
K. Otchere n 86.6
1.71/0
00/0
J. Evans n 877.4
1.56/2
0.73/1
Cheltenham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Miller n 841.5
1.14/0
00/0
C. McCann n 890
0.85/1
00/0
A. Weimann n 884.4
0.54/0
0.32/0
R. Broom n 858.9
0.42/0
0.42/0
J. Evans n 877.4
0.31/1
0.11/0
Cheltenham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. McWilliams n 874.1
3.38/5
B. Stevenson n 873.8
2.77/5
J. Wilson n 861.6
1.86/4
F. Willcox n 845.5
1.74/2
J. Tomkinson n 890
1.57/3
Cheltenham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
W. Stanway n 890
3.44/4
Fleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Andrew n 855.5
2.45/3
0.82/1
—
C. Evans n 864.1
2.37/4
1.15/1
—
Will Davies n 834.9
1.92/1
1.64/1
—
J. Robertson n 316.3
1.81/0
1.81/0
—
Josh Robertson n 316.3
1.81/0
1.81/0
—
Fleetwood Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Coughlan n 853.1
2.35/2
1.95/1
Will Davies n 834.9
2.34/3
13/0
A. Loupalo-Bi n 840.6
1.94/2
0.62/0
C. Evans n 864.1
1.86/2
0.52/1
J. Robertson n 316.3
1.81/0
00/0
Fleetwood Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Loupalo-Bi n 840.6
0.62/0
0.31/0
R. Coughlan n 853.1
0.63/0
00/0
Will Davies n 834.9
0.31/0
00/0
Crispin McLean n 834
00/0
0.31/0
C. Evans n 864.1
00/0
0.21/0
Fleetwood Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Robertson n 316.3
7.32/1
Josh Robertson n 316.3
7.32/1
A. Murphy n 867
2.96/4
L. McCann n 890
2.66/5
Rafaele Cirino n 847.1
2.65/3
Fleetwood Town — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Lynch n 890
1.94/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Cheltenham v Fleetwood Town — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CheltenhamDWLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
Fleetwood TownLLLDW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Cheltenham 2 · 1 draw · Fleetwood Town 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-03-10 Fleetwood Town 2–2 Cheltenham
  • 2025-10-04 Cheltenham 2–0 Fleetwood Town
  • 2025-02-08 Fleetwood Town 2–0 Cheltenham
  • 2024-09-28 Cheltenham 0–2 Fleetwood Town
  • 2024-03-29 Fleetwood Town 1–2 Cheltenham
  • 2023-10-03 Cheltenham 0–2 Fleetwood Town
League standing · 2026/27
Cheltenham#8 pos15 pts11 pl-3 GD
Fleetwood Town#12 pos14 pts11 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Cheltenham scored1.55
Fleetwood Town scored1.09
Cheltenham conceded1.82
Fleetwood Town conceded1

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Cheltenham v Fleetwood Town?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cheltenham v Fleetwood Town is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Cheltenham and Fleetwood Town?
In their last 6 meetings, Cheltenham won 2, Fleetwood Town won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cheltenham and Fleetwood Town?
Recent form — Cheltenham 1W 1D 3L; Fleetwood Town 1W 1D 3L.

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