Chicago Red Stars W v Houston Dash W prediction

NWSL Women · · SeatGeek Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Chicago Red Stars W v Houston Dash W, NWSL Women on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 01:00 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Chicago Red Stars W host Houston Dash W in NWSL Women on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 01:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Chicago Red Stars W or Houston Dash W (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Chicago Red Stars W have scored 15 goals, the fewest of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Chicago Red Stars W have conceded 63 goals, the most of the 16 clubs.

Chicago Red Stars W are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions. Houston Dash W are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Chicago Red Stars W’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in six of Chicago Red Stars W’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Chicago Red Stars W have one win, one draw and five defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.57 points per game, scoring 0.57 and conceding 2.71.

Seven of Houston Dash W’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Houston Dash W’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Houston Dash W have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.50. Houston Dash W have scored 35 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Houston Dash W have conceded 41 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 16 clubs.

Chicago Red Stars W (16th) and Houston Dash W (13th) are 13 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Houston Dash W the stronger side, 184 rating points above Chicago Red Stars W (Houston Dash W 1343, Chicago Red Stars W 1159, after at least 177 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Houston Dash W are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Chicago Red Stars W. The most recent meeting, on 20 August 2026, finished Houston Dash W 5–0 Chicago Red Stars W.

Team news

Predicted Chicago Red Stars W XI (4-3-3): A. Naeher, S. Staab, N. Gomes, T. Malham, M. López, B. Pinto, T. E. Dellarose, E. Egizii, M. Johnson, J. Grosso, J. Bike — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Nádia Gomes (3.4 per match over 18 appearances, two goals) and Maitane López (3.1 per match over 13 appearances, one assist) have been Chicago Red Stars W’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Chicago Red Stars W (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Nádia Gomes averages 2.5 tackles per 90 over 1412 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Maitane López averages 2.5 tackles per 90 over 1023 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Houston Dash W XI (4-2-3-1): J. Campbell, L. Klenke, A. Patterson, P. K. Nielsen, L. Boattin, M. Graham, K. Rader, K. van Zanten, D. Colaprico, M. Ivanović, K. Faasse — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, K. Rader (3.7 per match over 21 appearances, eight goals) and Avery Patterson (3.4 per match over 19 appearances, two assists) have been Houston Dash W’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Houston Dash W (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), K. Rader averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1690 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Avery Patterson averages 2.3 tackles per 90 over 1595 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · NWSL Women · SeatGeek Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Chicago Red Stars W 3 · draws 0 · Houston Dash W 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Chicago Red Stars W 0W 1D 4L · Houston Dash W 1W 1D 3L

Chicago Red Stars W v Houston Dash W (NWSL Women): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 0.88
Goals
against 3.38 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 3.88
Corners
against 4.75 / 7.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 6.25 / 7 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.13 / 1.13
Cards
against 0.38 / 0.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameChicago Red Stars W for / againstLineHouston Dash W for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 3.38 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
2.38 for · 4.75 against n 8
9.5standard
3.88 for · 7.5 against n 8
Shots
8.38 for · 19.13 against n 8
19.5standard
10 for · 19.25 against n 8
Shots on target
2.88 for · 6.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 7 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.38 for · 8.13 against n 8
21.5standard
11 for · 9.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.13 for · 0.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 0.75 against n 8
Chicago Red Stars W
Chicago Red Stars W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Jameese Joseph n 844.3
2.36/2
1.35/0
—
J. Bike n 860.8
1.74/2
1.55/2
—
A. Gasper n 825.9
1.72/2
00/0
—
B. Franklin n 857.9
1.65/2
0.83/1
—
M. Alozie n 857.8
1.65/3
1.25/1
—
Chicago Red Stars W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Johnson n 846.8
1.95/3
0.51/1
S. Charley n 823.8
1.94/0
0.92/0
Jameese Joseph n 844.3
1.54/2
0.52/0
Mallory Swanson n 862.3
1.45/2
0.94/1
M. Alozie n 857.8
1.44/2
0.83/1
Chicago Red Stars W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Charley n 823.8
0.51/0
00/0
E. Egizii n 839.3
00/0
0.31/0
Julia Grosso n 874.3
0.21/0
00/0
J. Grosso n 864.6
0.21/0
00/0
Mallory Swanson n 862.3
0.21/0
00/0
Chicago Red Stars W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Nádia Gomes n 880
2.75/5
A. Farmer n 879.3
2.46/4
M. Alozie n 857.8
2.35/3
A. Farmer n 441.5
2.22/1
T. E. Dellarose n 849.4
2.14/3
Chicago Red Stars W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Naeher n 880.6
3.86/5
K. Lund n 885.9
3.36/3
Houston Dash W
Houston Dash W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Larisey n 834
36/2
0.72/0
—
K. van Zanten n 852.5
2.16/4
1.35/1
—
S. Puntigam n 868.1
1.87/3
0.84/1
—
L. Boattin n 858.4
1.55/2
1.35/2
—
C. Hardin n 837
1.23/1
00/0
—
Houston Dash W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Rader n 875.3
2.47/5
1.56/3
L. Ullmark n 851.3
2.24/3
1.13/1
Khyah Harper n 830
1.94/1
0.82/0
M. Bright n 832
1.84/1
1.13/0
S. Schmidt n 825.4
1.83/1
1.33/0
Houston Dash W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Khyah Harper n 830
00/0
0.82/0
M. Ivanović n 653.2
0.61/1
00/0
K. Rader n 875.3
0.42/1
00/0
K. Faasse n 853.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
K. van Zanten n 852.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Houston Dash W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Hardin n 837
37/3
K. van Zanten n 852.5
2.88/4
S. Schmidt n 825.4
2.73/2
Avery Patterson n 877.4
2.66/6
D. Colaprico n 870.1
2.45/5
Houston Dash W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Campbell n 882.5
4.97/6

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Chicago Red Stars W v Houston Dash W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Chicago Red Stars WDLLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Houston Dash WLWDLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Chicago Red Stars W 3 · 0 draws · Houston Dash W 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-08-20 Houston Dash W 5–0 Chicago Red Stars W
  • 2025-09-20 Houston Dash W 1–0 Chicago Red Stars W
  • 2025-03-23 Chicago Red Stars W 1–2 Houston Dash W
  • 2024-10-05 Houston Dash W 0–2 Chicago Red Stars W
  • 2024-07-06 Chicago Red Stars W 1–0 Houston Dash W
  • 2023-07-08 Houston Dash W 0–1 Chicago Red Stars W
League standing · 2026
Chicago Red Stars W#16 pos17 pts27 pl-48 GD
Houston Dash W#13 pos30 pts28 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Chicago Red Stars W scored0.56
Houston Dash W scored1.25
Chicago Red Stars W conceded2.33
Houston Dash W conceded1.46

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Chicago Red Stars W v Houston Dash W?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Chicago Red Stars W v Houston Dash W is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Chicago Red Stars W and Houston Dash W?
In their last 6 meetings, Chicago Red Stars W won 3, Houston Dash W won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Chicago Red Stars W and Houston Dash W?
Recent form — Chicago Red Stars W 0W 1D 4L; Houston Dash W 1W 1D 3L.

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