Real Salt Lake v San Jose Earthquakes prediction
Team pages: Real Salt Lake · San Jose Earthquakes · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Real Salt Lake v San Jose Earthquakes, Major League Soccer on Thu, 15 Oct 2026 02:30 BST.
The match
Real Salt Lake host San Jose Earthquakes in Major League Soccer on Thursday 15 October (kick-off 02:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Real Salt Lake or San Jose Earthquakes (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
San Jose Earthquakes are unbeaten in their last seven matches. San Jose Earthquakes have scored in six consecutive matches.
Form and the table
10 of Real Salt Lake’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of Real Salt Lake’s last 15 results (47%). At home, Real Salt Lake have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.38 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.50. Real Salt Lake have scored 41 goals, the 13th-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Real Salt Lake have conceded 46 goals, the 15th-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs.
Eight of San Jose Earthquakes’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 10 of San Jose Earthquakes’s last 15 results (67%). Away from home, San Jose Earthquakes have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.50. San Jose Earthquakes have scored 50 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). San Jose Earthquakes have conceded 40 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs.
Real Salt Lake (11th) and San Jose Earthquakes (fourth) are 14 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have San Jose Earthquakes the stronger side, 142 rating points above Real Salt Lake (San Jose Earthquakes 1531, Real Salt Lake 1389, after at least 328 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 27 July 2025, finished Real Salt Lake 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes.
Team news
Real Salt Lake have six names on the availability list: D. Luna (out, Knee Injury), E. Eneli (out, Knee Injury), J. Glad (out, Groin Injury), J. J. Arias (out, Hamstring Injury), L. Engel (out, Hamstring Injury) and G. Dillon (doubtful, Foot Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-14. Predicted Real Salt Lake XI (3-4-3): R. Cabral, P. Quinton, K. Henry, D. Yedlin, N. Caliskan, J. Sanabria, A. Katranis, S. Spierings, S. Solans, M. Guilavogui, A. Hezarkhani — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Zavier Gozo (6.0 per match over 16 appearances, six goals and four assists) and M. Guilavogui (4.0 per match over 26 appearances, three goals and seven assists) have been Real Salt Lake’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Real Salt Lake (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Zavier Gozo averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1512 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. M. Guilavogui averages 1.7 shots per 90 over 1871 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.
San Jose Earthquakes have five names on the availability list: D. Johnson (out, Lower-Body Injury), D. Jones (out, Achilles Tendon Injury), J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza (out, Injury), J. Skahan (out, Lower-Body Injury) and N. Adimabua (out, Hernia) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-14. Predicted San Jose Earthquakes XI (3-4-2-1): A. Gunn, D. Munie, D. Romney, R. Roberts, B. Leroux, R. Vieira, E. Lowen, J. Ricketts, I. Harkes, B. Kikanović, N. Tsakiris — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Beau Leroux (4.4 per match over 26 appearances, four goals and seven assists) and E. Edwards (4.4 per match over three appearances) have been San Jose Earthquakes’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for San Jose Earthquakes (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Beau Leroux averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 2052 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Major League Soccer · America First Field
- Referee: Sergii Demianchuk
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Real Salt Lake 3 · draws 0 · San Jose Earthquakes 3 · 2.83 goals/game
- Recent form: Real Salt Lake 1W 0D 4L · San Jose Earthquakes 3W 2D 0L
Real Salt Lake v San Jose Earthquakes (Major League Soccer): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 14 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Real Salt Lake for / against | Line | San Jose Earthquakes for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.25our book | 1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.5 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.13 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.75 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.25 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.13 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.13 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.75 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.38 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Real Salt Lake
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Shokalook n 8 | 14.1 | 4.8 | 0 | — |
| M. Guilavogui n 8 | 78.9 | 2.6 | 3.3 | — |
| S. Solans n 8 | 81.4 | 1.9 | 0.6 | — |
| D. Yedlin n 8 | 70.1 | 1.9 | 0.6 | — |
| Lineker Rodrigues n 8 | 37.5 | 1.8 | 1.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Shokalook n 8 | 14.1 | 3.2 | 0 |
| D. Luna n 8 | 66.5 | 2.2 | 1 |
| Saba Lobzhanidze n 8 | 45.3 | 2.2 | 1.7 |
| S. Solans n 8 | 81.4 | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| D. Marczuk n 8 | 62 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saba Lobzhanidze n 8 | 45.3 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Lineker Rodrigues n 8 | 37.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| D. Luna n 8 | 66.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| S. Solans n 8 | 81.4 | 0.3 | 0 |
| N. Caliskan n 8 | 89.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| T. Booth n 8 | 13.5 | 3.3 |
| K. Henry n 8 | 71.4 | 3 |
| L. Moisa n 7 | 63 | 2.7 |
| Philip Quinton n 8 | 81.5 | 2.3 |
| S. Spierings n 8 | 68.8 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Cabral n 8 | 90 | 2.8 |
San Jose Earthquakes
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Fernandez n 8 | 30.8 | 2.9 | 3.3 | — |
| O. Bouda n 8 | 63.1 | 2.5 | 1.2 | — |
| R. Vieira n 8 | 76.6 | 2.1 | 1 | — |
| Benjamin Kikanović n 8 | 65.8 | 2.1 | 1.2 | — |
| Jack Jasinski n 8 | 54.5 | 1.9 | 1.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P. Judd n 8 | 51 | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| T. Werner n 8 | 65 | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| E. Lowen n 8 | 80.8 | 2 | 0.8 |
| O. Bouda n 8 | 63.1 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| L. Jovanović n 8 | 40 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P. Judd n 8 | 51 | 0.9 | 0 |
| N. Tsakiris n 8 | 73.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Beau Leroux n 8 | 83.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 |
| L. Jovanović n 8 | 40 | 0.6 | 0 |
| J. Skahan n 8 | 35.6 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| P. Marie n 8 | 45 | 3.8 |
| N. Fernandez n 8 | 30.8 | 2.9 |
| Vitor Costa n 8 | 49 | 2.5 |
| J. Ricketts n 8 | 55.6 | 2.2 |
| M. Floriani n 8 | 61.3 | 1.8 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Edwards n 8 | 76.1 | 4.1 |
| A. Gunn n 8 | 91.3 | 2.3 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Real Salt Lake v San Jose Earthquakes — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-07-27 Real Salt Lake 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes
- 2025-02-23 San Jose Earthquakes 4–0 Real Salt Lake
- 2024-10-06 San Jose Earthquakes 0–1 Real Salt Lake
- 2024-08-25 Real Salt Lake 0–2 San Jose Earthquakes
- 2023-09-17 San Jose Earthquakes 2–1 Real Salt Lake
- 2023-04-23 Real Salt Lake 3–1 San Jose Earthquakes
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Real Salt Lake v San Jose Earthquakes?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Real Salt Lake v San Jose Earthquakes is Home or Away (best price 1.25 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Real Salt Lake and San Jose Earthquakes?
- In their last 6 meetings, Real Salt Lake won 3, San Jose Earthquakes won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Real Salt Lake and San Jose Earthquakes?
- Recent form — Real Salt Lake 1W 0D 4L; San Jose Earthquakes 3W 2D 0L.
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