Inter Miami v FC Cincinnati prediction
Team pages: Inter Miami · FC Cincinnati · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Inter Miami v FC Cincinnati, Major League Soccer on Wed, 28 Oct 2026 23:30 GMT.
The match
Inter Miami host FC Cincinnati in Major League Soccer on Wednesday 28 October (kick-off 23:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.
The key numbers
Inter Miami have scored 73 goals, the most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). 13 of Inter Miami’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%).
Inter Miami have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Both teams scored in 13 of Inter Miami’s last 15 results in all competitions (87%). At home, Inter Miami have four wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 10 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 2.70 and conceding 1.60. Inter Miami have conceded 51 goals, the 14th-most (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far).
11 of FC Cincinnati’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of FC Cincinnati’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, FC Cincinnati have one win, two draws and three defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.83 points per game, scoring 1.17 and conceding 2.67. FC Cincinnati have scored 60 goals, the fifth-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). FC Cincinnati have conceded 70 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.
Inter Miami have won their last three matches in all competitions. Inter Miami (second) and FC Cincinnati (ninth) are 19 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Inter Miami the stronger side, 265 rating points above FC Cincinnati (Inter Miami 1656, FC Cincinnati 1391, after at least 234 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Inter Miami are unbeaten in the last three meetings with FC Cincinnati. The most recent meeting, on 13 May 2026, finished FC Cincinnati 3–5 Inter Miami.
Team news
Predicted Inter Miami XI (4-3-3): D. St.Clair, Casemiro, G. Lujan, M. Falcon, F. Caicedo, R. de Paul, Y. Bright, M. Galarza, L. Messi, L. Suarez, G. Berterame — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, L. Messi (8.0 per match over 30 appearances, 28 goals and 13 assists) and R. de Paul (4.5 per match over 29 appearances, six goals and nine assists) have been Inter Miami’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Inter Miami (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), L. Messi averages 4.1 shots per 90 over 3553 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. R. de Paul averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 3365 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted FC Cincinnati XI (3-5-2): R. Celentano, M. Robinson, T. Hadebe, K. Smith, P. Bucha, G. Valenzuela, O. Nwobodo, E. Echenique, K. Dem, K. Denkey, T. Barlow — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Evander (5.9 per match over 31 appearances, 14 goals and 10 assists) and Kévin Denkey (4.8 per match over 32 appearances, 21 goals and five assists) have been FC Cincinnati’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for FC Cincinnati (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Evander averages 3.0 shots per 90 over 2486 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Kévin Denkey averages 2.1 shots per 90 over 2528 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Major League Soccer · Nu Stadium
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Inter Miami 3 · draws 1 · FC Cincinnati 2 · 4 goals/game
- Recent form: Inter Miami 3W 1D 1L · FC Cincinnati 1W 1D 3L
Inter Miami v FC Cincinnati (Major League Soccer): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Inter Miami for / against | Line | FC Cincinnati for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.13 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.38 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.63 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.25 for · 14.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 18.13 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.88 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6.25 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 15.13 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.5 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 3.25 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.13 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
Inter Miami
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Shaw n 7 | 15.7 | 3.3 | 0.8 | — |
| Matías Galarza n 8 | 69.3 | 3.1 | 1.3 | — |
| F. Caicedo n 7 | 66.7 | 2.9 | 0.4 | — |
| Ezequiel Abadia-Reda n 5 | 12.6 | 2.9 | 1.4 | — |
| Yannick Bright n 8 | 83.8 | 2.3 | 2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Messi n 8 | 82.4 | 5.7 | 3.6 |
| A. Shaw n 7 | 15.7 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Riquelme Fillipi n 8 | 30.1 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Mateo Silvetti n 8 | 47.9 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| L. Suarez n 8 | 85.6 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Messi n 8 | 82.4 | 1 | 0.3 |
| Mateo Silvetti n 8 | 47.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| L. Suarez n 8 | 85.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| G. Berterame n 8 | 71.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| A. Shaw n 7 | 15.7 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| F. Caicedo n 7 | 66.7 | 3.7 |
| Yannick Bright n 8 | 83.8 | 3.6 |
| Ezequiel Abadia-Reda n 5 | 12.6 | 2.9 |
| S. Morales n 7 | 19.1 | 2.7 |
| A. Shaw n 7 | 15.7 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| R. Rios n 8 | 94.5 | 3.7 |
| D. St.Clair n 8 | 83.5 | 2 |
FC Cincinnati
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Nwobodo n 8 | 50.8 | 2.2 | 0.9 | — |
| Ayoub Jabbari n 8 | 30 | 1.9 | 2.6 | — |
| T. Hadebe n 8 | 56.3 | 1.6 | 0.4 | — |
| Bryan Ramirez n 8 | 49.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 | — |
| T. Malacia n 8 | 39.9 | 1.4 | 1.7 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ayoub Jabbari n 8 | 30 | 3.8 | 2.3 |
| Evander n 8 | 76.6 | 3.4 | 1.2 |
| Tom Barlow n 8 | 55.6 | 3.4 | 2 |
| Kévin Denkey n 8 | 77 | 3.1 | 1.8 |
| Kenji Mboma Dem n 8 | 67.8 | 2 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kévin Denkey n 8 | 77 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| Tom Barlow n 8 | 55.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| T. Malacia n 8 | 39.9 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Bryan Ramirez n 8 | 49.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| A. Powell n 8 | 26.9 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| O. Nwobodo n 8 | 50.8 | 3.5 |
| A. Powell n 8 | 26.9 | 2.9 |
| T. Malacia n 8 | 39.9 | 2.5 |
| Tah Anunga n 8 | 36.9 | 2.4 |
| Ayoub Jabbari n 8 | 30 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Louro n 8 | 94.1 | 3.2 |
| Roman Celentano n 8 | 90.9 | 2.1 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Inter Miami v FC Cincinnati — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-05-13 FC Cincinnati 3–5 Inter Miami
- 2025-11-23 FC Cincinnati 0–4 Inter Miami
- 2025-07-26 Inter Miami 0–0 FC Cincinnati
- 2025-07-16 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Inter Miami
- 2024-08-24 Inter Miami 2–0 FC Cincinnati
- 2024-07-06 FC Cincinnati 6–1 Inter Miami
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Inter Miami v FC Cincinnati?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Inter Miami v FC Cincinnati is Over 2.5 goals.
- What is the head-to-head record between Inter Miami and FC Cincinnati?
- In their last 6 meetings, Inter Miami won 3, FC Cincinnati won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Inter Miami and FC Cincinnati?
- Recent form — Inter Miami 3W 1D 1L; FC Cincinnati 1W 1D 3L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.