Colchester v Accrington ST prediction

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Colchester · Accrington ST · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Colchester v Accrington ST, League Two on Sat, 06 Mar 2027 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Colchester host Accrington ST in League Two on Saturday 6 March (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Colchester are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions. Accrington ST are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Five of Colchester’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in eight of Colchester’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Colchester have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 0.71 and conceding 0.86. Colchester have scored 11 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Colchester have conceded 14 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Nine of Accrington ST’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Accrington ST’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Accrington ST have no wins, three draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.38 points per game, scoring 0.75 and conceding 1.75. Accrington ST have scored 17 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Accrington ST have conceded 16 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Colchester (19th) and Accrington ST (11th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Accrington ST the stronger side, 84 rating points above Colchester (Accrington ST 1502, Colchester 1418, after at least 196 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 15 August 2026, finished Accrington ST 2–2 Colchester.

Team news

Predicted Colchester XI (4-2-3-1): T. Lo-Tutala, J. Tucker, E. Iandolo, R. Hunt, S. Raggett, M. Sesay, J. Williams, J. Payne, H. Anderson, O. Thorn, B. Ihionvien — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jack Payne (4.7 per match over 10 appearances, one assist) and Moses Sesay (4.4 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Colchester’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Colchester (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jack Payne averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 903 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Moses Sesay averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 771 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Accrington ST XI (3-4-1-2): L. Moulden, J. Anderson, D. Matthews, S. Conneely, D. Tutonda, S. Mols, C. O'Brien, A. Borland, L. Coyle, T. Walton, J. Woods — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Josh Woods (5.3 per match over 12 appearances, six goals and one assist) and Stefan Mols (4.4 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and five assists) have been Accrington ST’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Accrington ST (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Josh Woods averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 1056 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Stefan Mols averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 636 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · League Two
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Colchester 1 · draws 3 · Accrington ST 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Colchester 0W 4D 1L · Accrington ST 2W 3D 0L

Colchester v Accrington ST (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.38 / 0.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 6.25
Corners
against 5.13 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 4
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 3.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 3
Cards
against 2.38 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameColchester for / againstLineAccrington ST for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
3.38 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
6.25 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
12.88 for · 14.38 against n 8
19.5standard
13.25 for · 10.75 against n 8
Shots on target
3.13 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.38 for · 13.25 against n 8
21.5standard
14.5 for · 10.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
3 for · 2.13 against n 8
Colchester
Colchester — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Connelly n 69.3
83/1
00/0
—
B. Lubala n 829.8
3.44/3
1.53/1
—
B. Ihionvien n 847
2.94/4
1.75/2
—
H. Anderson n 887.8
2.67/6
0.94/2
—
Jaden Williams n 832.9
2.45/2
3.14/3
—
Colchester — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Lubala n 829.8
3.42/2
0.41/0
M. Sesay n 881.5
2.27/5
0.85/1
B. Ihionvien n 847
2.25/3
13/1
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
H. Anderson n 887.8
1.85/3
0.64/1
Colchester — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Thorn n 855
00/0
0.63/0
M. Sesay n 881.5
0.42/1
0.11/0
H. Anderson n 887.8
0.32/0
00/0
Jaden Williams n 832.9
0.31/0
00/0
K. Vincent-Young n 862.9
00/0
0.21/0
Colchester — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Kuffour n 836.3
3.75/2
Ben Perry n 860.4
3.57/6
L. Chiwome n 812.9
3.52/2
R. Harvey n 422.8
32/1
P. Digby n 856
2.47/3
Colchester — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Lo-Tutala n 890
2.14/3
Accrington ST
Accrington ST — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Walton n 879.6
2.87/5
1.47/3
—
S. Whalley n 867.5
2.26/5
1.26/1
—
Alex Henderson n 843
2.15/2
0.83/0
—
J. Catesby n 314
2.11/0
00/0
—
D. Tutonda n 888.9
1.86/4
0.95/1
—
Accrington ST — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Caton n 865.5
48/6
2.16/3
C. Stockton n 824.6
2.75/1
0.92/0
Alex Henderson n 843
2.64/3
14/0
J. Woods n 887.4
2.46/4
1.25/1
C. Warren n 852
2.26/3
1.14/1
Accrington ST — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Caton n 865.5
0.93/2
00/0
Stefan Mols n 874.5
0.32/0
0.63/1
J. Woods n 887.4
0.64/1
0.11/0
C. Warren n 852
0.41/1
00/0
S. Whalley n 867.5
00/0
0.32/0
Accrington ST — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Catesby n 314
4.31/1
C. Brown n 831.6
2.86/1
D. Tutonda n 888.9
2.77/5
Joseph Anderson n 890
28/5
Aidan Borland n 877.6
26/3
Accrington ST — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Moulden n 890
2.45/5

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Colchester v Accrington ST — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ColchesterDDLDD
Last 5: 0W 4D 1L · 0.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Accrington STDWDWD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Colchester 1 · 3 draws · Accrington ST 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-08-15 Accrington ST 2–2 Colchester
  • 2026-04-14 Colchester 2–1 Accrington ST
  • 2025-09-13 Accrington ST 1–0 Colchester
  • 2025-01-04 Colchester 0–2 Accrington ST
  • 2024-08-31 Accrington ST 1–1 Colchester
  • 2024-02-17 Colchester 1–1 Accrington ST
League standing · 2026/27
Colchester#19 pos12 pts11 pl-3 GD
Accrington ST#11 pos15 pts12 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Colchester scored1
Accrington ST scored1.42
Colchester conceded1.27
Accrington ST conceded1.33

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Colchester and Accrington ST?
In their last 6 meetings, Colchester won 1, Accrington ST won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Colchester and Accrington ST?
Recent form — Colchester 0W 4D 1L; Accrington ST 2W 3D 0L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →