Auxerre v Le Mans prediction
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Auxerre v Le Mans, Ligue 1 on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 16:15 GMT.
The match
Auxerre host Le Mans in Ligue 1 on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 16:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Auxerre or Le Mans (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Auxerre have conceded 17 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Auxerre have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
11 of Auxerre’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of Auxerre’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Auxerre have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 0.86. Auxerre have scored 11 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Nine of Le Mans’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Le Mans’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Le Mans have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.88 and conceding 1.63. Le Mans have scored 10 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Le Mans have conceded 15 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Auxerre (12th) and Le Mans (16th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Auxerre the stronger side, 142 rating points above Le Mans (Auxerre 1584, Le Mans 1443, after at least seven rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 10 January 2020, finished Le Mans 0–1 Auxerre.
Team news
Predicted Auxerre XI (3-4-3): M. Diop, C. Akpa, C. Makosso, A. Tuanzebe, K. Danois, N. Ahamada, A. Piedfort, L. Sy, C. Archer, D. Namaso, R. Faivre — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, D. Namaso (5.9 per match over seven appearances, three goals and two assists) and Kévin Danois (4.9 per match over seven appearances, one assist) have been Auxerre’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Auxerre (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), D. Namaso averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 573 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last seven appearances. Kévin Danois averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 630 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last seven appearances.
Predicted Le Mans XI (3-1-4-2): N. Kocik, H. Voyer, N. Boissé, S. Yohou, A. Bourabaa, J. Vercruysse, R. Bamba, A. Lauray, L. Bretelle, L. Mafouta, D. Guèye — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Bourabaa (6.1 per match over five appearances, three goals and two assists) and Louis Mafouta (3.7 per match over seven appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Le Mans’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Le Mans (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Bourabaa averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 398 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last five appearances. Louis Mafouta averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 585 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last seven appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Ligue 1 · Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 2): Auxerre 2 · draws 0 · Le Mans 0 · 1.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Auxerre 3W 0D 2L · Le Mans 1W 2D 2L
Auxerre v Le Mans (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Auxerre for / against | Line | Le Mans for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3our book | 1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.13 for · 7.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 2.75 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.5 for · 14.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 10.13 for · 15.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.25 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 15.25 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 14.75 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.5 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Auxerre
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Owusu n 8 | 77.1 | 2.3 | 0.6 | — |
| K. Danois n 8 | 90 | 2 | 2 | — |
| D. Namaso n 8 | 80.6 | 1.8 | 1.1 | — |
| Cameron Archer n 8 | 66.6 | 1.7 | 0.3 | — |
| E. Legros n 5 | 31 | 1.7 | 0 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Sinayoko n 8 | 87.6 | 3.1 | 1.9 |
| R. Labeau Lascary n 8 | 41.4 | 2.7 | 2.2 |
| Cameron Archer n 8 | 66.6 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| S. Mara n 8 | 46.3 | 2.2 | 1 |
| D. Namaso n 8 | 80.6 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Sinayoko n 8 | 87.6 | 1 | 0.4 |
| Cameron Archer n 8 | 66.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| S. Mara n 8 | 46.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| D. Namaso n 8 | 80.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| R. Faivre n 8 | 58.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| K. Danois n 8 | 90 | 2.9 |
| G. Mensah n 8 | 84.9 | 1.7 |
| D. Namaso n 8 | 80.6 | 1.7 |
| T. Siwe n 4 | 78.8 | 1.7 |
| E. Legros n 5 | 31 | 1.7 |
Le Mans
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Lauray n 8 | 65 | 2.6 | 0.9 | — |
| D. Traoré n 8 | 34.3 | 2.6 | 2.6 | — |
| H. Diallo n 8 | 33.6 | 2.3 | 1.3 | — |
| E. Colas n 8 | 60.1 | 2.2 | 1.1 | — |
| D. Guèye n 8 | 57 | 2.2 | 0.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Mafouta n 8 | 84.4 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| E. Colas n 8 | 60.1 | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| D. Guèye n 8 | 57 | 2 | 0.6 |
| H. Diallo n 8 | 33.6 | 2 | 0.7 |
| A. Bourabaa n 8 | 67.6 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bourabaa n 8 | 67.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| E. Colas n 8 | 60.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| L. Calodat n 8 | 58.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| L. Mafouta n 8 | 84.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| J. Vercruysse n 8 | 62.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Raúl Torrente n 8 | 70 | 3.2 |
| A. Lauray n 8 | 65 | 2.8 |
| N. Boissé n 8 | 75.4 | 2.7 |
| D. Traoré n 8 | 34.3 | 2.3 |
| Lucas Bretelle n 8 | 73.6 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Hatfout n 8 | 80.5 | 2.7 |
| N. Kocik n 8 | 88.9 | 2.5 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Auxerre v Le Mans — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2020-01-10 Le Mans 0–1 Auxerre
- 2019-08-02 Auxerre 2–0 Le Mans
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Auxerre v Le Mans?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Auxerre v Le Mans is Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Auxerre and Le Mans?
- In their last 2 meetings, Auxerre won 2, Le Mans won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Auxerre and Le Mans?
- Recent form — Auxerre 3W 0D 2L; Le Mans 1W 2D 2L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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