FC Cincinnati v DC United prediction
Team pages: FC Cincinnati · DC United · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for FC Cincinnati v DC United, Major League Soccer on Thu, 22 Oct 2026 00:00 BST.
The match
FC Cincinnati host DC United in Major League Soccer on Thursday 22 October (kick-off 00:00 UK); the model’s free pick is FC Cincinnati or DC United (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
12 of FC Cincinnati’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in 12 of FC Cincinnati’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).
FC Cincinnati have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
At home, FC Cincinnati have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.75 points per game, scoring 2.25 and conceding 1.63. FC Cincinnati have scored 60 goals, the fifth-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). FC Cincinnati have conceded 68 goals, the third-most of the 30 clubs.
11 of DC United’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of DC United’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, DC United have no wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.50 points per game, scoring 1.17 and conceding 2.67. DC United have scored 37 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). DC United have conceded 51 goals, the 14th-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.
FC Cincinnati (ninth) and DC United (12th) are three points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have FC Cincinnati the stronger side, 63 rating points above DC United (FC Cincinnati 1452, DC United 1389, after at least 269 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 31 May 2025, finished FC Cincinnati 1–2 DC United.
Team news
FC Cincinnati have two names on the availability list: S. Gidi (out, Injury) and K. Fletcher (doubtful, Knee Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-18. Predicted FC Cincinnati XI (3-5-2): R. Celentano, M. Robinson, K. Smith, T. Hadebe, G. Valenzuela, P. Bucha, E. Echenique, O. Nwobodo, K. Dem, K. Denkey, T. Barlow — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Evander (5.8 per match over 31 appearances, 14 goals and 10 assists) and Kévin Denkey (4.7 per match over 32 appearances, 21 goals and five assists) have been FC Cincinnati’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for FC Cincinnati (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Evander averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 2441 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Kévin Denkey averages 2.1 shots per 90 over 2483 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.
DC United have two names on the availability list: G. Segal (out, Leg Injury) and K. Rowles (doubtful, Thigh Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-18. Predicted DC United XI (4-4-2): S. Johnson, K. Kurokawa, L. Bartlett, S. Hefti, M. Peltola, A. Dozzell, K. Nono, J. Peglow, B. Servania, T. Baribo, L. Munteanu — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, T. Baribo (4.7 per match over 23 appearances, 16 goals and one assist) and Kimito Nono (4.4 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and two assists) have been DC United’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for DC United (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), T. Baribo averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 1984 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Kimito Nono averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 2509 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.
The referee
T. Ford takes charge; across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition) the referee has shown 3.3 yellow cards a game and 0.18 reds.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Major League Soccer · TQL Stadium
- Referee: T. Ford
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): FC Cincinnati 3 · draws 1 · DC United 2 · 2.5 goals/game
- Recent form: FC Cincinnati 1W 2D 2L · DC United 1W 1D 3L
FC Cincinnati v DC United (Major League Soccer): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | FC Cincinnati for / against | Line | DC United for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5our book | 1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.88 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.88 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 17.38 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14.25 for · 16.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 6.5 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.5 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 8.75 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.63 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.88 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: T. Ford — 3.27 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 23.64 fouls over 11 matches (1.27 to the home side, 2 to the away side).
FC Cincinnati
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Nwobodo n 8 | 48.5 | 1.9 | 0.7 | — |
| Ayoub Jabbari n 8 | 29.9 | 1.9 | 2.6 | Jackson Hopkins |
| T. Hadebe n 8 | 47.6 | 1.7 | 0.5 | — |
| Nick Hagglund n 8 | 55.1 | 1.6 | 0.4 | — |
| Bryan Ramirez n 8 | 49.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ayoub Jabbari n 8 | 29.9 | 3 | 1.9 |
| Kévin Denkey n 8 | 74.8 | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| Tom Barlow n 8 | 57.4 | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| Evander n 8 | 76.6 | 2.8 | 1 |
| Kenji Mboma Dem n 8 | 65.1 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kévin Denkey n 8 | 74.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| Tom Barlow n 8 | 57.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| T. Malacia n 8 | 31.5 | 0 | 0.7 |
| D. Douděra n 8 | 69.9 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Bryan Ramirez n 8 | 49.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| O. Nwobodo n 8 | 48.5 | 3 |
| A. Powell n 8 | 26.9 | 2.9 |
| T. Malacia n 8 | 31.5 | 2.5 |
| Tah Anunga n 8 | 36.9 | 2.4 |
| Ayoub Jabbari n 8 | 29.9 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Louro n 8 | 94.1 | 3.2 |
| Roman Celentano n 8 | 90.9 | 2.6 |
DC United
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Markovic n 8 | 20.4 | 4.4 | 0 | — |
| Conner Antley n 8 | 38 | 2.7 | 0.9 | — |
| Jared Stroud n 8 | 23.1 | 2.4 | 2.4 | — |
| Jackson Hopkins n 8 | 52.8 | 2.1 | 1.1 | Ayoub Jabbari |
| Louis Munteanu n 8 | 75.9 | 1.5 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Baribo n 8 | 85.8 | 2.6 | 1 |
| Louis Munteanu n 8 | 75.9 | 2.5 | 0.6 |
| Hosei Kijima n 8 | 29.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| N. Ordaz n 8 | 45.9 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| Kimito Nono n 8 | 90 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Baribo n 8 | 85.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| Kimito Nono n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Hosei Kijima n 8 | 29.1 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Keisuke Kurokawa n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Lucas Bartlett n 8 | 87.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Conner Antley n 8 | 38 | 5 |
| Silvan Hefti n 8 | 73.3 | 4.3 |
| Jared Stroud n 8 | 23.1 | 3.4 |
| Brandon Servania n 8 | 50.5 | 3.1 |
| Hosei Kijima n 8 | 29.1 | 3.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Sean Johnson n 8 | 90 | 3.8 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind FC Cincinnati v DC United — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-05-31 FC Cincinnati 1–2 DC United
- 2025-04-12 DC United 0–1 FC Cincinnati
- 2024-07-03 DC United 2–3 FC Cincinnati
- 2024-03-10 FC Cincinnati 0–0 DC United
- 2023-06-24 DC United 3–0 FC Cincinnati
- 2023-05-06 FC Cincinnati 2–1 DC United
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win FC Cincinnati v DC United?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Cincinnati v DC United is Home or Away (best price 1.22 at Bet365).
- What is the head-to-head record between FC Cincinnati and DC United?
- In their last 6 meetings, FC Cincinnati won 3, DC United won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of FC Cincinnati and DC United?
- Recent form — FC Cincinnati 1W 2D 2L; DC United 1W 1D 3L.
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