FC Dallas v San Jose Earthquakes prediction

Major League Soccer · · Toyota Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: FC Dallas · San Jose Earthquakes · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for FC Dallas v San Jose Earthquakes, Major League Soccer on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 01:30 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

FC Dallas host San Jose Earthquakes in Major League Soccer on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 01:30 UK); the model’s free pick is FC Dallas or San Jose Earthquakes (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

San Jose Earthquakes are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions. San Jose Earthquakes have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of FC Dallas’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in nine of FC Dallas’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, FC Dallas have five wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.67 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 0.67. FC Dallas have scored 55 goals, the eighth-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). FC Dallas have conceded 47 goals, the 13th-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Seven of San Jose Earthquakes’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in 11 of San Jose Earthquakes’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, San Jose Earthquakes have one win, four draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.43. San Jose Earthquakes have scored 52 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). San Jose Earthquakes have conceded 42 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 30 clubs.

FC Dallas (third) and San Jose Earthquakes (fourth) are three points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have FC Dallas the stronger side, 97 rating points above San Jose Earthquakes (FC Dallas 1643, San Jose Earthquakes 1546, after at least 330 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished San Jose Earthquakes 2–3 FC Dallas.

Team news

Predicted FC Dallas XI (3-4-2-1): Daniel, S. Ibeagha, S. Moore, O. Urhoghide, B. Kamungo, Ramiro, C. Cappis, Kaick, H. Johansson, R. Binyamin, P. Musa — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, P. Musa (5.2 per match over 29 appearances, 20 goals and five assists) and O. Urhoghide (3.8 per match over 27 appearances, two goals and two assists) have been FC Dallas’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for FC Dallas (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), P. Musa averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 2363 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. O. Urhoghide averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 2377 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted San Jose Earthquakes XI (5-3-2): A. Gunn, D. Romney, D. Munie, R. Roberts, J. Jasinski, M. Floriani, E. Lowen, B. Leroux, R. Vieira, P. Judd, O. Bouda — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Beau Leroux (4.5 per match over 28 appearances, four goals and seven assists) and E. Edwards (4.4 per match over three appearances) have been San Jose Earthquakes’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for San Jose Earthquakes (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Beau Leroux averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 2201 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Major League Soccer · Toyota Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): FC Dallas 2 · draws 2 · San Jose Earthquakes 2 · 4.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: FC Dallas 2W 2D 1L · San Jose Earthquakes 1W 4D 0L

FC Dallas v San Jose Earthquakes (Major League Soccer): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
5.13 / 5.38
Corners
against 6.5 / 4.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 5 / 5.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 2.5
Cards
against 2 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFC Dallas for / againstLineSan Jose Earthquakes for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.25our book
1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 6.5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.38 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
13.13 for · 14.5 against n 8
19.5standard
13 for · 12.38 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 5.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.63 for · 9.63 against n 8
21.5standard
11.75 for · 12 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
FC Dallas
FC Dallas — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Johansson n 847.6
2.64/3
0.73/0
—
L. Farrington n 856.1
2.46/4
14/1
—
L. Abubakar n 861.5
2.26/4
00/0
—
N. Norris n 874.8
27/4
0.64/0
—
O. Urhoghide n 890
1.97/4
1.47/3
—
FC Dallas — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Musa n 867.3
38/6
1.35/2
L. Farrington n 856.1
2.68/4
1.67/1
S. Moreno n 841.5
2.25/2
1.44/1
B. Kamungo n 876
1.97/4
0.64/0
D. Job n 829.5
1.93/2
1.53/1
FC Dallas — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Musa n 867.3
0.52/1
0.53/0
L. Farrington n 856.1
0.84/0
0.21/0
D. Job n 829.5
0.41/0
0.41/0
Samuel Sarver n 814.8
00/0
0.81/0
S. Moreno n 841.5
0.31/0
0.31/0
FC Dallas — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Kamungo n 876
37/6
O. Urhoghide n 890
2.67/6
C. Cappis n 860.1
2.66/4
Ramiro n 880
2.37/5
Kaick n 889.9
27/4
FC Dallas — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Daniel n 882.1
3.87/6
J. Sirois n 890
3.47/5
San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Jack Jasinski n 856.9
2.45/4
1.66/2
—
N. Fernandez n 823.1
2.44/1
1.52/1
—
Benjamin Kikanović n 865.8
2.14/3
1.25/2
—
O. Bouda n 863.4
2.17/3
1.85/3
—
R. Vieira n 877.3
1.77/2
17/0
—
San Jose Earthquakes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Judd n 856.9
2.86/3
2.26/3
O. Bouda n 863.4
26/3
0.53/0
E. Lowen n 878.8
1.96/5
0.63/1
T. Werner n 856.8
1.65/3
0.83/1
N. Fernandez n 823.1
1.53/0
12/0
San Jose Earthquakes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Judd n 856.9
14/1
00/0
Beau Leroux n 881.4
0.11/0
0.64/0
N. Tsakiris n 873.1
0.21/0
0.52/1
J. Skahan n 835.6
00/0
0.61/1
L. Jovanović n 835.3
0.61/1
00/0
San Jose Earthquakes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Marie n 848.3
3.55/4
N. Fernandez n 823.1
3.44/2
J. Ricketts n 860.9
2.66/4
Vitor Costa n 849.8
2.54/2
R. Vieira n 877.3
1.96/4
San Jose Earthquakes — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Edwards n 876.1
4.16/3
A. Gunn n 891.3
2.74/4

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind FC Dallas v San Jose Earthquakes — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FC DallasDWLWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
San Jose EarthquakesDWDDD
Last 5: 1W 4D 0L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
FC Dallas 2 · 2 draws · San Jose Earthquakes 2 · 4.17 goals/game
  • 2026-05-17 San Jose Earthquakes 2–3 FC Dallas
  • 2025-07-17 San Jose Earthquakes 2–2 FC Dallas
  • 2025-06-26 FC Dallas 2–4 San Jose Earthquakes
  • 2024-10-03 San Jose Earthquakes 3–2 FC Dallas
  • 2024-02-25 FC Dallas 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes
  • 2023-10-08 FC Dallas 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes
League standing · 2026
FC Dallas#3 pos51 pts30 pl+8 GD
San Jose Earthquakes#4 pos48 pts30 pl+10 GD
Goals per game
FC Dallas scored1.83
San Jose Earthquakes scored1.73
FC Dallas conceded1.57
San Jose Earthquakes conceded1.4

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win FC Dallas v San Jose Earthquakes?
TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Dallas v San Jose Earthquakes is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between FC Dallas and San Jose Earthquakes?
In their last 6 meetings, FC Dallas won 2, San Jose Earthquakes won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC Dallas and San Jose Earthquakes?
Recent form — FC Dallas 2W 2D 1L; San Jose Earthquakes 1W 4D 0L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →