Dijon v Rodez prediction
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Dijon vs Rodez, Ligue 2 on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 13:00 BST.
The match
Dijon host Rodez in Ligue 2 on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 13:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.
The key numbers
Dijon have scored in seven consecutive matches.
Rodez are winless in their last five matches.
Form and the table
Eight of Dijon’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 11 of Dijon’s last 15 results (73%). At home, Dijon have two wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 4 home matches — 1.50 points per game, scoring 2.25 and conceding 2.00. Dijon have scored 16 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Dijon have conceded 16 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.
10 of Rodez’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Rodez’s last 15 results (67%). Away from home, Rodez have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.63. Rodez have scored 14 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Rodez have conceded 18 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs.
Dijon (ninth) and Rodez (17th) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Dijon the stronger side, 123 rating points above Rodez (Dijon 1586, Rodez 1462, after at least 85 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 8 April 2023, finished Dijon 1–0 Rodez.
Team news
Predicted Dijon XI (4-1-3-2): P. Delecroix, L. Lacroix, Q. Bernard, M. Faty, B. Hamada, B. Ndezi, P. Bellon, S. Chouchane, A. Lembezat, T. Dong, A. Lago — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Júlio Tavares (4.3 per match over eight appearances, four goals and one assist) and A. Lembezat (4.2 per match over nine appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Dijon’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Dijon (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Júlio Tavares averages 2.5 shots per 90 over 318 minutes, with a shot in six of the last eight appearances. A. Lembezat averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 501 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances.
Predicted Rodez XI (5-3-2): L. Margueron, M. Magnin, R. Lipinski, C. Roubiou, L. Laurent, E. Jean-Lambert, J. Mendes, A. Cartillier, D. Pavlovic, M. Touho, K. Nagera — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ibrahima Baldé (6.3 per match over four appearances, five goals) and R. Lipinski (4.9 per match over eight appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Rodez’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rodez (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ibrahima Baldé averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 525 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last eight appearances. R. Lipinski averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 720 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last eight appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Ligue 2
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 4): Dijon 2 · draws 1 · Rodez 1 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: Dijon 3W 1D 1L · Rodez 0W 1D 4L
As of 18 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Dijon v Rodez across 246 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Dijon for / against | Line | Rodez for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.75 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.13 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.63 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.5 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14.25 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.63 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.63 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 15.88 for · 13.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 15 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
Dijon
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ange Lago n 3 | 26 | 3.5 | 1.2 | — |
| H. Vargas-Ríos n 6 | 27 | 3.3 | 1.1 | — |
| A. Lago n 5 | 69 | 3.1 | 1 | — |
| Y. Barka n 8 | 34 | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Lembezat n 8 | 59.6 | 2.6 | 3.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ange Lago n 3 | 26 | 3.5 | 2.3 |
| A. Lago n 5 | 69 | 2.9 | 1.6 |
| Samy Olivier Chouchane n 8 | 62 | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| A. Ntamack n 7 | 50.1 | 2.6 | 0.5 |
| Y. Barka n 8 | 34 | 2.6 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Júlio Tavares n 8 | 39.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| A. Lago n 5 | 69 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| H. Vargas-Ríos n 6 | 27 | 0.6 | 0 |
| P. Bellon n 8 | 70.4 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Samy Olivier Chouchane n 8 | 62 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Ange Lago n 3 | 26 | 6.9 |
| H. Vargas-Ríos n 6 | 27 | 5.6 |
| B. Hamada n 6 | 65.3 | 3.2 |
| B. Ndezi n 8 | 72.3 | 3.1 |
| P. Bellon n 8 | 70.4 | 2.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| P. Delecroix n 8 | 90 | 3.1 |
Rodez
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Saka n 8 | 32 | 3.9 | 1.4 | — |
| D. Pavlovic n 8 | 40 | 3.1 | 0.8 | — |
| J. Mendes n 8 | 90 | 2.6 | 1.6 | — |
| C. Roubiou n 8 | 59 | 2.5 | 1 | — |
| K. Nagera n 8 | 43.9 | 1.8 | 2.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Touho n 8 | 62.8 | 3.4 | 1.3 |
| K. Nsona n 8 | 31.3 | 3.2 | 1.1 |
| I. Baldé n 8 | 65.6 | 2.6 | 1.5 |
| Nachon Nsingi n 8 | 36.4 | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| D. Pavlovic n 8 | 40 | 2 | 1.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| I. Baldé n 8 | 65.6 | 1 | 0 |
| O. Joly n 8 | 30.1 | 0.7 | 0 |
| R. Lipinski n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| K. Nagera n 8 | 43.9 | 0 | 0.5 |
| C. Roubiou n 8 | 59 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. Luyambula n 6 | 32.8 | 2.7 |
| M. Saka n 8 | 32 | 2.5 |
| Loni Laurent n 8 | 88.1 | 1.8 |
| R. Lipinski n 8 | 90 | 1.5 |
| M. Magnin n 8 | 90 | 1.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Margueron n 8 | 88.3 | 2.8 |
| Q. Braat n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Dijon v Rodez — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2023-04-08 Dijon 1–0 Rodez
- 2022-12-30 Rodez 2–1 Dijon
- 2022-01-15 Rodez 0–2 Dijon
- 2021-08-07 Dijon 1–1 Rodez
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Dijon vs Rodez?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Dijon v Rodez is Over 2.5 goals.
- What is the head-to-head record between Dijon and Rodez?
- In their last 4 meetings, Dijon won 2, Rodez won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Dijon and Rodez?
- Recent form — Dijon 3W 1D 1L; Rodez 0W 1D 4L.
Today’s boards
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.