Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC result

Full-time · Philadelphia Union 4–2 Orlando City SC

Major League Soccer · Sun, 27 Sep 2026 00:30 BST · Subaru Park

Updated 10 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Philadelphia Union · Orlando City SC · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Philadelphia Union 4–2 Orlando City SC — Philadelphia Union won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick

Home or Draw

Best price: 1.19 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.5% of 1546 landed (95% range 73.3–77.6%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Philadelphia Union beat Orlando City SC 4–2 at Subaru Park in Major League Soccer on Sunday 27 September. Philadelphia Union are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions. Orlando City SC have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

Philadelphia Union led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Philadelphia Union: Milan Iloski (11’ pen; 19’, assisted by Indiana Vassilev; 51’, assisted by Indiana Vassilev) and Indiana Vassilev (48’, assisted by Jesus Bueno); Orlando City SC: Iván Angulo (78’, assisted by Antoine Griezmann) and Martín Ojeda (90’, assisted by Harvey Sarajian).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Milan Iloski’s goal on 11 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Philadelphia Union 2.93, Orlando City SC 1.10, from 20 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Philadelphia Union: Q. Sullivan (62’) and Japhet Sery Larsen (77’); Orlando City SC: Eduard Atuesta (12’), Iago Silva (37’), Joran Gerbet (43’) and Iván Angulo (84’).

What it changes

Philadelphia Union have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. Orlando City SC have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Milan Iloski (Philadelphia Union) 15.5, Indiana Vassilev (Philadelphia Union) 11.0 and Iván Angulo (Orlando City SC) 8.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Philadelphia Union or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1168 of 1546).

Next up

Philadelphia Union next host New England Revolution on 24 October 2026.

Orlando City SC next host New York City FC on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Philadelphia Union: Philadelphia Union v New England Revolution, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Orlando City SC: Orlando City SC v New York City FC, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Philadelphia Union 4–2 Orlando City SC · Major League Soccer
Venue: Subaru Park · Chester, Pennsylvania
Referee: Sergii Demianchuk, USA
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Philadelphia Union 1 · draws 2 · Orlando City SC 3 · 4.17 goals/game
Recent form: Philadelphia Union 5W 0D 0L · Orlando City SC 3W 0D 2L

Philadelphia Union 4–2 Orlando City SC (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 10 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

3.13 / 2

Goals

against 1.13 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 4

over 8 matches

5.25 / 3.86

Corners

against 4.38 / 5.57 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

6 / 5.43

Shots on target

against 3.88 / 4.57 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.88 / 1.86

Cards

against 2.5 / 2.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Philadelphia Union for / against	Line	Orlando City SC for / against
Goals scored	3.13 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	4our book	2 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.25 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.86 for · 5.57 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	16.5 for · 8.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.29 for · 13.14 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	6 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.43 for · 4.57 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	15.63 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.71 for · 10.43 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.88 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.86 for · 2.29 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: Sergii Demianchuk, USA.

Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Alejandro Bedoya n 8	11.3	3 2/1	0 0/0	—
Jovan Lukić n 8	73.3	2.9 7/4	0.3 1/1	Eduard Atuesta
Japhet Sery Larsen n 8	65.4	2.6 7/4	0.9 4/1	—
Malik Jakupovic n 8	14.9	2.3 3/0	1.5 2/0	—
Bruno Damiani n 8	82	2.1 8/5	1.1 5/3	—

Philadelphia Union — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Milan Iloski n 8	79.1	3.4 8/7	1.6 7/3
Q. Sullivan n 8	32.6	3.1 5/3	2.1 4/2
Cavan Sullivan n 8	77.8	2.2 7/6	1.4 6/3
Ezekiel Alladoh n 8	28.5	2 3/1	0.8 1/1
Bruno Damiani n 8	82	1.9 6/4	1.1 5/2

Philadelphia Union — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Q. Sullivan n 8	32.6	0.3 1/0	1 3/0
Cavan Sullivan n 8	77.8	0.9 5/1	0.3 1/1
Bruno Damiani n 8	82	1 4/2	0.1 1/0
Indiana Vassilev n 8	58.4	0.2 1/0	0.6 2/1
Malik Jakupovic n 8	14.9	0.8 1/0	0 0/0

Philadelphia Union — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Jesus Bueno n 8	31.5	2.9 7/1
Neil Pierre n 8	80.3	2.5 7/5
Malik Jakupovic n 8	14.9	2.3 3/0
Jovan Lukić n 8	73.3	2.2 6/5
Danley Jean Jacques n 8	90.3	2.1 6/4

Philadelphia Union — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Andre Blake n 8	91	2.6 6/4

