PAU v Grenoble prediction

Ligue 2 · · Nouste Camp

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for PAU v Grenoble, Ligue 2 on Fri, 23 Oct 2026 19:00 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.29 at Betfair
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

PAU host Grenoble in Ligue 2 on Friday 23 October (kick-off 19:00 UK); the model’s free pick is PAU or Grenoble (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

PAU are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Grenoble, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Eight of PAU’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of PAU’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, PAU have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.29. PAU have scored 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). PAU have conceded nine goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Six of Grenoble’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Grenoble’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Grenoble have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.63. Grenoble have scored eight goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Grenoble have conceded 15 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

PAU have won their last three matches in all competitions. Grenoble are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. PAU (sixth) and Grenoble (15th) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have PAU the stronger side, 116 rating points above Grenoble (PAU 1525, Grenoble 1410, after at least 229 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 23 January 2026, finished PAU 2–2 Grenoble.

Team news

Predicted PAU XI (5-3-2): B. Maubleu, T. Pouilly, G. Paquiez, A. Bamba, A. Briançon, A. Dodote, C. Fall, J. Benet, L. Rajot, B. Leye, H. Benali — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Benet (4.1 per match over eight appearances, one goal and two assists) and H. Benali (3.4 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been PAU’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for PAU (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Benet averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 660 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last eight appearances. H. Benali averages 1.2 shots per 90 over 603 minutes, with a shot in four of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Grenoble XI (4-1-4-1): A. Olliero, M. Xantippe, C. Vidal, N. Zahui, A. Pelon, B. Mouazan, Y. Magnin, S. Diba, L. Bernadou, J. Akpa Akpro, K. Fofana — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. Xantippe (4.9 per match over nine appearances, one goal and one assist) and Y. Diaby (4.8 per match over three appearances, two goals) have been Grenoble’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Grenoble (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Xantippe averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 806 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last nine appearances. Y. Diaby averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 563 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ligue 2 · Nouste Camp
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): PAU 3 · draws 3 · Grenoble 0 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: PAU 3W 1D 1L · Grenoble 1W 1D 3L

PAU v Grenoble (Ligue 2): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 0.75
Goals
against 1 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 3.25
Corners
against 4.25 / 6.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 2.38
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 5.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 2.63
Cards
against 2.38 / 1.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePAU for / againstLineGrenoble for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1 against n 8
2.5our book
0.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
3.25 for · 6.63 against n 8
Shots
13.88 for · 11.75 against n 8
19.5standard
8.5 for · 15.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
2.38 for · 5.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
16.63 for · 15.88 against n 8
21.5standard
15.25 for · 15.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
PAU
PAU — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Baheng n 327.3
3.33/0
00/0
—
J. Sebas n 839.8
2.86/3
1.43/1
—
L. Rajot n 855.1
2.78/4
0.83/1
—
B. Leye n 546.4
2.34/2
1.93/2
—
H. Benali n 875.4
2.18/5
2.86/4
—
PAU — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Abdoulaye Mbaye n 318.7
83/2
3.21/1
B. Leye n 546.4
4.75/2
1.93/2
B. Leye n 675.7
3.66/4
1.85/4
J. Sebas n 839.8
2.57/2
0.83/0
C. Fall n 872.8
2.27/4
0.63/1
PAU — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Abdoulaye Mbaye n 318.7
1.61/0
00/0
B. Leye n 546.4
1.22/1
00/0
L. Rajot n 855.1
0.21/0
0.63/0
B. Leye n 675.7
0.62/1
00/0
A. Briançon n 865.9
0.21/0
0.32/0
PAU — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Basse n 844.5
2.35/4
R. Baheng n 327.3
2.21/1
H. Benali n 875.4
2.17/4
M. Tourraine n 843.1
2.17/1
C. Fall n 872.8
1.97/3
PAU — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Maubleu n 890
3.58/6
Grenoble
Grenoble — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Mouton n 313.3
4.52/0
00/0
—
M. Djitté n 819.5
3.55/1
1.22/0
—
J. Akpa Akpro n 861.9
3.37/5
4.47/6
—
M. Xantippe n 889.5
2.38/5
0.95/2
—
K. Fofana n 846.5
2.26/2
0.21/0
—
Grenoble — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Diaby n 842.1
2.15/2
1.13/1
B. Mouazan n 876.6
1.55/2
0.63/1
S. Diba n 871.1
1.45/3
0.53/0
Y. Maçon n 868.5
1.14/2
0.52/1
U. Bonnet n 850.1
1.13/1
0.42/0
Grenoble — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Y. Diaby n 842.1
0.52/0
0.31/0
M. Djitté n 819.5
0.61/0
00/0
M. Bangré n 830.1
00/0
0.41/0
S. Diba n 871.1
0.32/0
00/0
B. Mouazan n 876.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
Grenoble — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Mouton n 313.3
11.32/2
D. Hoogewerf n 519.8
6.44/1
Owen Kouassi n 860
36/5
M. Xantippe n 889.5
2.58/6
Y. Magnin n 886.1
2.47/6
Grenoble — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Olliero n 890
47/6

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind PAU v Grenoble — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PAUDLWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
GrenobleLWDLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
PAU 3 · 3 draws · Grenoble 0 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-01-23 PAU 2–2 Grenoble
  • 2025-10-17 Grenoble 1–1 PAU
  • 2025-02-28 PAU 1–0 Grenoble
  • 2024-08-30 Grenoble 1–1 PAU
  • 2024-02-24 Grenoble 0–1 PAU
  • 2023-10-28 PAU 3–2 Grenoble
League standing · 2026/27
PAU#6 pos14 pts9 pl+2 GD
Grenoble#15 pos8 pts9 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
PAU scored1.22
Grenoble scored0.89
PAU conceded1
Grenoble conceded1.67

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win PAU v Grenoble?
TACTIX’s free model pick for PAU v Grenoble is Home or Away (best price 1.29 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between PAU and Grenoble?
In their last 6 meetings, PAU won 3, Grenoble won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of PAU and Grenoble?
Recent form — PAU 3W 1D 1L; Grenoble 1W 1D 3L.

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