Angers v Lorient prediction

Ligue 1 · · Stade Raymond-Kopa

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Angers v Lorient, Ligue 1 on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 16:15 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.5% of 1546 landed (95% range 73.3–77.6%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Angers host Lorient in Ligue 1 on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 16:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Angers or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Lorient have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Angers’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 10 of Angers’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Angers have one win, three draws and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 0.75 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.75. Angers have scored nine goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Angers have conceded 15 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Six of Lorient’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Lorient’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Lorient have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.00. Lorient have scored seven goals, the fourth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lorient have conceded six goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Angers (15th) and Lorient (seventh) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lorient the stronger side, 227 rating points above Angers (Lorient 1615, Angers 1388, after at least 189 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Lorient 2–0 Angers.

Team news

Predicted Angers XI (4-2-3-1): A. Lopes, J. Lefort, O. Camara, J. Kalulu, C. Arcus, B. van den Boomen, Y. Belkhdim, A. Sbaï, J. Allevinah, A. Bermont, A. El Ouazzani — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Sbaï (3.9 per match over seven appearances, one goal and one assist) and Amine El Ouazzani (3.8 per match over seven appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Angers’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Angers (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Sbaï averages 3.2 key passes per 90 over 628 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances. Amine El Ouazzani averages 1.3 shots per 90 over 502 minutes, with a shot in five of the last seven appearances.

Predicted Lorient XI (3-4-2-1): Y. Mvogo, M. Talbi, N. Adjei, D. Sylla, K. Kouassi, N. Cadiou, A. Avom, T. Le Bris, N. Mbamba, P. Katseris, J. Makengo — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Dembo Sylla (3.5 per match over seven appearances) and Noah Cadiou (3.5 per match over seven appearances, one goal) have been Lorient’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lorient (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Dembo Sylla averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 612 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last seven appearances. Noah Cadiou averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 624 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ligue 1 · Stade Raymond-Kopa
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Angers 2 · draws 2 · Lorient 2 · 1.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Angers 1W 1D 3L · Lorient 3W 1D 1L

Angers v Lorient (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 0.88
Goals
against 2 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6 / 2.88
Corners
against 5.75 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 6.38 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.25
Cards
against 1.5 / 2.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAngers for / againstLineLorient for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 2 against n 8
2.5our book
0.88 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
6 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
2.88 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
12.88 for · 17.5 against n 8
19.5standard
10.13 for · 13.13 against n 8
Shots on target
2.88 for · 6.38 against n 8
8.5standard
3.25 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.5 for · 12.5 against n 8
21.5standard
9.5 for · 14.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 2.38 against n 8
Angers
Angers — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Djibirin Harouna n 817.6
2.64/0
3.25/0
—
E. Biumla n 849.1
2.35/3
1.44/1
—
U. Simbakoli n 842.5
2.15/3
2.44/3
—
A. Bermont n 827
2.13/2
1.73/1
—
P. Capelle n 852.5
1.95/2
0.42/0
—
Angers — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Djibirin Harouna n 817.6
3.85/1
1.31/1
U. Simbakoli n 842.5
3.76/5
1.64/1
P. Peter n 837.3
3.34/4
1.54/1
G. Koyalipou n 865.6
3.17/4
1.25/1
A. Bermont n 827
2.14/1
0.41/0
Angers — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
U. Simbakoli n 842.5
0.83/0
0.31/0
A. El Ouazzani n 870.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
P. Peter n 837.3
0.62/0
00/0
Djibirin Harouna n 817.6
0.61/0
00/0
J. Ekomié n 879
0.32/0
00/0
Angers — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Bane Diatta n 624.8
34/1
H. Belkebla n 879.8
2.77/5
J. Ekomié n 879
2.66/5
L. Rao-Lisoa n 854.1
2.55/5
L. Mouton n 832.9
2.44/3
Angers — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Anthony Lopes n 880.9
4.77/7
Lorient
Lorient — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Kone n 845.4
2.25/3
1.76/1
—
Souleymane Isaak Touré n 852.9
1.96/3
0.93/1
—
I. Baldé n 863.3
1.64/4
0.74/0
—
P. Pagis n 873.9
1.58/2
1.87/3
—
J. Makengo n 883.1
1.46/3
37/7
—
Lorient — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Kone n 845.4
3.56/5
25/2
B. Dieng n 854.4
3.15/5
1.24/2
A. Tosin n 828
2.85/2
0.81/1
P. Pagis n 873.9
2.37/4
0.53/0
I. Baldé n 863.3
2.17/3
1.14/1
Lorient — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Baldé n 863.3
0.93/1
00/0
P. Katseris n 854.5
00/0
0.83/1
M. Kone n 845.4
0.52/0
00/0
P. Pagis n 873.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
B. Dieng n 854.4
0.42/0
00/0
Lorient — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Avom n 855
3.16/4
T. Le Bris n 857
2.68/4
N. Mbamba n 864.9
2.46/4
A. Faye n 880.9
2.18/6
P. Katseris n 854.5
2.16/2
Lorient — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Y. Mvogo n 890
2.65/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Angers v Lorient — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AngersLDWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
LorientWDLWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Angers 2 · 2 draws · Lorient 2 · 1.33 goals/game
  • 2026-02-15 Lorient 2–0 Angers
  • 2025-10-26 Angers 2–0 Lorient
  • 2023-02-05 Lorient 0–0 Angers
  • 2023-01-01 Angers 1–2 Lorient
  • 2022-01-16 Lorient 0–0 Angers
  • 2021-11-21 Angers 1–0 Lorient
League standing · 2026/27
Angers#15 pos7 pts7 pl-6 GD
Lorient#7 pos11 pts7 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Angers scored1.29
Lorient scored1
Angers conceded2.14
Lorient conceded0.86

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Angers v Lorient?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Angers v Lorient is Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Angers and Lorient?
In their last 6 meetings, Angers won 2, Lorient won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Angers and Lorient?
Recent form — Angers 1W 1D 3L; Lorient 3W 1D 1L.

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