Angel City W v San Diego Wave W result

Full-time · Angel City W 1–2 San Diego Wave W

NWSL Women · · BMO Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Angel City W 1–2 San Diego Wave W — San Diego Wave W won this NWSL Women match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

San Diego Wave W won 2–1 at BMO Stadium in NWSL Women on Sunday 10 May. It is San Diego Wave W’s first win over Angel City W since 24 April 2023, after five meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — San Diego Wave W: Dudinha (49’, assisted by K. Ascanio) and A. D. Van Zanten (81’, assisted by Dudinha); Angel City W: Emily Sams (54’, assisted by Sarah Gorden).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. D. Van Zanten’s goal on 81 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Angel City W 0.00, San Diego Wave W 0.00, from 10 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Abdou Ndiaye, USA showed no yellow cards — against 0.8 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition).

What it changes

Angel City W have lost their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Dudinha (San Diego Wave W) 8.7, A. D. Van Zanten (San Diego Wave W) 7.4 and Sarah Gorden (Angel City W) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 52.3% of the time in the last 90 days (92 of 176).

Next up

Angel City W next host Bay FC W on 25 October 2026.

San Diego Wave W next host Boston Legacy W on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Angel City W: Angel City W v Bay FC W, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for San Diego Wave W: San Diego Wave W v Boston Legacy W, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Angel City W 1–2 San Diego Wave W · NWSL Women
  • Venue: BMO Stadium · Los Angeles
  • Referee: Abdou Ndiaye, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Angel City W 2 · draws 3 · San Diego Wave W 1 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Angel City W 2W 0D 3L · San Diego Wave W 3W 0D 2L

Angel City W 1–2 San Diego Wave W (NWSL Women): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

246
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Angel City WSan Diego Wave W
45%Possession55%
10Shots11
3Shots on target5
3Shots off target2
4Blocked shots4
8Shots inside the box6
7Corners1
0Offsides3
20Fouls8
3Saves2
320Passes407
72%Pass accuracy79%

Angel City W player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Angelina Anderson9700000006.3
Gisele Thompson9700000207.2
Emily Sams9710110107.7
Sarah Gorden9701001006.9
Evelyn Shores9700102206.7
Ary Borges9700101206.3
Sveindís Jónsdóttir9700002507.7
Nealy Martin8800000206.6
Taylor Marie Suarez7600220006
Kennedy Fuller6800100006.2
Jun Endo4500000006.3
Prisca Chilufya sub5200000106.2
Riley Tiernan sub2900000006.3
Casey Phair sub2100000006.2
Claire Emslie sub900000006.3

San Diego Wave W player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Haračić9700000006.7
A. D. Van Zanten9710110408
K. Wesley9700000007
K. McNabb9700000407.3
P. Morroni9700110106.3
K. Dali9700201007.3
Dudinha9511111008.5
K. Ascanio8001001206.6
Gabi Portilho6300000106.6
G. Corley4500002107
Ludmila4500000106.9
L. E. Godfrey sub5200112106.7
T. Byars sub5200002006.5
M. Barcenas sub3400110006.5
L. Fazer sub1700000006.6
J. Fusco sub20000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Angel City W v San Diego Wave W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Angel City WWWLLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
San Diego Wave WWWWLL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Angel City W 2 · 3 draws · San Diego Wave W 1 · 2 goals/game
  • 2025-08-10 San Diego Wave W 1–1 Angel City W
  • 2025-03-16 Angel City W 1–1 San Diego Wave W
  • 2024-08-24 San Diego Wave W 1–2 Angel City W
  • 2024-05-24 Angel City W 0–0 San Diego Wave W
  • 2023-06-17 San Diego Wave W 1–2 Angel City W
  • 2023-04-24 Angel City W 0–2 San Diego Wave W
League standing · 2026
Angel City W#5 pos46 pts28 pl+17 GD
San Diego Wave W#2 pos54 pts28 pl+13 GD
Goals per game
Angel City W scored1.71
San Diego Wave W scored1.5
Angel City W conceded1.11
San Diego Wave W conceded1.04

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Angel City W v San Diego Wave W?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Angel City W v San Diego Wave W was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Angel City W and San Diego Wave W?
In their last 6 meetings, Angel City W won 2, San Diego Wave W won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Angel City W and San Diego Wave W?
Recent form — Angel City W 2W 0D 3L; San Diego Wave W 3W 0D 2L.

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