Orlando Pride W v Bay FC W result

Full-time · Orlando Pride W 3–1 Bay FC W

NWSL Women · · Inter&Co Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Orlando Pride W 3–1 Bay FC W — Orlando Pride W won this NWSL Women match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78% of 209 landed (95% range 71.9–83.1%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Next for Orlando Pride W: Orlando Pride W v NJ/NY Gotham FC W, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Bay FC W: Angel City W v Bay FC W, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Orlando Pride W 3–1 Bay FC W · NWSL Women
  • Venue: Inter&Co Stadium · Orlando
  • Referee: Jaclyn Metz, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Orlando Pride W 3 · draws 1 · Bay FC W 0 · 1.25 goals/game
  • Recent form: Orlando Pride W 2W 0D 3L · Bay FC W 1W 2D 2L

Orlando Pride W 3–1 Bay FC W (NWSL Women): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 0.63
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4 / 5.6
Corners
against 4.8 / 3.4 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 5 matches
4.4 / 3.6
Shots on target
against 4.4 / 6.6 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 5 matches
2 / 2
Cards
against 1 / 1.4 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 5 matches
0.33 yellows
Referee · Jaclyn Metz, USA
0.17 home / 0.17 away
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 May 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameOrlando Pride W for / againstLineBay FC W for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
3our book
0.63 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 4.8 against n 5
9.5standard
5.6 for · 3.4 against n 5
Shots
13 for · 15 against n 5
19.5standard
11.6 for · 15 against n 5
Shots on target
4.4 for · 4.4 against n 5
8.5standard
3.6 for · 6.6 against n 5
Fouls committed
10.2 for · 10 against n 5
21.5standard
11.2 for · 8.6 against n 5
Cards shown
2 for · 1 against n 5
3.5standard
2 for · 1.4 against n 5

Referee: Jaclyn Metz, USA — 0.33 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 5.33 fouls over 6 matches (0.17 to the home side, 0.17 to the away side).

Orlando Pride W
Orlando Pride W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Banda n 570.6
2.35/2
2.85/3
—
Luana Bertolucci n 722.6
2.33/1
2.83/1
Racheal Kundananji
Oihane Hernández n 867.5
27/3
0.32/0
Madeline Moreau
S. Jackson n 738.9
1.75/0
2.35/2
—
Angelina n 459.3
1.53/1
1.12/1
—
Orlando Pride W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Banda n 570.6
5.45/5
2.35/2
Seven Castain n 438.3
1.82/1
0.61/0
Marta n 860.6
1.56/2
0.94/1
Haley Hanson n 879.4
1.36/2
0.43/0
S. Jackson n 738.9
12/1
0.72/0
Orlando Pride W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Banda n 570.6
13/1
00/0
Luana Bertolucci n 722.6
0.61/0
00/0
Marta n 860.6
0.42/0
00/0
Angelina n 459.3
00/0
0.41/0
Haley Hanson n 879.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
Orlando Pride W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Luana Bertolucci n 722.6
4.64/2
H. Mace n 883.1
3.27/5
K. Abello n 871.9
2.86/5
Haley Hanson n 879.4
2.48/5
J. Doyle n 847.5
2.45/3
Orlando Pride W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Moorhouse n 883.6
3.25/4
Bay FC W
Bay FC W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Racheal Kundananji n 869.1
2.15/4
0.84/1
Luana Bertolucci
Madeline Moreau n 535
2.13/1
00/0
Oihane Hernández
Claire Hutton n 590.8
24/3
1.64/2
—
Karlie Lema n 865
1.97/2
0.94/1
—
Aldana Cometti n 563.2
1.75/1
1.75/1
—
Bay FC W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Racheal Kundananji n 869.1
2.86/6
1.55/4
Cristiana Girelli n 855.9
2.24/3
1.22/1
Hanna Bebar n 883.5
1.26/1
0.31/1
Taylor Huff n 872.8
1.16/1
0.64/0
Caroline Conti n 462
1.13/0
1.13/0
Bay FC W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Cristiana Girelli n 855.9
0.41/1
00/0
Dorian Bailey n 557.8
0.31/0
00/0
Taylor Huff n 872.8
0.21/0
00/0
Racheal Kundananji n 869.1
00/0
0.21/0
Kelli Hubly n 861.3
0.21/0
00/0
Bay FC W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Claire Hutton n 590.8
3.65/5
Anouk Denton n 387.3
2.73/3
Hanna Bebar n 883.5
2.78/7
Aldana Cometti n 563.2
2.63/3
Kelli Hubly n 861.3
26/3
Bay FC W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jordan Silkowitz n 885.8
4.67/6

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Orlando Pride W v Bay FC W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Orlando Pride WLWLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Bay FC WWDDLL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Orlando Pride W 3 · 1 draw · Bay FC W 0 · 1.25 goals/game
  • 2025-09-13 Orlando Pride W 1–1 Bay FC W
  • 2025-06-14 Bay FC 0–1 Orlando Pride W
  • 2024-09-21 Bay FC 0–1 Orlando Pride W
  • 2024-05-11 Orlando Pride W 1–0 Bay FC
League standing · 2026
Orlando Pride W#11 pos36 pts28 pl-6 GD
Bay FC W#14 pos27 pts28 pl-14 GD
Goals per game
Orlando Pride W scored1.36
Bay FC W scored1.07
Orlando Pride W conceded1.57
Bay FC W conceded1.57

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Orlando Pride W v Bay FC W?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Orlando Pride W v Bay FC W was Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Orlando Pride W and Bay FC W?
In their last 4 meetings, Orlando Pride W won 3, Bay FC W won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Orlando Pride W and Bay FC W?
Recent form — Orlando Pride W 2W 0D 3L; Bay FC W 1W 2D 2L.

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