Orlando City SC

Orlando City SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Wilder Cartagena n 8	37.5	3 5/2	2.4 6/1	—
Harvey Sarajian n 8	23	2.4 4/1	1.5 3/0	—
Adrián Marín n 8	64.3	2.1 7/3	0.5 2/1	—
Eduard Atuesta n 8	63.9	1.8 7/3	1.1 5/1	Jovan Lukić
Tiago Souza n 8	49.3	1.8 6/2	2.7 8/3	—

Orlando City SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Martín Ojeda n 8	69.5	3.7 8/5	2.3 8/5
Antoine Griezmann n 8	79.3	2.7 7/6	2 7/5
D. Dike n 8	38.4	2.6 7/1	1.2 3/1
Tyrese Spicer n 8	39.4	2 4/1	0.9 3/0
Marco Pasalic n 8	38.8	1.5 3/2	0.9 3/0

Orlando City SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Antoine Griezmann n 8	79.3	1 5/2	0.3 2/0
Martín Ojeda n 8	69.5	0.8 3/2	0.2 1/0
Justin Ellis n 8	64.9	0.2 1/0	0.7 4/0
D. Dike n 8	38.4	0.6 2/0	0.3 1/0
Tyrese Spicer n 8	39.4	0.6 2/0	0 0/0

Orlando City SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Wilder Cartagena n 8	37.5	4.2 7/5
Luis Otávio n 8	60.5	3 7/3
Iván Angulo n 8	90	2.5 6/5
Tiago Souza n 8	49.3	2.5 6/3
Griffin Dorsey n 8	78.5	2.4 7/5

Orlando City SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Maxime Crépeau n 8	90	2.9 6/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Philadelphia Union		Orlando City SC
36%	Possession	64%
2.93	Expected goals (xG)	1.10
20	Shots	11
9	Shots on target	2
5	Shots off target	5
6	Blocked shots	4
13	Shots inside the box	9
7	Corners	7
5	Offsides	1
19	Fouls	13
2	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0
0	Saves	5
312	Passes	573
74%	Pass accuracy	83%

Philadelphia Union player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Japhet Sery Larsen	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	7.2
Jesus Bueno	90	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	7.2
K. Wagner	90	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	6.2
Nathan Harriel	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.3
Andrew Rick	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.3
Jovan Lukić	90	0	0	1	0	1	7	0	7.2
Ben Bender	89	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	5.9
Indiana Vassilev	85	1	2	2	2	4	0	0	8.9
Bruno Damiani	85	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	6.9
Q. Sullivan	79	0	0	2	2	2	3	Y	7.2
Milan Iloski	79	3	0	6	3	1	1	0	10
J. Griffin	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0
Ezekiel Alladoh sub	13	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	6.5
Jeremy Rafanello sub	13	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.9
Alejandro Bedoya sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Agustin Anello sub	11	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.5

Orlando City SC player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Martín Ojeda	90	1	0	3	1	2	0	0	7.9
Eduard Atuesta	90	0	0	0	0	1	6	Y	6.9
Robin Jansson	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
Iván Angulo	90	1	0	1	1	2	3	Y	7.6
Maxime Crépeau	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Antoine Griezmann	90	0	1	2	0	3	3	0	6.7
Iago Silva	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2
D. Dike	89	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Zakaria Taifi	54	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	5.9
Joran Gerbet	54	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.9
Bernardo Rhein Goncalves	54	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	5.7
Harvey Sarajian sub	36	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	6.2
Vinicius Nogueira sub	36	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	7.2
Luis Otávio sub	36	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	7.2
Tiago Souza sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Philadelphia UnionWWWWW

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 3.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Orlando City SCWWWLL

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Philadelphia Union 1 · 2 draws · Orlando City SC 3 · 4.17 goals/game

2026-05-13 Orlando City SC 4–3 Philadelphia Union
2025-04-05 Philadelphia Union 0–0 Orlando City SC
2025-02-23 Orlando City SC 2–4 Philadelphia Union
2024-10-02 Orlando City SC 2–1 Philadelphia Union
2024-05-11 Philadelphia Union 2–3 Orlando City SC
2023-06-21 Orlando City SC 2–2 Philadelphia Union

League standing · 2026

Philadelphia Union#6 pos46 pts30 pl+13 GD

Orlando City SC#7 pos41 pts30 pl-12 GD

Goals per game

Philadelphia Union scored2.03

Orlando City SC scored1.93

Philadelphia Union conceded1.6

Orlando City SC conceded2.33

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC was Home or Draw (best price 1.19 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Philadelphia Union and Orlando City SC?: In their last 6 meetings, Philadelphia Union won 1, Orlando City SC won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Philadelphia Union and Orlando City SC?: Recent form — Philadelphia Union 5W 0D 0L; Orlando City SC 3W 0D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 10 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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