Cheltenham v Swindon Town prediction
Team pages: Cheltenham · Swindon Town · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cheltenham vs Swindon Town, League Two on Sat, 13 Mar 2027 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
Form and momentum
Swindon Town are winless in their last five matches (last 15 results). Ten of Swindon Town’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of Swindon Town’s last 15 results (47%).
Eleven of Cheltenham’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in eleven of Cheltenham’s last 15 results (73%).
The shape of the game
At home, Cheltenham have four wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 9 home matches — 1.44 points per game, scoring 1.44 and conceding 2.00. Cheltenham have scored 16 goals, the 4th-highest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Cheltenham have conceded 16 goals, the 22nd-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).
At away, Swindon Town have no wins, one draw and seven defeats in their last 8 away matches — 0.13 points per game, scoring 0.25 and conceding 2.38. Swindon Town have scored nine goals, the 18th-highest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Swindon Town have conceded 14 goals, the 17th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Cheltenham (8th) and Swindon Town (17th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Cheltenham the stronger side, 66 rating points above Swindon Town (1409 v 1343, after at least 278 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 22 August 2026, finished Swindon Town 2–1 Cheltenham.
Players to watch
By TACTIX Impact, J. Evans (4.4 per match over ten appearances, three goals and two assists) and C. McCann (4.4 per match over ten appearances, seven goals) have been Cheltenham’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Cheltenham: J. Evans 0.7 key passes per 90 (738 minutes), a key pass in 5 of the last 10 appearances; C. McCann 1.3 key passes per 90 (904 minutes), a key pass in 7 of the last 10 appearances (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off).
By TACTIX Impact, Jack Thomson (4.6 per match over eight appearances, one assist) and B. Kirkman (4.4 per match over eight appearances) have been Swindon Town’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Swindon Town: Jack Thomson 1.7 key passes per 90 (674 minutes), a key pass in 6 of the last 8 appearances; B. Kirkman 4.7 tackles per 90 (462 minutes), a tackle in 6 of the last 8 appearances (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off).
Predicted line-ups
Predicted Cheltenham XI (4-1-4-1): W. Stanway, R. Cundy, J. Tomkinson, J. Tomlinson, P. Sweeney, C. McCann, J. Evans, B. Stevenson, J. Shipley, S. McWilliams, A. Weimann — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven.
Predicted Swindon Town XI (4-3-3): C. Ripley, S. Negru, K. Majekodunmi, D. Butler, M. Clark, A. Munda, O. Clarke, Jack Thomson, A. Drinan, A. Hackford, J. Hungbo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · League Two · Whaddon Road
- Head-to-head (last 6): Cheltenham 2 · draws 1 · Swindon Town 3 · 3 goals/game
- Recent form: Cheltenham 2W 1D 2L · Swindon Town 0W 1D 4L
Cheltenham vs Swindon Town (League Two): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across every major market — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Cheltenham for / against | Line | Swindon Town for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.88 for · 7 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.13 for · 7.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 8.5 for · 16.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 10.63 for · 16.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 2.88 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.25 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.13 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11 for · 6.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.88 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.75 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Cheltenham
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Otchere n 8 | 17.9 | 4.4 | 1.3 | — |
| F. Willcox n 8 | 35.8 | 2.8 | 0.9 | — |
| S. McWilliams n 8 | 77.4 | 2.6 | 2 | — |
| J. Bickerstaff n 8 | 16.9 | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| J. Evans n 8 | 76 | 1.9 | 1.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Miller n 8 | 31.3 | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| K. Otchere n 8 | 17.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| J. Evans n 8 | 76 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| R. Broom n 8 | 58.9 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Miller n 8 | 31.3 | 1.4 | 0 |
| C. McCann n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 0 |
| A. Weimann n 8 | 82.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| R. Broom n 8 | 58.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| J. Evans n 8 | 76 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. McWilliams n 8 | 77.4 | 3.6 |
| B. Stevenson n 8 | 73.8 | 2.6 |
| F. Willcox n 8 | 35.8 | 2.2 |
| J. Evans n 8 | 76 | 2.1 |
| J. Tomkinson n 8 | 90 | 1.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| W. Stanway n 8 | 90 | 3.2 |
Swindon Town
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Debayo n 7 | 17.1 | 4.5 | 0 | — |
| J. Ball n 8 | 43 | 2.1 | 0.5 | — |
| B. Middlemas n 8 | 58.8 | 1.9 | 1 | — |
| O. Clarke n 8 | 64.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 | — |
| K. Majekodunmi n 8 | 74.9 | 1.5 | 0.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hungbo n 8 | 37.6 | 2.7 | 0.9 |
| A. Drinan n 8 | 87.5 | 2.6 | 1.5 |
| O. Palmer n 8 | 50.1 | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| O. Clarke n 8 | 64.3 | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| M. Virtue-Thick n 8 | 58.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hungbo n 8 | 37.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| A. Drinan n 8 | 87.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
| B. Middlemas n 8 | 58.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
| L. Millard n 8 | 33.4 | 0.3 | 0 |
| P. Glatzel n 8 | 65.9 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| B. Kirkman n 8 | 57.8 | 4.7 |
| J. Debayo n 7 | 17.1 | 4.5 |
| J. Ball n 8 | 43 | 3.1 |
| B. Middlemas n 8 | 58.8 | 2.7 |
| O. Clarke n 8 | 64.3 | 2.6 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Ripley n 8 | 90 | 4 |
TACTIX model preview
The TACTIX model has priced Cheltenham vs Swindon Town across every betting markets. Here’s a free pick to get you started:
Today’s free pick for this match posts shortly before kick-off.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Cheltenham v Swindon Town — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-08-22 Swindon Town 2–1 Cheltenham
- 2025-12-29 Cheltenham 0–2 Swindon Town
- 2025-12-09 Swindon Town 0–1 Cheltenham
- 2025-03-15 Swindon Town 3–3 Cheltenham
- 2024-10-12 Cheltenham 2–3 Swindon Town
- 2019-11-19 Swindon Town 0–1 Cheltenham
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Cheltenham and Swindon Town?
- In their last 6 meetings, Cheltenham won 2, Swindon Town won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Cheltenham and Swindon Town?
- Recent form — Cheltenham 2W 1D 2L; Swindon Town 0W 1D 4L.
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