Lorient v Monaco prediction

The match

Lorient host Monaco in Ligue 1 on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 16:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Lorient corners total under 6.5, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Lorient have scored in five consecutive matches.

Monaco are unbeaten in their last nine matches. Monaco have scored in 10 consecutive matches.

Form and the table

Seven of Lorient’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Lorient’s last 15 results (47%). At home, Lorient have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.38. Lorient have scored six goals, the fourth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lorient have conceded six goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

11 of Monaco’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 12 of Monaco’s last 15 results (80%). Away from home, Monaco have five wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 9 away matches — 1.89 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.89. Monaco have scored 10 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Monaco have conceded five goals, the fourth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Lorient (ninth) and Monaco (second) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Monaco the stronger side, 226 rating points above Lorient (Monaco 1819, Lorient 1593, after at least 188 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Lorient are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Monaco. The most recent meeting, on 16 January 2026, finished Monaco 1–3 Lorient.

Team news

Lorient have one name on the availability list: N. Mbamba (out, Muscle Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-17. Predicted Lorient XI (3-4-2-1): Y. Mvogo, M. Talbi, N. Adjei, D. Sylla, K. Kouassi, N. Cadiou, A. Avom, T. Le Bris, P. Katseris, A. Georgen, J. Makengo — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Dembo Sylla (3.8 per match over six appearances) and Nathaniel Adjei (3.4 per match over six appearances) have been Lorient’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lorient (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Dembo Sylla averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 522 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last six appearances. Nathaniel Adjei averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 614 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last seven appearances.

Monaco have three names on the availability list: P. Brunner (out, Suspended), E. Dier (doubtful, Muscle Injury) and S. Idumbo (doubtful, Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-17. Predicted Monaco XI (4-2-3-1): L. Hrádecký, S. Sané, F. Nazinho, Vanderson, A. Soubeir, L. Camara, A. Golovin, D. Zakaria, M. Coulibaly, E. Diop, M. Abline — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Paris Josua Brunner (6.0 per match over eight appearances, seven goals and one assist) and Lamine Camara (5.3 per match over nine appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Monaco’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Monaco (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Paris Josua Brunner averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 660 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last eight appearances. Lamine Camara averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1154 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.