PAU v Guingamp prediction

Ligue 2 · · Nouste Camp

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for PAU v Guingamp, Ligue 2 on Fri, 30 Apr 2027 19:00 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

PAU host Guingamp in Ligue 2 on Friday 30 April (kick-off 19:00 UK).

Form and the table

Eight of PAU’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of PAU’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, PAU have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.29. PAU have scored 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). PAU have conceded nine goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Eight of Guingamp’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Guingamp’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Guingamp have no wins, one draw and seven defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.13 points per game, scoring 0.75 and conceding 1.63. Guingamp have scored 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Guingamp have conceded 15 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

PAU have won their last three matches in all competitions. Guingamp have lost their last three matches in all competitions. PAU (sixth) and Guingamp (13th) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have PAU the stronger side, 200 rating points above Guingamp (PAU 1525, Guingamp 1326, after at least 229 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

PAU are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Guingamp. The most recent meeting, on 16 October 2026, finished Guingamp 1–2 PAU.

Team news

Predicted PAU XI (5-3-2): B. Maubleu, T. Pouilly, G. Paquiez, A. Bamba, A. Briançon, A. Dodote, C. Fall, J. Benet, L. Rajot, B. Leye, H. Benali — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Benet (4.1 per match over eight appearances, one goal and two assists) and B. Leye (3.4 per match over six appearances, three goals) have been PAU’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for PAU (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Benet averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 660 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last eight appearances. B. Leye averages 3.6 shots per 90 over 454 minutes, with a shot in six of the last six appearances.

Predicted Guingamp XI (4-4-2): A. Ortolá, E. Koffi, A. Demouchy, D. Gomis, T. Ollila, D. Louiserre, S. Ben Brahim, T. Averlant, T. Ducrocq, S. Kielt, A. Hemia — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Adrián Ortolá (4.1 per match over nine appearances) and B. Bokangu (3.8 per match over five appearances, two goals) have been Guingamp’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Guingamp (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Adrián Ortolá averages 3.0 saves per 90 over 810 minutes, with two or more saves in seven of the last nine appearances. B. Bokangu averages 3.1 shots per 90 over 525 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ligue 2 · Nouste Camp
  • Head-to-head (last 6): PAU 3 · draws 1 · Guingamp 2 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: PAU 3W 1D 1L · Guingamp 1W 1D 3L

PAU v Guingamp (Ligue 2): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.25
Goals
against 1 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 4.25
Corners
against 4.25 / 3.13 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 4.88
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 2.5
Cards
against 2.38 / 2.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gamePAU for / againstLineGuingamp for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.25 for · 3.13 against n 8
Shots
13.88 for · 11.75 against n 8
19.5standard
14.38 for · 13.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.88 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
16.63 for · 15.88 against n 8
21.5standard
12.38 for · 18.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 2.25 against n 8
PAU
PAU — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Baheng n 327.3
3.33/0
00/0
—
J. Sebas n 839.8
2.86/3
1.43/1
—
L. Rajot n 855.1
2.78/4
0.83/1
—
B. Leye n 546.4
2.34/2
1.93/2
—
H. Benali n 875.4
2.18/5
2.86/4
—
PAU — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Abdoulaye Mbaye n 318.7
83/2
3.21/1
B. Leye n 546.4
4.75/2
1.93/2
B. Leye n 675.7
3.66/4
1.85/4
J. Sebas n 839.8
2.57/2
0.83/0
C. Fall n 872.8
2.27/4
0.63/1
PAU — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Abdoulaye Mbaye n 318.7
1.61/0
00/0
B. Leye n 546.4
1.22/1
00/0
L. Rajot n 855.1
0.21/0
0.63/0
B. Leye n 675.7
0.62/1
00/0
A. Briançon n 865.9
0.21/0
0.32/0
PAU — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Abdoulaye Mbaye n 318.7
3.22/0
S. Basse n 844.5
2.35/4
R. Baheng n 327.3
2.21/1
H. Benali n 875.4
2.17/4
M. Tourraine n 843.1
2.17/1
PAU — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Maubleu n 890
3.58/6
Guingamp
Guingamp — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Chamakh n 419.3
4.73/1
1.21/0
—
T. Ollila n 844.9
2.54/3
13/1
—
B. Bokangu n 854.5
2.37/3
2.55/3
—
Vimoj Muntu Wa Mungu n 733.9
2.34/1
2.35/1
—
A. Samoura n 824.4
1.84/0
4.65/3
—
Guingamp — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Chamakh n 419.3
4.72/2
2.32/0
S. Kielt n 865
3.18/4
0.94/1
B. Bokangu n 854.5
3.18/5
1.75/3
S. Ben Brahim n 535.4
22/2
12/0
A. Hemia n 884
1.97/4
0.54/0
Guingamp — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Bokangu n 854.5
0.84/0
00/0
D. Gomis n 872
0.31/1
0.21/0
T. Averlant n 865.4
0.21/0
0.32/0
S. Ben Brahim n 535.4
0.51/0
00/0
J. Matumona n 864.3
00/0
0.42/0
Guingamp — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Chamakh n 428.8
3.13/1
J. Matumona n 864.3
2.57/5
Vimoj Muntu Wa Mungu n 733.9
2.34/2
J. Dianganga n 874.3
2.16/6
T. Ahile n 858
1.96/3
Guingamp — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Adrián Ortolá n 890
2.86/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind PAU v Guingamp — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PAUDLWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
GuingampDWLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
PAU 3 · 1 draw · Guingamp 2 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-10-16 Guingamp 1–2 PAU
  • 2026-04-17 PAU 2–1 Guingamp
  • 2025-11-08 Guingamp 2–2 PAU
  • 2025-05-10 PAU 1–3 Guingamp
  • 2024-10-18 Guingamp 0–1 PAU
  • 2024-04-27 PAU 1–2 Guingamp
League standing · 2026/27
PAU#6 pos14 pts9 pl+2 GD
Guingamp#13 pos8 pts9 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
PAU scored1.22
Guingamp scored1.22
PAU conceded1
Guingamp conceded1.67

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between PAU and Guingamp?
In their last 6 meetings, PAU won 3, Guingamp won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of PAU and Guingamp?
Recent form — PAU 3W 1D 1L; Guingamp 1W 1D 3L.

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