Gillingham v Accrington ST prediction
Team pages: Gillingham · Accrington ST · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Gillingham v Accrington ST, League Two on Sat, 16 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Gillingham host Accrington ST in League Two on Saturday 16 January (kick-off 15:00 UK).
The key numbers
Accrington ST are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Nine of Gillingham’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of Gillingham’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Gillingham have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.38. Gillingham have scored 16 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Gillingham have conceded 13 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
10 of Accrington ST’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Accrington ST’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Accrington ST have no wins, three draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.38 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.88. Accrington ST have scored 16 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Accrington ST have conceded 15 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Gillingham (sixth) and Accrington ST (10th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Accrington ST the stronger side, 14 rating points above Gillingham (Accrington ST 1487, Gillingham 1473, after at least 195 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 17 October 2026, finished Accrington ST 3–1 Gillingham.
Team news
Predicted Gillingham XI (3-4-2-1): O. Wright, O. Beckles, A. Smith, L. Dobbs, N. Freeman, R. McKenzie, J. Brophy, E. King, C. McManus, G. McCleary, R. Hale — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, James Brophy (4.5 per match over 13 appearances, three goals and one assist) and Nicholas Freeman (3.6 per match over 13 appearances, three assists) have been Gillingham’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Gillingham (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), James Brophy averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1118 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Nicholas Freeman averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 1125 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Accrington ST XI (3-1-4-2): L. Moulden, J. Anderson, D. Matthews, S. Conneely, D. Tutonda, S. Mols, C. O'Brien, L. Coyle, D. Love, T. Walton, J. Woods — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Josh Woods (5.1 per match over 12 appearances, six goals and one assist) and Stefan Mols (4.4 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and five assists) have been Accrington ST’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Accrington ST (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Josh Woods averages 2.5 shots per 90 over 1028 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Stefan Mols averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 610 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · League Two · Priestfield Stadium
- Head-to-head (last 6): Gillingham 2 · draws 2 · Accrington ST 2 · 2.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Gillingham 2W 1D 2L · Accrington ST 2W 3D 0L
Gillingham v Accrington ST (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Gillingham for / against | Line | Accrington ST for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.88 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.5 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 2.88 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.75 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 8.75 for · 14.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.25 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 2.88 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.13 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.75 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.88 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.5 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3.13 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
Gillingham
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zane Albarus n 4 | 74.5 | 4.8 | 1.8 | — |
| T. Eaves n 8 | 38.3 | 3.2 | 1.5 | — |
| L. Sillah n 8 | 55.5 | 2.4 | 1.4 | — |
| W. Goodwin n 8 | 42.9 | 2.4 | 1.6 | — |
| J. Daley n 6 | 20 | 2.3 | 0.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Kendall n 8 | 12.8 | 6.2 | 2.6 |
| W. Goodwin n 8 | 42.9 | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| Ronan Hale n 8 | 78.5 | 2 | 1 |
| Z. Obiero n 8 | 69.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Kendall n 8 | 12.8 | 1.8 | 0 |
| Ronan Hale n 8 | 78.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| L. Sillah n 8 | 55.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| T. Eaves n 8 | 38.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| J. Brophy n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Luxton n 3 | 9.7 | 6.2 |
| Zane Albarus n 4 | 74.5 | 4.2 |
| Conor McManus n 6 | 58 | 4.1 |
| E. Coleman n 8 | 49.4 | 2.3 |
| E. King n 8 | 44.9 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Oliver Wright n 8 | 90 | 3.8 |
Accrington ST
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Walton n 8 | 78 | 2.7 | 1.4 | — |
| S. Whalley n 8 | 67.5 | 2.2 | 1.2 | — |
| Alex Henderson n 8 | 43 | 2.1 | 0.8 | — |
| J. Catesby n 3 | 14 | 2.1 | 0 | — |
| Devon Matthews n 8 | 88 | 1.9 | 1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Caton n 8 | 65.5 | 4 | 2.1 |
| C. Stockton n 8 | 24.6 | 2.7 | 0.9 |
| J. Woods n 8 | 87.4 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| Alex Henderson n 8 | 43 | 2.6 | 1 |
| C. Warren n 8 | 43 | 2.1 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Caton n 8 | 65.5 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Stefan Mols n 8 | 65 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| J. Woods n 8 | 87.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| C. Warren n 8 | 43 | 0.5 | 0 |
| C. O'Brien n 8 | 85.5 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Catesby n 3 | 14 | 4.3 |
| D. Tutonda n 8 | 84.8 | 2.9 |
| Joseph Anderson n 8 | 90 | 2.1 |
| Aidan Borland n 8 | 73.8 | 2.1 |
| C. O'Brien n 8 | 85.5 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Moulden n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Gillingham v Accrington ST — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-10-17 Accrington ST 3–1 Gillingham
- 2026-04-06 Gillingham 2–0 Accrington ST
- 2025-08-02 Accrington ST 1–1 Gillingham
- 2025-03-15 Accrington ST 1–1 Gillingham
- 2024-10-12 Gillingham 1–2 Accrington ST
- 2024-01-13 Accrington ST 1–2 Gillingham
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Gillingham and Accrington ST?
- In their last 6 meetings, Gillingham won 2, Accrington ST won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Gillingham and Accrington ST?
- Recent form — Gillingham 2W 1D 2L; Accrington ST 2W 3D 0L.
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