Atlanta United FC v Chicago Fire prediction
Team pages: Atlanta United FC · Chicago Fire · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Atlanta United FC v Chicago Fire, Major League Soccer on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 00:30 BST.
The match
Atlanta United FC host Chicago Fire in Major League Soccer on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 00:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Atlanta United FC or Chicago Fire (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Atlanta United FC have scored in five consecutive matches. 12 of Atlanta United FC’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (80%).
Both teams scored in 12 of Chicago Fire’s last 15 results (80%).
Form and the table
Both teams scored in 11 of Atlanta United FC’s last 15 results (73%). At home, Atlanta United FC have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 2.14. Atlanta United FC have scored 36 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Atlanta United FC have conceded 48 goals, the 14th-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.
11 of Chicago Fire’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Away from home, Chicago Fire have three wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 9 away matches — 1.33 points per game, scoring 1.44 and conceding 1.67. Chicago Fire have scored 52 goals, the 10th-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Chicago Fire have conceded 43 goals, the 11th-fewest of the 30 clubs.
Atlanta United FC (14th) and Chicago Fire (fourth) are 18 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Chicago Fire the stronger side, 145 rating points above Atlanta United FC (Chicago Fire 1553, Atlanta United FC 1408, after at least 329 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Chicago Fire are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Atlanta United FC. The most recent meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished Chicago Fire 1–0 Atlanta United FC.
Team news
Predicted Atlanta United FC XI (4-3-3): L. Hoyos, E. Báez, J. Alonso, T. Jacob, P. Diaz, M. Amaro, T. Muyumba, G. Galoppo, B. Embolo, M. Almirón, L. Brennan — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. Almirón (4.6 per match over 23 appearances, six goals and four assists) and Giuliano Galoppo (4.2 per match over five appearances, two goals) have been Atlanta United FC’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Atlanta United FC (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Almirón averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 2505 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Giuliano Galoppo averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 962 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Chicago Fire XI (4-3-3): C. Brady, J. Elliott, J. Dean, M. Mbokazi, N. Allen, D. D'Avilla, P. Zinckernagel, A. Saletros, R. Lewandowski, M. Haile-Selassie, J. Gómez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, H. Cuypers (7.8 per match over 11 appearances, 13 goals) and P. Zinckernagel (4.7 per match over 33 appearances, eight goals and eight assists) have been Chicago Fire’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Chicago Fire (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), H. Cuypers averages 2.5 shots per 90 over 2153 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. P. Zinckernagel averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 2600 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Major League Soccer · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Atlanta United FC 1 · draws 3 · Chicago Fire 2 · 2.83 goals/game
- Recent form: Atlanta United FC 2W 1D 2L · Chicago Fire 3W 0D 2L
Atlanta United FC v Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Atlanta United FC for / against | Line | Chicago Fire for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.5 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.13 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.75 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 15.38 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.13 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.25 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.63 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.38 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Atlanta United FC
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Brennan n 8 | 29.1 | 3.5 | 1.2 | — |
| Sergio Santos n 8 | 15.1 | 3 | 3 | — |
| Cooper Sanchez n 8 | 46 | 2.2 | 0.7 | — |
| S. Alzate n 8 | 21.6 | 2.1 | 1.6 | — |
| Tristan Muyumba n 8 | 63 | 1.6 | 0.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sergio Santos n 8 | 15.1 | 4.5 | 0.7 |
| M. Almirón n 8 | 86 | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| Aleksey Miranchuk n 8 | 66.1 | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| B. Embolo n 8 | 87.9 | 2.2 | 1 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fafà Picault n 8 | 24.9 | 0.9 | 0 |
| B. Embolo n 8 | 87.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| M. Almirón n 8 | 86 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Giuliano Galoppo n 8 | 71.8 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Aleksey Miranchuk n 8 | 66.1 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. Alzate n 8 | 21.6 | 3.1 |
| Luke Brennan n 8 | 29.1 | 2.7 |
| Matthew Edwards n 8 | 48.8 | 2.5 |
| J. Alonso n 8 | 86.5 | 2.3 |
| Ajani Fortune n 8 | 45.8 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hoyos n 8 | 91.4 | 1.7 |
Chicago Fire
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mekvabishvili n 8 | 48.5 | 3.2 | 0.9 | — |
| P. Zinckernagel n 8 | 78.1 | 2.9 | 2 | — |
| D. Poreba n 5 | 15.8 | 2.3 | 3.4 | — |
| R. Lod n 8 | 50.6 | 2.2 | 1.6 | — |
| D. D'Avilla n 8 | 78.5 | 2.1 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P. Zinckernagel n 8 | 78.1 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Jonathan Bamba n 8 | 49.1 | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| P. Dithejane n 8 | 34 | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| R. Lewandowski n 8 | 64.8 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| M. Haile-Selassie n 8 | 77.4 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Poreba n 5 | 15.8 | 0 | 1.1 |
| M. Haile-Selassie n 8 | 77.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| R. Lewandowski n 8 | 64.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| A. Gutman n 8 | 73.6 | 0 | 0.3 |
| P. Dithejane n 8 | 34 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Pineda n 8 | 33 | 2.4 |
| Leonardo Barroso n 8 | 56.5 | 2.2 |
| A. Mekvabishvili n 8 | 48.5 | 2.1 |
| M. Mbokazi n 8 | 89.6 | 1.9 |
| P. Zinckernagel n 8 | 78.1 | 1.9 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Atlanta United FC v Chicago Fire — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-12 Chicago Fire 1–0 Atlanta United FC
- 2025-07-16 Atlanta United FC 2–2 Chicago Fire
- 2025-05-10 Chicago Fire 2–1 Atlanta United FC
- 2024-04-28 Chicago Fire 0–0 Atlanta United FC
- 2024-03-31 Atlanta United FC 3–0 Chicago Fire
- 2023-05-21 Chicago Fire 3–3 Atlanta United FC
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Atlanta United FC v Chicago Fire?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Atlanta United FC v Chicago Fire is Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Atlanta United FC and Chicago Fire?
- In their last 6 meetings, Atlanta United FC won 1, Chicago Fire won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Atlanta United FC and Chicago Fire?
- Recent form — Atlanta United FC 2W 1D 2L; Chicago Fire 3W 0D 2L.
Today’s boards
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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