Atlas v Puebla prediction
Team pages: Atlas · Puebla · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Atlas v Puebla, Liga MX on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 23:00 GMT.
The match
Atlas host Puebla in Liga MX on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 23:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Atlas or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Atlas have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions. Atlas are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Puebla are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Seven of Atlas’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in 10 of Atlas’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Atlas have one win, three draws and two defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.50. Atlas have scored 19 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026 so far). Atlas have conceded 18 goals, the seventh-most of the 18 clubs.
Six of Puebla’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in eight of Puebla’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Puebla have three wins, one draw and six defeats in their last 10 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.80. Puebla have scored 12 goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026 so far). Puebla have conceded 13 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Atlas (third) and Puebla (11th) are five points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Atlas the stronger side, 144 rating points above Puebla (Atlas 1616, Puebla 1472, after at least 328 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Atlas are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Puebla. The most recent meeting, on 10 January 2026, finished Atlas 1–0 Puebla.
Team news
Predicted Atlas XI (3-4-2-1): C. Vargas, J. Sanchez, M. Valenzuela, A. Frías, L. Esteves, P. Ramírez, E. Montiel, K. Zenon, A. González, S. Hernández, F. Monzon — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, K. Zenon (5.4 per match over four appearances, one goal and two assists) and R. Schlegel (4.0 per match over nine appearances) have been Atlas’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Atlas (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), K. Zenon averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 732 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. R. Schlegel averages 2.9 tackles per 90 over 802 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last nine appearances.
Predicted Puebla XI (4-2-3-1): D. Gutierrez, J. Vargas, F. Almada, F. Monarrez, I. Moreno, B. Garnica, A. Organista, C. Baltazar, M. Tomas, S. Sanabria, I. Maestro Puch — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, E. Gomez (4.2 per match over seven appearances, two goals) and K. Velasco (4.0 per match over 10 appearances, two goals) have been Puebla’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Puebla (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), E. Gomez averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 680 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. K. Velasco averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 772 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Liga MX · Estadio Jalisco
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Atlas 4 · draws 1 · Puebla 1 · 3.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Atlas 2W 2D 1L · Puebla 0W 3D 2L
Atlas v Puebla (Liga MX): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Atlas for / against | Line | Puebla for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.75 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.5 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5 for · 7.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.75 for · 13.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.75 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.13 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.63 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 8.63 for · 9.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
Atlas
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesús Serrato n 8 | 16 | 2.8 | 2.8 | — |
| Adonis Frías n 8 | 68.4 | 2.3 | 1.5 | — |
| S. Hernández n 8 | 31.6 | 2.1 | 3.2 | — |
| Gustavo Ferrareis n 8 | 70.6 | 1.9 | 0.8 | — |
| J. Sanchez n 8 | 88.6 | 1.8 | 0.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| F. Monzon n 8 | 90 | 3 | 0.9 |
| R. Mmaee n 8 | 63.4 | 2.8 | 1.2 |
| K. Zenon n 8 | 54.5 | 2.1 | 1 |
| Luís Esteves n 8 | 80 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| M. Capasso n 8 | 71.5 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Zenon n 8 | 54.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Jesús Serrato n 8 | 16 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Luís Esteves n 8 | 80 | 0.6 | 0 |
| É. Zaldívar n 8 | 44.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| F. Monzon n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. Hernández n 8 | 31.6 | 3.9 |
| Jesús Serrato n 8 | 16 | 3.5 |
| R. Schlegel n 8 | 89 | 3.3 |
| Milton Valenzuela n 8 | 79.1 | 2.6 |
| J. Sanchez n 8 | 68.6 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Vargas n 8 | 90 | 3.2 |
Puebla
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Herrera n 8 | 39 | 3.8 | 0.9 | — |
| I. Maestro Puch n 8 | 51.6 | 2.2 | 0.2 | — |
| J. R. Pachuca Martinez n 8 | 35.1 | 2.2 | 1.3 | — |
| Lucas Camilo n 5 | 25 | 2.2 | 0 | — |
| A. Organista n 8 | 85.5 | 1.6 | 0.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Tomas n 8 | 59.5 | 3 | 1.3 |
| K. Velasco n 8 | 75.9 | 2.8 | 1.2 |
| E. Mustre n 8 | 62.3 | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| I. Maestro Puch n 8 | 51.6 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| L. Hernandez n 8 | 35.3 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| E. Mustre n 8 | 62.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| A. Herrera n 8 | 39 | 0 | 0.6 |
| C. Baltazar n 8 | 69 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| M. Tomas n 8 | 59.5 | 0.4 | 0 |
| I. Maestro Puch n 8 | 51.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Organista n 8 | 85.5 | 3.6 |
| S. Sanabria n 8 | 68.9 | 3.6 |
| J. R. Pachuca Martinez n 8 | 35.1 | 3.5 |
| B. Garnica n 8 | 76.5 | 2.6 |
| Heriberto Jurado n 8 | 23 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Gutierrez n 8 | 90 | 3.1 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Atlas v Puebla — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-01-10 Atlas 1–0 Puebla
- 2025-02-15 Atlas 3–2 Puebla
- 2024-07-20 Puebla 1–2 Atlas
- 2024-03-09 Puebla 2–2 Atlas
- 2023-09-29 Atlas 2–3 Puebla
- 2023-03-18 Puebla 0–4 Atlas
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Atlas v Puebla?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Atlas v Puebla is Home or Draw.
- What is the head-to-head record between Atlas and Puebla?
- In their last 6 meetings, Atlas won 4, Puebla won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Atlas and Puebla?
- Recent form — Atlas 2W 2D 1L; Puebla 0W 3D 2L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.