Toluca v Club Tijuana prediction
Team pages: Toluca · Club Tijuana · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Toluca v Club Tijuana, Liga MX on Thu, 22 Oct 2026 02:00 BST.
The match
Toluca host Club Tijuana in Liga MX on Thursday 22 October (kick-off 02:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.
The key numbers
Toluca have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions. Toluca are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Club Tijuana. Toluca are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Club Tijuana are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Eight of Toluca’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Toluca’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Toluca have seven wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 10 home matches in all competitions — 2.20 points per game, scoring 2.40 and conceding 0.80. Toluca have scored 26 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs (2026 so far). Toluca have conceded 16 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Six of Club Tijuana’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Club Tijuana’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Club Tijuana have no wins, four draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.50 points per game, scoring 0.75 and conceding 1.75. Club Tijuana have scored 15 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026 so far). Club Tijuana have conceded 14 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Toluca (second) and Club Tijuana (ninth) are five points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Toluca the stronger side, 65 rating points above Club Tijuana (Toluca 1609, Club Tijuana 1544, after at least 321 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 14 February 2026, finished Toluca 1–0 Club Tijuana.
Team news
Predicted Toluca XI (4-2-3-1): L. Garcia, F. Pereira, B. Mendez, E. López, J. Gallardo, Helinho, N. Castro, A. Vega, F. Romero, F. Viñas, Paulinho — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Helinho (4.8 per match over 23 appearances, seven goals and six assists) and J. Gallardo (4.8 per match over 19 appearances, five goals and three assists) have been Toluca’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Toluca (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Helinho averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 1506 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. J. Gallardo averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 2647 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Club Tijuana XI (4-1-4-1): A. Rodriguez, A. Gomez, J. Porozo, A. Vega, R. Fernández, A. Preciado, I. Tona, I. Rivero, F. González, G. Mora, M. El Ghezouani — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, G. Mora (6.0 per match over eight appearances, five goals and one assist) and Adonis Preciado (4.1 per match over 13 appearances, one assist) have been Club Tijuana’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Club Tijuana (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), G. Mora averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 975 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Adonis Preciado averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 1102 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Liga MX · Estadio Nemesio Diez
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Toluca 4 · draws 1 · Club Tijuana 1 · 2.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Toluca 1W 2D 2L · Club Tijuana 0W 3D 2L
Toluca v Club Tijuana (Liga MX): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Toluca for / against | Line | Club Tijuana for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.25our book | 1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.88 for · 6.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.13 for · 6.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 15.25 for · 15 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14.63 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 6.5 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.38 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 14.71 for · 12 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.38 for · 13.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.88 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Toluca
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Barbosa n 8 | 56 | 2.2 | 1 | — |
| A. Vega n 8 | 69.9 | 1.9 | 2.6 | — |
| É. Gutiérrez n 8 | 60.3 | 1.9 | 0.6 | — |
| J. Gallardo n 8 | 77.9 | 1.7 | 0.7 | — |
| V. Guzmán n 8 | 34.3 | 1.6 | 0 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Diaz n 8 | 31.3 | 4.3 | 1.8 |
| O. Virgen n 8 | 28.3 | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| Helinho n 8 | 71.4 | 2.8 | 1.6 |
| F. Viñas n 8 | 71.8 | 2.4 | 1.3 |
| N. Castro n 8 | 78.9 | 2.3 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| O. Virgen n 8 | 28.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Helinho n 8 | 71.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| A. Vega n 8 | 69.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| J. Diaz n 8 | 31.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| F. Viñas n 8 | 71.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Barbosa n 8 | 56 | 5.8 |
| P. Perez n 8 | 27.5 | 3.7 |
| É. Gutiérrez n 8 | 60.3 | 3.2 |
| F. Pereira n 8 | 84.4 | 2.9 |
| Santiago Simón n 8 | 65.8 | 2.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Garcia n 8 | 88.1 | 3.3 |
| H. Gonzalez n 8 | 81.5 | 1.5 |
Club Tijuana
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mejía n 8 | 52.9 | 2.1 | 0.2 | — |
| Y. Padilla n 8 | 51.3 | 2 | 1.5 | — |
| R. Arciga n 8 | 67.1 | 1.7 | 1.8 | — |
| F. Boya n 8 | 32.9 | 1.7 | 1 | — |
| M. El Ghezouani n 8 | 71.6 | 1.6 | 2.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| I. Rivero n 8 | 74.8 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| Elias Manoel n 8 | 29.4 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| J. González n 6 | 34 | 2.2 | 0 |
| D. Abreu n 8 | 33.3 | 2 | 0.3 |
| G. Mora n 8 | 76.1 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elias Manoel n 8 | 29.4 | 0.8 | 0 |
| G. Mora n 8 | 76.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| M. El Ghezouani n 8 | 71.6 | 0.5 | 0 |
| A. Vega n 8 | 77.1 | 0 | 0.4 |
| I. Rivero n 8 | 74.8 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| R. Arciga n 8 | 67.1 | 3.2 |
| A. Zapata n 8 | 37.1 | 2.7 |
| Y. Padilla n 8 | 51.3 | 2.6 |
| A. Gomez n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
| J. González n 6 | 34 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Rodriguez n 8 | 90 | 4.1 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Toluca v Club Tijuana — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-02-14 Toluca 1–0 Club Tijuana
- 2025-10-23 Club Tijuana 0–0 Toluca
- 2025-01-11 Club Tijuana 2–4 Toluca
- 2024-09-14 Toluca 4–0 Club Tijuana
- 2024-02-25 Toluca 2–0 Club Tijuana
- 2023-09-16 Club Tijuana 2–1 Toluca
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Toluca v Club Tijuana?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Toluca v Club Tijuana is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.48 at Bet365).
- What is the head-to-head record between Toluca and Club Tijuana?
- In their last 6 meetings, Toluca won 4, Club Tijuana won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Toluca and Club Tijuana?
- Recent form — Toluca 1W 2D 2L; Club Tijuana 0W 3D 2L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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